Almere City at Ajax

Updated

Almere City

9.7%16.4%73.9%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.74Projected Goals 2.37
0Final Score 3

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Almere City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Heerenveen+180
L 1-3 at Twente+1200
L 3-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam+180
T 1-1 at Go Ahead Eagles+380
T 0-0 at RKC Waalwijk+250
Ajax
Money Line
W 4-1 at Volendam-360
T 2-2 vs Excelsior-320
W 1-2 vs Twente+150
L 0-6 at Feyenoord+650
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almere City+775-+1000+1000+994+1000+1000+1054.6
Ajax-325--400-400-426-400-400-320.5
Draw+440-+500+530+530+530+530+561.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almere City+850----+1050+1050+1054.6
Ajax-355-----450-450-320.5
Draw+500----+580+580+561.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almere City: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Almere City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almere City: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almere City ML moved from +1010 to +994
Ajax ML moved from -420 to -426

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almere City: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Almere City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almere City: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almere City ML moved from +850 to +825
Ajax ML moved from -430 to -450

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-115-o3¼-105o3¼-110o3¼-104o3¼-110o3¼-104o3¼+100
Underu3¼-105-u3¼-115u3¼-110u3¼-116u3¼-110u3¼-110u3¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+100
Under-----u3¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.47%
Exactly 221.58%
Exactly 417.38%
Exactly 65.60%
Exactly 80.97%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 113.89%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 510.80%
Exactly 72.48%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Almere City
Exactly 047.99%
Exactly 135.23%
Exactly 212.93%
Exactly 33.17%
Exactly 40.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 09.31%
Exactly 122.11%
Exactly 226.24%
Exactly 320.76%
Exactly 412.32%
Exactly 55.85%
Exactly 62.31%
Exactly 70.78%
Exactly 80.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.72%
Exactly 224.56%
Exactly 44.24%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.13%
Exactly 311.78%
Exactly 51.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almere City
Exactly 071.18%
Exactly 124.20%
Exactly 24.11%
Exactly 30.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 033.32%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.12%
Exactly 37.37%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almere City
Wins by 2+ goals2.53%
Wins by 3+ goals0.48%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals50.86%
Wins by 3+ goals29.16%
Wins by 4+ goals14.02%
Wins by 5+ goals5.72%
Wins by 6+ goals1.99%
Wins by 7+ goals0.57%
Wins by 8+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Almere City
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Almere City
Wins by 1 goal7.09%
Wins by 2 goals2.06%
Wins by 3 goals0.42%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal22.96%
Wins by 2 goals21.70%
Wins by 3 goals15.14%
Wins by 4 goals8.30%
Wins by 5 goals3.73%
Wins by 6 goals1.42%
Wins by 7 goals0.46%
Wins by 8 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.53%4.47%
1.581.64%18.36%
2.560.06%39.94%
3.537.70%62.30%
4.520.32%79.68%
5.59.52%90.48%
6.53.93%96.07%
7.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Almere City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.01%47.99%
1.516.78%83.22%
2.53.84%96.16%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.69%9.31%
1.568.58%31.42%
2.542.35%57.65%
3.521.58%78.42%
4.59.26%90.74%
5.53.41%96.59%
6.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.28%23.72%
1.542.16%57.84%
2.517.60%82.40%
3.55.82%94.18%
4.51.59%98.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almere City
Ajax
Score012345
0
4.47%
10.61%
12.59%
9.96%
5.91%
2.81%
1
3.28%
7.79%
9.24%
7.32%
4.34%
2.06%
2
1.20%
2.86%
3.39%
2.69%
1.59%
0.76%
3
0.29%
0.70%
0.83%
0.66%
0.39%
0.19%
Almere City
1-03.28%
2-01.20%
2-12.86%
3-00.29%
3-10.70%
3-20.83%
Draw
0-04.47%
1-17.79%
2-23.39%
3-30.66%
Ajax
0-110.61%
0-212.59%
1-29.24%
0-39.96%
1-37.32%
2-32.69%
0-45.91%
1-44.34%
2-41.59%
3-40.39%
0-52.81%
1-52.06%
2-50.76%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Almere City
Ajax
Score012345
0
23.72%
26.07%
14.32%
5.25%
1.44%
0.32%
1
8.06%
8.86%
4.87%
1.78%
0.49%
0.11%
2
1.37%
1.51%
0.83%
0.30%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.16%
0.17%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Almere City
1-08.06%
2-01.37%
2-11.51%
3-00.16%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-023.72%
1-18.86%
2-20.83%
Ajax
0-126.07%
0-214.32%
1-24.87%
0-35.25%
1-31.78%
2-30.30%
0-41.44%
1-40.49%
0-50.32%
1-50.11%
Vitesse at Heerenveen
Sparta R'dam at Utrecht