Heerenveen at Ajax

Updated

Heerenveen

6.6%12.5%80.9%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.70Projected Goals 2.80
1Final Score 4

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Heerenveen
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Heracles Almelo-130
L 0-3 at AZ Alkmaar+750
T 1-1 vs NEC Nijmegen+110
L 0-1 at Twente+750
L 3-0 vs Excelsior-160
Ajax
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Volendam-440
L 2-5 at PSV Eindhoven+900
L 3-4 at Utrecht-115
L 2-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+145
L 1-3 at Twente+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+475+605+550+625+625+625+625+660.6
Ajax-215-247-260-265-265-265-247-224.7
Draw+370+437+400+440+440+440+440+466.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+425----+575+575+660.6
Ajax-180-----260-260-224.7
Draw+355----+450+450+466.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +600 to +575
Ajax ML moved from -257 to -265

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +545 to +525
Ajax ML moved from -235 to -260

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-110o3½-106o3½-105o3½-103o3½-103o3½-103o3½-103o3½+106
Underu3½-110u3½-110u3½-115u3½-117u3½-117u3½-117u3½-110u3½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+106
Under-----u3½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-120 to u3¼-112

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.02%
Exactly 218.50%
Exactly 418.88%
Exactly 67.71%
Exactly 81.68%
Exactly 100.23%
 
Exactly 110.58%
Exactly 321.58%
Exactly 513.21%
Exactly 73.85%
Exactly 90.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 049.91%
Exactly 134.69%
Exactly 212.05%
Exactly 32.79%
Exactly 40.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 06.06%
Exactly 116.98%
Exactly 223.81%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 415.60%
Exactly 58.75%
Exactly 64.09%
Exactly 71.64%
Exactly 80.57%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.79%
Exactly 225.97%
Exactly 45.68%
Exactly 60.50%
 
Exactly 132.06%
Exactly 314.02%
Exactly 51.84%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 072.49%
Exactly 123.32%
Exactly 23.75%
Exactly 30.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 027.30%
Exactly 135.44%
Exactly 223.01%
Exactly 39.96%
Exactly 43.23%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals1.60%
Wins by 3+ goals0.28%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals60.96%
Wins by 3+ goals39.22%
Wins by 4+ goals21.52%
Wins by 5+ goals10.16%
Wins by 6+ goals4.16%
Wins by 7+ goals1.48%
Wins by 8+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Heerenveen
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal4.92%
Wins by 2 goals1.32%
Wins by 3 goals0.25%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal19.89%
Wins by 2 goals21.75%
Wins by 3 goals17.70%
Wins by 4 goals11.36%
Wins by 5 goals6.00%
Wins by 6 goals2.68%
Wins by 7 goals1.04%
Wins by 8 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.98%3.02%
1.586.40%13.60%
2.567.90%32.10%
3.546.32%53.68%
4.527.44%72.56%
5.514.23%85.77%
6.56.52%93.48%
7.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.09%49.91%
1.515.41%84.59%
2.53.35%96.65%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.94%6.06%
1.576.96%23.04%
2.553.15%46.85%
3.530.90%69.10%
4.515.30%84.70%
5.56.55%93.45%
6.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.21%19.79%
1.548.15%51.85%
2.522.19%77.81%
3.58.16%91.84%
4.52.48%97.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heerenveen
Ajax
Score012345
0
3.02%
8.47%
11.88%
11.11%
7.79%
4.37%
1
2.10%
5.89%
8.26%
7.72%
5.41%
3.04%
2
0.73%
2.05%
2.87%
2.68%
1.88%
1.05%
3
0.17%
0.47%
0.66%
0.62%
0.44%
0.24%
Heerenveen
1-02.10%
2-00.73%
2-12.05%
3-00.17%
3-10.47%
3-20.66%
Draw
0-03.02%
1-15.89%
2-22.87%
3-30.62%
Ajax
0-18.47%
0-211.88%
1-28.26%
0-311.11%
1-37.72%
2-32.68%
0-47.79%
1-45.41%
2-41.88%
3-40.44%
0-54.37%
1-53.04%
2-51.05%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Heerenveen
Ajax
Score0123456
0
19.79%
25.69%
16.68%
7.22%
2.34%
0.61%
0.13%
1
6.37%
8.27%
5.37%
2.32%
0.75%
0.20%
0.04%
2
1.02%
1.33%
0.86%
0.37%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.11%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-06.37%
2-01.02%
2-11.33%
3-00.11%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-019.79%
1-18.27%
2-20.86%
Ajax
0-125.69%
0-216.68%
1-25.37%
0-37.22%
1-32.32%
2-30.37%
0-42.34%
1-40.75%
2-40.12%
0-50.61%
1-50.20%
0-60.13%