Heerenveen at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

Heerenveen

30.5%25.9%43.6%
Heerenveen WinDrawFortuna Sittard Win
1.18Projected Goals 1.45
0Final Score 3

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

Heerenveen
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam+130
L 0-3 at NEC Nijmegen+220
T 1-1 vs Zwolle-150
L 1-2 at Heracles Almelo+140
W 1-2 vs Groningen+150
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Groningen-105
T 0-0 at Willem II+230
W 0-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+375
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+425
L 3-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+1100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+229+251+240+230+245+230+251+246.3
Fortuna Sittard+122+116+110+119+111+119+119+129.8
Draw+251+242+225+250+239+245+245+262.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+225----+255+255+246.3
Fortuna Sittard+120----+110+110+129.8
Draw+245----+245+245+262.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 10.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heerenveen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 10.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +259 to +251
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +108 to +101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 10.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heerenveen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 20.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +270 to +255
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +110 to +100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-139o2½-112o2½-110o2½-110o2½-110o2½-110o2½-110o2½+100
Underu2½+118u2½-105u2½-110u2½-110u2½-110u2½-110u2½-105u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.9%
 
No47.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.23%
Exactly 224.95%
Exactly 414.34%
Exactly 63.30%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 119.00%
Exactly 321.84%
Exactly 57.53%
Exactly 71.24%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 030.96%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 221.28%
Exactly 38.32%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 023.36%
Exactly 133.97%
Exactly 224.70%
Exactly 311.97%
Exactly 44.35%
Exactly 51.27%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.64%
Exactly 221.92%
Exactly 42.70%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 38.88%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 058.11%
Exactly 131.54%
Exactly 28.56%
Exactly 31.55%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 051.00%
Exactly 134.34%
Exactly 211.56%
Exactly 32.59%
Exactly 40.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals12.38%
Wins by 3+ goals3.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals21.09%
Wins by 3+ goals8.05%
Wins by 4+ goals2.47%
Wins by 5+ goals0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal18.08%
Wins by 2 goals8.47%
Wins by 3 goals2.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal22.43%
Wins by 2 goals13.03%
Wins by 3 goals5.58%
Wins by 4 goals1.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.77%7.23%
1.573.77%26.23%
2.548.82%51.18%
3.526.98%73.02%
4.512.64%87.36%
5.55.10%94.90%
6.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.04%30.96%
1.532.74%67.26%
2.511.46%88.54%
3.53.14%96.86%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.64%23.36%
1.542.67%57.33%
2.517.98%82.02%
3.56.00%94.00%
4.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.36%29.64%
1.534.32%65.68%
2.512.40%87.60%
3.53.52%96.48%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
Score012345
0
7.23%
10.52%
7.65%
3.71%
1.35%
0.39%
1
8.48%
12.33%
8.97%
4.35%
1.58%
0.46%
2
4.97%
7.23%
5.26%
2.55%
0.93%
0.27%
3
1.94%
2.82%
2.05%
1.00%
0.36%
0.11%
4
0.57%
0.83%
0.60%
0.29%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.13%
0.19%
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Heerenveen
1-08.48%
2-04.97%
2-17.23%
3-01.94%
3-12.82%
3-22.05%
4-00.57%
4-10.83%
4-20.60%
4-30.29%
5-00.13%
5-10.19%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-07.23%
1-112.33%
2-25.26%
3-31.00%
4-40.11%
Fortuna Sittard
0-110.52%
0-27.65%
1-28.97%
0-33.71%
1-34.35%
2-32.55%
0-41.35%
1-41.58%
2-40.93%
3-40.36%
0-50.39%
1-50.46%
2-50.27%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
Score01234
0
29.64%
19.96%
6.72%
1.51%
0.25%
1
16.09%
10.83%
3.65%
0.82%
0.14%
2
4.37%
2.94%
0.99%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.79%
0.53%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.11%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-016.09%
2-04.37%
2-12.94%
3-00.79%
3-10.53%
3-20.18%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-029.64%
1-110.83%
2-20.99%
Fortuna Sittard
0-119.96%
0-26.72%
1-23.65%
0-31.51%
1-30.82%
2-30.22%
0-40.25%
1-40.14%
AZ Alkmaar at Feyenoord
Zwolle at Go Ahead Eag