Ajax at Almere City

Updated

Ajax

78.3%14.2%7.5%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.58Projected Goals 0.68
2Final Score 2

Almere City

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Heerenveen-260
W 0-2 vs Volendam-440
L 2-5 at PSV Eindhoven+900
L 3-4 at Utrecht-115
L 2-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+145
Almere City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+360
T 0-0 vs Go Ahead Eagles+200
T 1-1 at NEC Nijmegen+310
W 0-1 vs RKC Waalwijk+130
W 2-0 at Utrecht+475

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-175--185-186-186-186-185-162.2
Almere City+400-+420+445+445+445+445+472.9
Draw+340-+340+360+360+360+360+383.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-230-----185-185-162.2
Almere City+550----+425+425+472.9
Draw+400----+370+370+383.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 40.0%
Almere City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Almere City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -200 to -210
Almere City ML moved from +440 to +420

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 40.0%
Almere City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Almere City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
Almere City ML moved from +460 to +425

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+102-o3¼+100o3¼-110o3¼-110o3¼-110o3¼+100o3¼+100
Underu3¼-122-u3¼-120u3¼-110u3¼-110u3¼-110u3¼-110u3¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+100
Under-----u3¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.85%
Exactly 220.43%
Exactly 418.05%
Exactly 66.38%
Exactly 81.21%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.55%
Exactly 322.17%
Exactly 511.76%
Exactly 72.97%
Exactly 90.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 07.59%
Exactly 119.56%
Exactly 225.23%
Exactly 321.68%
Exactly 413.98%
Exactly 57.21%
Exactly 63.10%
Exactly 71.14%
Exactly 80.37%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Almere City
Exactly 050.78%
Exactly 134.41%
Exactly 211.66%
Exactly 32.63%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.14%
Exactly 225.17%
Exactly 44.77%
Exactly 60.36%
 
Exactly 133.38%
Exactly 312.65%
Exactly 51.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 030.30%
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 221.60%
Exactly 38.60%
Exactly 42.57%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almere City
Exactly 073.07%
Exactly 122.93%
Exactly 23.60%
Exactly 30.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals56.71%
Wins by 3+ goals34.60%
Wins by 4+ goals17.85%
Wins by 5+ goals7.88%
Almere City
Wins by 2+ goals1.83%
Wins by 3+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Almere City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.54%
Wins by 2 goals22.11%
Wins by 3 goals16.75%
Wins by 4 goals9.97%
Wins by 5 goals4.87%
Almere City
Wins by 1 goal5.65%
Wins by 2 goals1.51%
Wins by 3 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.15%3.85%
1.583.60%16.40%
2.563.18%36.82%
3.541.00%59.00%
4.522.95%77.05%
5.511.19%88.81%
6.54.81%95.19%
7.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.41%7.59%
1.572.85%27.15%
2.547.62%52.38%
3.525.94%74.06%
4.511.96%88.04%
5.54.75%95.25%
6.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Almere City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.22%50.78%
1.514.81%85.19%
2.53.15%96.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.86%22.14%
1.544.48%55.52%
2.519.31%80.69%
3.56.66%93.34%
4.51.89%98.11%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Almere City
Score0123
0
3.85%
2.61%
0.88%
0.20%
1
9.93%
6.73%
2.28%
0.52%
2
12.81%
8.68%
2.94%
0.66%
3
11.01%
7.46%
2.53%
0.57%
4
7.10%
4.81%
1.63%
0.37%
5
3.66%
2.48%
0.84%
0.19%
Ajax
1-09.93%
2-012.81%
2-18.68%
3-011.01%
3-17.46%
3-22.53%
4-07.10%
4-14.81%
4-21.63%
4-30.37%
5-03.66%
5-12.48%
5-20.84%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-03.85%
1-16.73%
2-22.94%
3-30.57%
Almere City
0-12.61%
0-20.88%
1-22.28%
0-30.20%
1-30.52%
2-30.66%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Almere City
Score0123
0
22.14%
6.95%
1.09%
0.11%
1
26.44%
8.29%
1.30%
0.14%
2
15.78%
4.95%
0.78%
0.08%
3
6.28%
1.97%
0.31%
0.03%
4
1.87%
0.59%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.45%
0.14%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajax
1-026.44%
2-015.78%
2-14.95%
3-06.28%
3-11.97%
3-20.31%
4-01.87%
4-10.59%
5-00.45%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-022.14%
1-18.29%
2-20.78%
Almere City
0-16.95%
0-21.09%
1-21.30%
0-30.11%
1-30.14%
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