Heracles Almelo at Almere City

Updated

Heracles Almelo

38.9%28.4%32.7%
Heracles Almelo WinDrawAlmere City Win
1.20Projected Goals 1.08
5Final Score 0

Almere City

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 1-4 at Fortuna Sittard+340
L 6-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+1050
L 0-3 at Heerenveen+325
T 2-2 vs Twente+435
L 0-4 at Go Ahead Eagles+305
Almere City
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Ajax+425
W 2-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+360
T 0-0 vs Go Ahead Eagles+200
T 1-1 at NEC Nijmegen+310
W 0-1 vs RKC Waalwijk+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+250-+275+295+295+295+295+314.0
Almere City+100--110-112-112-112-110-101.6
Draw+260-+260+275+275+275+275+293.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+285----+255+255+314.0
Almere City-110-----105-105-101.6
Draw+275----+290+290+293.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 50.0%
Almere City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Almere City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +285 to +275
Almere City ML moved from -110 to -118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 50.0%
Almere City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Almere City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +285 to +255
Almere City ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115-o2¾-115o2¾-112o2¾-112o2¾-112o2¾-112o2¾-102
Underu2¾-105-u2¾-105u2¾-108u2¾-108u2¾-108u2¾-105u2¾+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-102
Under-----u2¾+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.23%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 411.51%
Exactly 61.99%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.33%
Exactly 320.20%
Exactly 55.25%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 030.05%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 221.72%
Exactly 38.70%
Exactly 42.62%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Almere City
Exactly 034.06%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.76%
Exactly 37.09%
Exactly 41.91%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.81%
Exactly 219.38%
Exactly 41.80%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 057.31%
Exactly 131.90%
Exactly 28.88%
Exactly 31.65%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almere City
Exactly 060.73%
Exactly 130.29%
Exactly 27.55%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals16.66%
Wins by 3+ goals5.51%
Wins by 4+ goals1.45%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%
Almere City
Wins by 2+ goals12.71%
Wins by 3+ goals3.76%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
Almere City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal22.19%
Wins by 2 goals11.15%
Wins by 3 goals4.06%
Wins by 4 goals1.15%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%
Almere City
Wins by 1 goal19.88%
Wins by 2 goals8.95%
Wins by 3 goals2.91%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.77%10.23%
1.566.44%33.56%
2.539.85%60.15%
3.519.65%80.35%
4.58.14%91.86%
5.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.95%30.05%
1.533.82%66.18%
2.512.10%87.90%
3.53.40%96.60%

Total Goals Almere City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.94%34.06%
1.529.26%70.74%
2.59.50%90.50%
3.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.19%34.81%
1.528.46%71.54%
2.59.08%90.92%
3.52.26%97.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
Almere City
Score012345
0
10.23%
11.02%
5.94%
2.13%
0.57%
0.12%
1
12.30%
13.25%
7.14%
2.56%
0.69%
0.15%
2
7.40%
7.97%
4.29%
1.54%
0.41%
0.09%
3
2.96%
3.19%
1.72%
0.62%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.89%
0.96%
0.52%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.21%
0.23%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-012.30%
2-07.40%
2-17.97%
3-02.96%
3-13.19%
3-21.72%
4-00.89%
4-10.96%
4-20.52%
4-30.19%
5-00.21%
5-10.23%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-010.23%
1-113.25%
2-24.29%
3-30.62%
Almere City
0-111.02%
0-25.94%
1-27.14%
0-32.13%
1-32.56%
2-31.54%
0-40.57%
1-40.69%
2-40.41%
3-40.17%
0-50.12%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
Almere City
Score0123
0
34.81%
17.36%
4.33%
0.72%
1
19.38%
9.66%
2.41%
0.40%
2
5.39%
2.69%
0.67%
0.11%
3
1.00%
0.50%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-019.38%
2-05.39%
2-12.69%
3-01.00%
3-10.50%
3-20.12%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-034.81%
1-19.66%
2-20.67%
Almere City
0-117.36%
0-24.33%
1-22.41%
0-30.72%
1-30.40%
2-30.11%
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