Ajax at NAC Breda

Updated

Ajax

74.1%15.0%10.9%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.72Projected Goals 0.96
1Final Score 2

NAC Breda

Last Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Heerenveen-240
T 2-2 at Vitesse-155
W 0-3 vs Almere City-450
W 4-1 at Volendam-360
T 2-2 vs Excelsior-320
NAC Breda
Money Line
L 1-4 at Groningen+420

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-385-205-220-222-214-222-205-190.1
NAC Breda+775+507+500+500+509+500+509+531.3
Draw+525+392+370+410+410+410+410+436.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-365-----225-225-190.1
NAC Breda+800----+500+500+531.3
Draw+550----+425+425+436.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 30.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -199 to -205
NAC Breda ML moved from +502 to +490

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 30.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -230 to -245
NAC Breda ML moved from +525 to +500

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¾-105o3-139o3¼-105o3¼+100o3¼-101o3¼+100o3¼+100o3¼+109
Underu3¾-115u3+118u3¼-115u3¼-120u3¼-117u3¼-120u3¼-115u3¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+109
Under-----u3¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.8%
 
No42.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.53%
Exactly 217.12%
Exactly 419.27%
Exactly 68.67%
Exactly 82.09%
Exactly 100.31%
 
Exactly 19.31%
Exactly 320.97%
Exactly 514.16%
Exactly 74.55%
Exactly 90.85%
Exactly 110.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 06.65%
Exactly 118.02%
Exactly 224.43%
Exactly 322.07%
Exactly 414.96%
Exactly 58.11%
Exactly 63.66%
Exactly 71.42%
Exactly 80.48%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 038.12%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.73%
Exactly 35.70%
Exactly 41.37%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.24%
Exactly 226.41%
Exactly 46.37%
Exactly 60.62%
 
Exactly 131.04%
Exactly 314.98%
Exactly 52.17%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 028.51%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 222.45%
Exactly 39.39%
Exactly 42.95%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 063.98%
Exactly 128.57%
Exactly 26.38%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals53.36%
Wins by 3+ goals32.77%
Wins by 4+ goals17.19%
Wins by 5+ goals7.77%
Wins by 6+ goals3.05%
NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals3.45%
Wins by 3+ goals0.85%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
NAC Breda
6
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal20.74%
Wins by 2 goals20.59%
Wins by 3 goals15.58%
Wins by 4 goals9.42%
Wins by 5 goals4.72%
Wins by 6 goals2.01%
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal7.38%
Wins by 2 goals2.60%
Wins by 3 goals0.69%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.47%2.53%
1.588.15%11.85%
2.571.04%28.96%
3.550.07%49.93%
4.530.80%69.20%
5.516.64%83.36%
6.57.96%92.04%
7.53.41%96.59%
8.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.35%6.65%
1.575.33%24.67%
2.550.90%49.10%
3.528.83%71.17%
4.513.87%86.13%
5.55.76%94.24%
6.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.88%38.12%
1.525.12%74.88%
2.57.39%92.61%
3.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.76%18.24%
1.550.73%49.27%
2.524.32%75.68%
3.59.34%90.66%
4.52.97%97.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
NAC Breda
Score0123
0
2.53%
2.44%
1.18%
0.38%
1
6.87%
6.63%
3.20%
1.03%
2
9.31%
8.98%
4.33%
1.39%
3
8.41%
8.11%
3.91%
1.26%
4
5.70%
5.50%
2.65%
0.85%
5
3.09%
2.98%
1.44%
0.46%
6
1.40%
1.35%
0.65%
0.21%
Ajax
1-06.87%
2-09.31%
2-18.98%
3-08.41%
3-18.11%
3-23.91%
4-05.70%
4-15.50%
4-22.65%
4-30.85%
5-03.09%
5-12.98%
5-21.44%
5-30.46%
5-40.11%
6-01.40%
6-11.35%
6-20.65%
6-30.21%
Draw
0-02.53%
1-16.63%
2-24.33%
3-31.26%
4-40.21%
NAC Breda
0-12.44%
0-21.18%
1-23.20%
0-30.38%
1-31.03%
2-31.39%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
NAC Breda
Score0123
0
18.24%
8.14%
1.82%
0.27%
1
22.89%
10.22%
2.28%
0.34%
2
14.36%
6.41%
1.43%
0.21%
3
6.01%
2.68%
0.60%
0.09%
4
1.89%
0.84%
0.19%
0.03%
5
0.47%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
Ajax
1-022.89%
2-014.36%
2-16.41%
3-06.01%
3-12.68%
3-20.60%
4-01.89%
4-10.84%
4-20.19%
5-00.47%
5-10.21%
Draw
0-018.24%
1-110.22%
2-21.43%
NAC Breda
0-18.14%
0-21.82%
1-22.28%
0-30.27%
1-30.34%
2-30.21%