Fortuna Sittard at Ajax

Updated

Fortuna Sittard

8.4%14.0%77.6%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.79Projected Goals 2.68
0Final Score 5

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
L 0-1 at NAC Breda+130
L 3-0 vs NEC Nijmegen+120
W 0-3 vs Almere City-130
W 2-0 at Go Ahead Eagles+260
T 0-0 at Heracles Almelo+165
Ajax
Money Line
L 1-2 at NAC Breda-225
W 0-1 vs Heerenveen-240
T 2-2 at Vitesse-155
W 0-3 vs Almere City-450
W 4-1 at Volendam-360

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+578+878+800+850+882+850+882+901.3
Ajax-210-303-325-323-321-323-303-262.9
Draw+364+438+400+440+439+440+440+469.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+515----+900+900+901.3
Ajax-210-----325-325-262.9
Draw+375----+435+435+469.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +902 to +858
Ajax ML moved from -315 to -335

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortuna Sittard ML
Ajax ML moved from -310 to -325

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+104o2½-139o2¾-108o2¾+100o2¾-104o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+109
Underu3-122u2½+118u2¾-112u2¾-120u2¾-114u2¾-120u2¾-112u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+109
Under-----u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.5%
 
No49.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.13%
Exactly 218.77%
Exactly 418.79%
Exactly 67.52%
Exactly 81.61%
Exactly 100.22%
 
Exactly 110.83%
Exactly 321.68%
Exactly 513.02%
Exactly 73.72%
Exactly 90.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 045.76%
Exactly 135.77%
Exactly 213.98%
Exactly 33.64%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 06.83%
Exactly 118.33%
Exactly 224.60%
Exactly 322.01%
Exactly 414.77%
Exactly 57.93%
Exactly 63.55%
Exactly 71.36%
Exactly 80.46%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.10%
Exactly 225.87%
Exactly 45.55%
Exactly 60.48%
 
Exactly 132.25%
Exactly 313.84%
Exactly 51.78%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 069.63%
Exactly 125.20%
Exactly 24.56%
Exactly 30.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 028.86%
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 222.28%
Exactly 39.23%
Exactly 42.87%
Exactly 50.71%
Exactly 60.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals2.31%
Wins by 3+ goals0.48%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals56.66%
Wins by 3+ goals35.15%
Wins by 4+ goals18.55%
Wins by 5+ goals8.40%
Wins by 6+ goals3.30%
Wins by 7+ goals1.12%
Wins by 8+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal6.07%
Wins by 2 goals1.82%
Wins by 3 goals0.41%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal20.86%
Wins by 2 goals21.51%
Wins by 3 goals16.60%
Wins by 4 goals10.14%
Wins by 5 goals5.10%
Wins by 6 goals2.18%
Wins by 7 goals0.80%
Wins by 8 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.87%3.13%
1.586.04%13.96%
2.567.28%32.72%
3.545.59%54.41%
4.526.81%73.19%
5.513.79%86.21%
6.56.27%93.73%
7.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.24%45.76%
1.518.46%81.54%
2.54.48%95.52%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.17%6.83%
1.574.84%25.16%
2.550.24%49.76%
3.528.24%71.76%
4.513.47%86.53%
5.55.55%94.45%
6.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.90%20.10%
1.547.66%52.34%
2.521.78%78.22%
3.57.94%92.06%
4.52.39%97.61%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Score012345
0
3.13%
8.39%
11.26%
10.07%
6.76%
3.63%
1
2.44%
6.56%
8.80%
7.87%
5.28%
2.84%
2
0.95%
2.56%
3.44%
3.08%
2.06%
1.11%
3
0.25%
0.67%
0.90%
0.80%
0.54%
0.29%
Fortuna Sittard
1-02.44%
2-00.95%
2-12.56%
3-00.25%
3-10.67%
3-20.90%
Draw
0-03.13%
1-16.56%
2-23.44%
3-30.80%
4-40.11%
Ajax
0-18.39%
0-211.26%
1-28.80%
0-310.07%
1-37.87%
2-33.08%
0-46.76%
1-45.28%
2-42.06%
3-40.54%
0-53.63%
1-52.84%
2-51.11%
3-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Score0123456
0
20.10%
24.97%
15.52%
6.43%
2.00%
0.50%
0.10%
1
7.27%
9.04%
5.62%
2.33%
0.72%
0.18%
0.04%
2
1.32%
1.64%
1.02%
0.42%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.16%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Fortuna Sittard
1-07.27%
2-01.32%
2-11.64%
3-00.16%
3-10.20%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-020.10%
1-19.04%
2-21.02%
Ajax
0-124.97%
0-215.52%
1-25.62%
0-36.43%
1-32.33%
2-30.42%
0-42.00%
1-40.72%
2-40.13%
0-50.50%
1-50.18%
0-60.10%
Heerenveen at Twente
AZ Alkmaar at Zwolle