AZ Alkmaar at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

13.1%17.4%69.5%
WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
0.95Projected Goals 2.40
1Final Score 5

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 0-5 at Heracles Almelo-225
W 0-2 vs Vitesse-500
W 4-0 at Volendam-575
W 0-4 vs Excelsior-410
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+100
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 2-0 at Excelsior-750
L 1-3 at NEC Nijmegen-275
W 0-1 vs Twente-250
W 1-0 at Go Ahead Eagles-245
T 2-2 vs Feyenoord-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+600+602+575+610+603+610+610+645.6
PSV Eindhoven-245-233-250-244-255-244-233-208.1
Draw+360+405+400+400+402+400+405+425.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+545----+600+600+645.6
PSV Eindhoven-210-----240-240-208.1
Draw+365----+390+390+425.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +620 to +610
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -238 to -244

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +650 to +600
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -250 to -265

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3-128o3¼+102o3¼+100o3¼+102o3¼+100o3-128o3¼+109
Underu3+105u3+108u3¼-122u3¼-120u3¼-124u3¼-120u3¼-120u3¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+109
Under-----u3¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.7%
 
No44.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.51%
Exactly 219.70%
Exactly 418.41%
Exactly 66.88%
Exactly 81.38%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.77%
Exactly 321.99%
Exactly 512.33%
Exactly 73.29%
Exactly 90.51%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 038.73%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.42%
Exactly 35.51%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 09.07%
Exactly 121.77%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 320.90%
Exactly 412.54%
Exactly 56.02%
Exactly 62.41%
Exactly 70.83%
Exactly 80.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.22%
Exactly 225.50%
Exactly 45.11%
Exactly 60.41%
 
Exactly 132.89%
Exactly 313.18%
Exactly 51.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 064.46%
Exactly 128.31%
Exactly 26.22%
Exactly 30.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 032.92%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 220.32%
Exactly 37.53%
Exactly 42.09%
Exactly 50.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals4.22%
Wins by 3+ goals1.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals46.94%
Wins by 3+ goals26.59%
Wins by 4+ goals12.70%
Wins by 5+ goals5.16%
Wins by 6+ goals1.79%
Wins by 7+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal8.87%
Wins by 2 goals3.17%
Wins by 3 goals0.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal22.45%
Wins by 2 goals20.35%
Wins by 3 goals13.90%
Wins by 4 goals7.54%
Wins by 5 goals3.37%
Wins by 6 goals1.28%
Wins by 7 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.49%3.51%
1.584.72%15.28%
2.565.02%34.98%
3.543.04%56.96%
4.524.63%75.37%
5.512.30%87.70%
6.55.42%94.58%
7.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.27%38.73%
1.524.53%75.47%
2.57.11%92.89%
3.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.93%9.07%
1.569.16%30.84%
2.543.03%56.97%
3.522.13%77.87%
4.59.59%90.41%
5.53.57%96.43%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.78%21.22%
1.545.89%54.11%
2.520.39%79.61%
3.57.21%92.79%
4.52.10%97.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
3.51%
8.43%
10.12%
8.10%
4.86%
2.33%
1
3.33%
8.00%
9.60%
7.68%
4.61%
2.21%
2
1.58%
3.79%
4.55%
3.64%
2.18%
1.05%
3
0.50%
1.20%
1.44%
1.15%
0.69%
0.33%
4
0.12%
0.28%
0.34%
0.27%
0.16%
0.08%
AZ Alkmaar
1-03.33%
2-01.58%
2-13.79%
3-00.50%
3-11.20%
3-21.44%
4-00.12%
4-10.28%
4-20.34%
4-30.27%
Draw
0-03.51%
1-18.00%
2-24.55%
3-31.15%
4-40.16%
PSV Eindhoven
0-18.43%
0-210.12%
1-29.60%
0-38.10%
1-37.68%
2-33.64%
0-44.86%
1-44.61%
2-42.18%
3-40.69%
0-52.33%
1-52.21%
2-51.05%
3-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
21.22%
23.58%
13.10%
4.85%
1.35%
0.30%
1
9.32%
10.35%
5.75%
2.13%
0.59%
0.13%
2
2.05%
2.27%
1.26%
0.47%
0.13%
0.03%
3
0.30%
0.33%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-09.32%
2-02.05%
2-12.27%
3-00.30%
3-10.33%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-021.22%
1-110.35%
2-21.26%
PSV Eindhoven
0-123.58%
0-213.10%
1-25.75%
0-34.85%
1-32.13%
2-30.47%
0-41.35%
1-40.59%
2-40.13%
0-50.30%
1-50.13%