Heerenveen at Ajax

Updated

Heerenveen

6.6%12.5%80.9%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.70Projected Goals 2.80
1Final Score 4

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Heerenveen
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Heracles Almelo-130
L 0-3 at AZ Alkmaar+750
T 1-1 vs NEC Nijmegen+110
L 0-1 at Twente+750
L 3-0 vs Excelsior-160
Ajax
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Volendam-440
L 2-5 at PSV Eindhoven+900
L 3-4 at Utrecht-115
L 2-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+145
L 1-3 at Twente+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+475+605+550+625+625+625+625+660.6
Ajax-215-247-260-265-265-265-247-224.7
Draw+370+437+400+440+440+440+440+466.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+425----+575+575+660.6
Ajax-180-----260-260-224.7
Draw+355----+450+450+466.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heerenveen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +600 to +575
Ajax ML moved from -257 to -265

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heerenveen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +545 to +525
Ajax ML moved from -235 to -260

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-110o3½-106o3½-105o3½-103o3½-103o3½-103o3½-103o3½+106
Underu3½-110u3½-110u3½-115u3½-117u3½-117u3½-117u3½-110u3½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+106
Under-----u3½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-120 to u3¼-112

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.02%
Exactly 218.50%
Exactly 418.88%
Exactly 67.71%
Exactly 81.68%
Exactly 100.23%
 
Exactly 110.58%
Exactly 321.58%
Exactly 513.21%
Exactly 73.85%
Exactly 90.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 049.91%
Exactly 134.69%
Exactly 212.05%
Exactly 32.79%
Exactly 40.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 06.06%
Exactly 116.98%
Exactly 223.81%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 415.60%
Exactly 58.75%
Exactly 64.09%
Exactly 71.64%
Exactly 80.57%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.79%
Exactly 225.97%
Exactly 45.68%
Exactly 60.50%
 
Exactly 132.06%
Exactly 314.02%
Exactly 51.84%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 072.49%
Exactly 123.32%
Exactly 23.75%
Exactly 30.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 027.30%
Exactly 135.44%
Exactly 223.01%
Exactly 39.96%
Exactly 43.23%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals1.60%
Wins by 3+ goals0.28%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals60.96%
Wins by 3+ goals39.22%
Wins by 4+ goals21.52%
Wins by 5+ goals10.16%
Wins by 6+ goals4.16%
Wins by 7+ goals1.48%
Wins by 8+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Heerenveen
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal4.92%
Wins by 2 goals1.32%
Wins by 3 goals0.25%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal19.89%
Wins by 2 goals21.75%
Wins by 3 goals17.70%
Wins by 4 goals11.36%
Wins by 5 goals6.00%
Wins by 6 goals2.68%
Wins by 7 goals1.04%
Wins by 8 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.98%3.02%
1.586.40%13.60%
2.567.90%32.10%
3.546.32%53.68%
4.527.44%72.56%
5.514.23%85.77%
6.56.52%93.48%
7.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.09%49.91%
1.515.41%84.59%
2.53.35%96.65%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.94%6.06%
1.576.96%23.04%
2.553.15%46.85%
3.530.90%69.10%
4.515.30%84.70%
5.56.55%93.45%
6.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.21%19.79%
1.548.15%51.85%
2.522.19%77.81%
3.58.16%91.84%
4.52.48%97.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heerenveen
Ajax
Score012345
0
3.02%
8.47%
11.88%
11.11%
7.79%
4.37%
1
2.10%
5.89%
8.26%
7.72%
5.41%
3.04%
2
0.73%
2.05%
2.87%
2.68%
1.88%
1.05%
3
0.17%
0.47%
0.66%
0.62%
0.44%
0.24%
Heerenveen
1-02.10%
2-00.73%
2-12.05%
3-00.17%
3-10.47%
3-20.66%
Draw
0-03.02%
1-15.89%
2-22.87%
3-30.62%
Ajax
0-18.47%
0-211.88%
1-28.26%
0-311.11%
1-37.72%
2-32.68%
0-47.79%
1-45.41%
2-41.88%
3-40.44%
0-54.37%
1-53.04%
2-51.05%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Heerenveen
Ajax
Score0123456
0
19.79%
25.69%
16.68%
7.22%
2.34%
0.61%
0.13%
1
6.37%
8.27%
5.37%
2.32%
0.75%
0.20%
0.04%
2
1.02%
1.33%
0.86%
0.37%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.11%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-06.37%
2-01.02%
2-11.33%
3-00.11%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-019.79%
1-18.27%
2-20.86%
Ajax
0-125.69%
0-216.68%
1-25.37%
0-37.22%
1-32.32%
2-30.37%
0-42.34%
1-40.75%
2-40.12%
0-50.61%
1-50.20%
0-60.13%
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