Heracles Almelo at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Heracles Almelo

20.8%23.9%55.3%
Heracles Almelo WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.71
1Final Score 3

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Ajax+430
T 1-1 vs Volendam-150
W 2-1 at RKC Waalwijk+310
L 4-0 vs Feyenoord+1100
L 0-2 at Vitesse+220
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 2-2 at Go Ahead Eagles+225
W 0-1 vs Twente+300
T 2-2 at Feyenoord+1750
W 1-4 vs Fortuna Sittard-105
W 3-1 at Zwolle+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+344+460+440+455+467+455+467+482.9
NEC Nijmegen-132-173-180-180-184-180-173-157.8
Draw+307+339+340+340+342+340+342+362.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+365----+450+450+482.9
NEC Nijmegen-145-----175-175-157.8
Draw+310----+330+330+362.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +360 to +350
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -180 to -190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Heracles Almelo ML
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -165 to -175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-114o3-104o3-105o3-106o3-107o3-106o3-104o3+104
Underu3-104u3-114u3-115u3-114u3-111u3-114u3-111u3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+104
Under-----u3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.1%
 
No49.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.03%
Exactly 224.77%
Exactly 414.56%
Exactly 63.42%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.66%
Exactly 321.93%
Exactly 57.73%
Exactly 71.30%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 038.83%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.37%
Exactly 35.48%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 018.10%
Exactly 130.94%
Exactly 226.44%
Exactly 315.07%
Exactly 46.44%
Exactly 52.20%
Exactly 60.63%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.24%
Exactly 222.10%
Exactly 42.78%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 39.06%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 064.53%
Exactly 128.27%
Exactly 26.19%
Exactly 30.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 045.32%
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 214.19%
Exactly 33.74%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals7.03%
Wins by 3+ goals1.81%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals30.58%
Wins by 3+ goals13.53%
Wins by 4+ goals4.90%
Wins by 5+ goals1.47%
Wins by 6+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
NEC Nijmegen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal13.68%
Wins by 2 goals5.22%
Wins by 3 goals1.46%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal24.72%
Wins by 2 goals17.05%
Wins by 3 goals8.63%
Wins by 4 goals3.43%
Wins by 5 goals1.11%
Wins by 6 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.97%7.03%
1.574.31%25.69%
2.549.54%50.46%
3.527.61%72.39%
4.513.05%86.95%
5.55.32%94.68%
6.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.17%38.83%
1.524.44%75.56%
2.57.06%92.94%
3.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.90%18.10%
1.550.97%49.03%
2.524.53%75.47%
3.59.46%90.54%
4.53.02%96.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.76%29.24%
1.534.80%65.20%
2.512.70%87.30%
3.53.64%96.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
7.03%
12.01%
10.27%
5.85%
2.50%
0.85%
1
6.65%
11.36%
9.71%
5.53%
2.37%
0.81%
2
3.14%
5.37%
4.59%
2.62%
1.12%
0.38%
3
0.99%
1.69%
1.45%
0.83%
0.35%
0.12%
4
0.23%
0.40%
0.34%
0.20%
0.08%
0.03%
Heracles Almelo
1-06.65%
2-03.14%
2-15.37%
3-00.99%
3-11.69%
3-21.45%
4-00.23%
4-10.40%
4-20.34%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-07.03%
1-111.36%
2-24.59%
3-30.83%
NEC Nijmegen
0-112.01%
0-210.27%
1-29.71%
0-35.85%
1-35.53%
2-32.62%
0-42.50%
1-42.37%
2-41.12%
3-40.35%
0-50.85%
1-50.81%
2-50.38%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
29.24%
23.15%
9.16%
2.42%
0.48%
1
12.81%
10.14%
4.01%
1.06%
0.21%
2
2.81%
2.22%
0.88%
0.23%
0.05%
3
0.41%
0.32%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Heracles Almelo
1-012.81%
2-02.81%
2-12.22%
3-00.41%
3-10.32%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-029.24%
1-110.14%
2-20.88%
NEC Nijmegen
0-123.15%
0-29.16%
1-24.01%
0-32.42%
1-31.06%
2-30.23%
0-40.48%
1-40.21%
PSV Eindhoven at Ajax
Go Ahead Eag at Vitesse