AZ Alkmaar at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

44.4%25.5%30.1%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawFortuna Sittard Win
1.50Projected Goals 1.19
0Final Score 1

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Utrecht-180
W 2-1 at Zwolle-260
W 1-9 vs Heerenveen-260
W 3-0 at RKC Waalwijk-220
T 0-0 at Groningen+105
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+425
L 3-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+1100
L 0-5 at Ajax+900
L 0-1 at NAC Breda+130
L 3-0 vs NEC Nijmegen+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-147-123-130-123-134-123-123-109.7
Fortuna Sittard+420+358+360+330+375+330+375+353.4
Draw+295+271+245+270+275+270+275+290.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-165-----130-130-109.7
Fortuna Sittard+450----+375+375+353.4
Draw+310----+265+265+290.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -132 to -139
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +387 to +375

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -165 to -175
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +425 to +375

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+108o2½-121o2½-118o2½-120o2½-113o2½-120o2½-113o2½-109
Underu3-126u2½+103u2½-102u2½+100u2½-105u2½+100u2½+103u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-109
Under-----u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.0%
 
No46.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.80%
Exactly 224.57%
Exactly 414.80%
Exactly 63.56%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.28%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 57.95%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 022.32%
Exactly 133.47%
Exactly 225.10%
Exactly 312.55%
Exactly 44.70%
Exactly 51.41%
Exactly 60.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 030.47%
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 221.52%
Exactly 38.52%
Exactly 42.53%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.81%
Exactly 222.31%
Exactly 42.88%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 39.26%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 049.94%
Exactly 134.68%
Exactly 212.04%
Exactly 32.79%
Exactly 40.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 057.68%
Exactly 131.74%
Exactly 28.73%
Exactly 31.60%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals21.88%
Wins by 3+ goals8.55%
Wins by 4+ goals2.69%
Wins by 5+ goals0.67%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals12.29%
Wins by 3+ goals3.91%
Wins by 4+ goals1.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal22.43%
Wins by 2 goals13.33%
Wins by 3 goals5.86%
Wins by 4 goals2.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.56%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal17.77%
Wins by 2 goals8.37%
Wins by 3 goals2.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.20%6.80%
1.574.92%25.08%
2.550.34%49.66%
3.528.33%71.67%
4.513.53%86.47%
5.55.58%94.42%
6.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.68%22.32%
1.544.21%55.79%
2.519.11%80.89%
3.56.56%93.44%
4.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.53%30.47%
1.533.32%66.68%
2.511.80%88.20%
3.53.28%96.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.19%28.81%
1.535.34%64.66%
2.513.03%86.97%
3.53.78%96.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
Score012345
0
6.80%
8.08%
4.80%
1.90%
0.57%
0.13%
1
10.20%
12.12%
7.20%
2.85%
0.85%
0.20%
2
7.65%
9.09%
5.40%
2.14%
0.64%
0.15%
3
3.82%
4.54%
2.70%
1.07%
0.32%
0.08%
4
1.43%
1.70%
1.01%
0.40%
0.12%
0.03%
5
0.43%
0.51%
0.30%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
AZ Alkmaar
1-010.20%
2-07.65%
2-19.09%
3-03.82%
3-14.54%
3-22.70%
4-01.43%
4-11.70%
4-21.01%
4-30.40%
5-00.43%
5-10.51%
5-20.30%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.80%
1-112.12%
2-25.40%
3-31.07%
4-40.12%
Fortuna Sittard
0-18.08%
0-24.80%
1-27.20%
0-31.90%
1-32.85%
2-32.14%
0-40.57%
1-40.85%
2-40.64%
3-40.32%
0-50.13%
1-50.20%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
Score01234
0
28.81%
15.85%
4.36%
0.80%
0.11%
1
20.00%
11.01%
3.03%
0.56%
0.08%
2
6.94%
3.82%
1.05%
0.19%
0.03%
3
1.61%
0.88%
0.24%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.28%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-020.00%
2-06.94%
2-13.82%
3-01.61%
3-10.88%
3-20.24%
4-00.28%
4-10.15%
Draw
0-028.81%
1-111.01%
2-21.05%
Fortuna Sittard
0-115.85%
0-24.36%
1-23.03%
0-30.80%
1-30.56%
2-30.19%
0-40.11%
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