Ajax at Go Ahead Eag

Updated

Ajax

58.3%22.1%19.6%
Ajax WinDrawWin
1.90Projected Goals 1.01
3Final Score 2

Go Ahead Eagles

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Zwolle-475
W 1-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-280
W 2-1 at NEC Nijmegen-140
W 0-5 vs Vitesse-335
T 2-2 at Almere City-185
Go Ahead Eagles
Money Line
T 1-1 at Excelsior+130
L 2-0 vs Utrecht+115
L 3-1 vs Twente+275
T 1-1 at NEC Nijmegen+175
W 1-0 at RKC Waalwijk+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-112-124-130-130-129-130-124-116.6
Go Ahead Eag+284+308+300+310+315+310+315+330.5
Draw+298+316+300+315+321+315+321+335.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-120-----120-120-116.6
Go Ahead Eag+270----+285+285+330.5
Draw+330----+305+305+335.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 20.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -122 to -130
Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +275 to +250

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 30.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
No Steam Moves On Go Ahead Eag ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-138o3-138o3¼-108o3¼-102o3¼-104o3¼-102o3¼-102o3¼+107
Underu3+118u3+118u3¼-112u3¼-118u3¼-114u3¼-118u3¼-112u3¼-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+107
Under-----u3¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.1%
 
No45.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.42%
Exactly 223.03%
Exactly 416.30%
Exactly 64.61%
Exactly 80.70%
 
Exactly 115.81%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.50%
Exactly 71.92%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 014.88%
Exactly 128.34%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 317.15%
Exactly 48.17%
Exactly 53.11%
Exactly 60.99%
Exactly 70.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 036.47%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.55%
Exactly 36.24%
Exactly 41.57%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.94%
Exactly 223.62%
Exactly 43.58%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 310.62%
Exactly 50.97%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 041.39%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 216.11%
Exactly 34.74%
Exactly 41.04%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 062.68%
Exactly 129.28%
Exactly 26.84%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals34.22%
Wins by 3+ goals16.34%
Wins by 4+ goals6.43%
Wins by 5+ goals2.11%
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 2+ goals6.84%
Wins by 3+ goals1.83%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Go Ahead Eagles
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal24.01%
Wins by 2 goals17.88%
Wins by 3 goals9.90%
Wins by 4 goals4.33%
Wins by 5 goals1.55%
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 1 goal12.71%
Wins by 2 goals5.01%
Wins by 3 goals1.46%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.58%5.42%
1.578.77%21.23%
2.555.73%44.27%
3.533.36%66.64%
4.517.05%82.95%
5.57.55%92.45%
6.52.94%97.06%
7.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.12%14.88%
1.556.78%43.22%
2.529.77%70.23%
3.512.62%87.38%
4.54.45%95.55%
5.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Go Ahead Eagles Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.53%36.47%
1.526.75%73.25%
2.58.19%91.81%
3.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.06%25.94%
1.539.05%60.95%
2.515.44%84.56%
3.54.82%95.18%
4.51.23%98.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Go Ahead Eagles
Score01234
0
5.42%
5.47%
2.76%
0.93%
0.23%
1
10.34%
10.43%
5.26%
1.77%
0.45%
2
9.85%
9.93%
5.01%
1.68%
0.42%
3
6.25%
6.31%
3.18%
1.07%
0.27%
4
2.98%
3.01%
1.52%
0.51%
0.13%
5
1.14%
1.15%
0.58%
0.19%
0.05%
Ajax
1-010.34%
2-09.85%
2-19.93%
3-06.25%
3-16.31%
3-23.18%
4-02.98%
4-13.01%
4-21.52%
4-30.51%
5-01.14%
5-11.15%
5-20.58%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.42%
1-110.43%
2-25.01%
3-31.07%
4-40.13%
Go Ahead Eagles
0-15.47%
0-22.76%
1-25.26%
0-30.93%
1-31.77%
2-31.68%
0-40.23%
1-40.45%
2-40.42%
3-40.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Go Ahead Eagles
Score0123
0
25.94%
12.12%
2.83%
0.44%
1
22.89%
10.69%
2.50%
0.39%
2
10.10%
4.72%
1.10%
0.17%
3
2.97%
1.39%
0.32%
0.05%
4
0.65%
0.31%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-022.89%
2-010.10%
2-14.72%
3-02.97%
3-11.39%
3-20.32%
4-00.65%
4-10.31%
5-00.12%
Draw
0-025.94%
1-110.69%
2-21.10%
Go Ahead Eagles
0-112.12%
0-22.83%
1-22.50%
0-30.44%
1-30.39%
2-30.17%
Almere City at Volendam
Utrecht at Vitesse