Zwolle at Ajax

Updated

Zwolle

5.0%10.5%84.6%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.64Projected Goals 3.03
2Final Score 2

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Zwolle
Money Line
L 3-1 vs NEC Nijmegen+120
W 5-0 at Volendam+145
L 2-1 vs RKC Waalwijk+100
L 0-4 at PSV Eindhoven+2300
W 0-2 vs Fortuna Sittard+120
Ajax
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-280
W 2-1 at NEC Nijmegen-140
W 0-5 vs Vitesse-335
T 2-2 at Almere City-185
W 1-4 vs Heerenveen-260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zwolle+700+1011+900+1050+972+1075+1075+1134.2
Ajax-305-429-460-485-481-495-429-380.9
Draw+420+619+575+650+620+650+650+687.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zwolle+825----+1000+1000+1134.2
Ajax-340-----475-475-380.9
Draw+485----+650+650+687.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Zwolle: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Zwolle: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Zwolle ML moved from +1042 to +1011
Ajax ML moved from -423 to -444

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Zwolle: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Zwolle: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Zwolle ML moved from +825 to +800
Ajax ML moved from -450 to -475

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-110o4+115o3¾-118o3¾-115o3¾-112o3¾-115o3¾-112o3¾-104
Underu3½-110u4-137u3¾-102u3¾-105u3¾-108u3¾-105u3¾-102u3¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¾-104
Under-----u3¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-113 to o3¾-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.56%
Exactly 217.18%
Exactly 419.25%
Exactly 68.63%
Exactly 82.07%
Exactly 100.31%
 
Exactly 19.37%
Exactly 321.00%
Exactly 514.12%
Exactly 74.52%
Exactly 90.84%
Exactly 110.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Zwolle
Exactly 052.78%
Exactly 133.73%
Exactly 210.77%
Exactly 32.29%
Exactly 40.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 04.84%
Exactly 114.66%
Exactly 222.20%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.96%
Exactly 510.27%
Exactly 65.18%
Exactly 72.24%
Exactly 80.85%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.31%
Exactly 226.39%
Exactly 46.34%
Exactly 60.61%
 
Exactly 131.09%
Exactly 314.93%
Exactly 52.15%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Zwolle
Exactly 074.39%
Exactly 122.01%
Exactly 23.26%
Exactly 30.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 024.61%
Exactly 134.50%
Exactly 224.19%
Exactly 311.30%
Exactly 43.96%
Exactly 51.11%
Exactly 60.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Zwolle
Wins by 2+ goals1.12%
Wins by 3+ goals0.18%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals66.37%
Wins by 3+ goals45.02%
Wins by 4+ goals26.24%
Wins by 5+ goals13.21%
Wins by 6+ goals5.78%
Wins by 7+ goals2.19%
Wins by 8+ goals0.69%
Wins by 9+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Zwolle
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Zwolle
Wins by 1 goal3.80%
Wins by 2 goals0.94%
Wins by 3 goals0.16%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal18.06%
Wins by 2 goals21.35%
Wins by 3 goals18.78%
Wins by 4 goals13.03%
Wins by 5 goals7.43%
Wins by 6 goals3.59%
Wins by 7 goals1.50%
Wins by 8 goals0.54%
Wins by 9 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.44%2.56%
1.588.07%11.93%
2.570.89%29.11%
3.549.89%50.11%
4.530.64%69.36%
5.516.52%83.48%
6.57.89%92.11%
7.53.37%96.63%
8.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Zwolle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.22%52.78%
1.513.49%86.51%
2.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.16%4.84%
1.580.50%19.50%
2.558.30%41.70%
3.535.90%64.10%
4.518.94%81.06%
5.58.68%91.32%
6.53.49%96.51%
7.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.69%18.31%
1.550.61%49.39%
2.524.22%75.78%
3.59.29%90.71%
4.52.95%97.05%

Score Props

Correct Score

Zwolle
Ajax
Score012345
0
2.56%
7.74%
11.72%
11.82%
8.95%
5.42%
1
1.63%
4.94%
7.49%
7.56%
5.72%
3.46%
2
0.52%
1.58%
2.39%
2.41%
1.83%
1.11%
3
0.11%
0.34%
0.51%
0.51%
0.39%
0.24%
Zwolle
1-01.63%
2-00.52%
2-11.58%
3-00.11%
3-10.34%
3-20.51%
Draw
0-02.56%
1-14.94%
2-22.39%
3-30.51%
Ajax
0-17.74%
0-211.72%
1-27.49%
0-311.82%
1-37.56%
2-32.41%
0-48.95%
1-45.72%
2-41.83%
3-40.39%
0-55.42%
1-53.46%
2-51.11%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Zwolle
Ajax
Score0123456
0
18.31%
25.67%
17.99%
8.41%
2.95%
0.83%
0.19%
1
5.42%
7.59%
5.32%
2.49%
0.87%
0.24%
0.06%
2
0.80%
1.12%
0.79%
0.37%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Zwolle
1-05.42%
2-00.80%
2-11.12%
Draw
0-018.31%
1-17.59%
2-20.79%
Ajax
0-125.67%
0-217.99%
1-25.32%
0-38.41%
1-32.49%
2-30.37%
0-42.95%
1-40.87%
2-40.13%
0-50.83%
1-50.24%
0-60.19%