Twente at Ajax

Updated

Twente

33.3%27.0%39.7%
Twente WinDrawAjax Win
1.18Projected Goals 1.31
1Final Score 2

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Fortuna Sittard-245
T 3-3 at Heerenveen-105
W 0-1 vs Heracles Almelo-550
L 0-1 at PSV Eindhoven+625
W 1-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-260
Ajax
Money Line
L 0-6 at Feyenoord+650
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-175
W 3-1 at Zwolle-180
T 2-2 at Sparta Rotterdam+115
T 2-2 vs Fortuna Sittard-190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+202+148+145+145+195+147+195+159.5
Ajax+128+182+180+179+144+181+182+195.2
Draw+270+254+230+255+242+245+254+262.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+155----+180+180+159.5
Ajax+160----+150+150+195.2
Draw+265----+240+240+262.5

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Twente: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 90.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +151 to +143
Ajax ML moved from +151 to +144

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
Ajax: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 80.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Twente ML
Ajax ML moved from +175 to +155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+108o2½-138o2¾-115o2¾+100o2¾-101o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+109
Underu3-126u2½+118u2¾-105u2¾-120u2¾-117u2¾-120u2¾-105u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+109
Under-----u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-135 to o3-128
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.29%
Exactly 225.70%
Exactly 413.28%
Exactly 62.75%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.64%
Exactly 321.33%
Exactly 56.61%
Exactly 70.98%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 030.81%
Exactly 136.27%
Exactly 221.35%
Exactly 38.38%
Exactly 42.47%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 026.91%
Exactly 135.32%
Exactly 223.19%
Exactly 310.15%
Exactly 43.33%
Exactly 50.87%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.57%
Exactly 220.98%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 38.06%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 057.98%
Exactly 131.60%
Exactly 28.61%
Exactly 31.57%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 054.45%
Exactly 133.10%
Exactly 210.06%
Exactly 32.04%
Exactly 40.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals13.73%
Wins by 3+ goals4.39%
Wins by 4+ goals1.12%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals17.93%
Wins by 3+ goals6.32%
Wins by 4+ goals1.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
Ajax
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Twente
Wins by 1 goal19.52%
Wins by 2 goals9.34%
Wins by 3 goals3.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.90%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.76%
Wins by 2 goals11.61%
Wins by 3 goals4.54%
Wins by 4 goals1.38%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.71%8.29%
1.571.07%28.93%
2.545.37%54.63%
3.524.03%75.97%
4.510.75%89.25%
5.54.14%95.86%
6.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.19%30.81%
1.532.92%67.08%
2.511.56%88.44%
3.53.18%96.82%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.09%26.91%
1.537.77%62.23%
2.514.59%85.41%
3.54.44%95.56%
4.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.43%31.57%
1.532.03%67.97%
2.511.05%88.95%
3.52.98%97.02%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
Ajax
Score012345
0
8.29%
10.88%
7.14%
3.13%
1.03%
0.27%
1
9.76%
12.81%
8.41%
3.68%
1.21%
0.32%
2
5.75%
7.54%
4.95%
2.17%
0.71%
0.19%
3
2.25%
2.96%
1.94%
0.85%
0.28%
0.07%
4
0.66%
0.87%
0.57%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.16%
0.21%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Twente
1-09.76%
2-05.75%
2-17.54%
3-02.25%
3-12.96%
3-21.94%
4-00.66%
4-10.87%
4-20.57%
4-30.25%
5-00.16%
5-10.21%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-08.29%
1-112.81%
2-24.95%
3-30.85%
Ajax
0-110.88%
0-27.14%
1-28.41%
0-33.13%
1-33.68%
2-32.17%
0-41.03%
1-41.21%
2-40.71%
3-40.28%
0-50.27%
1-50.32%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
Ajax
Score01234
0
31.57%
19.19%
5.83%
1.18%
0.18%
1
17.21%
10.46%
3.18%
0.64%
0.10%
2
4.69%
2.85%
0.87%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.85%
0.52%
0.16%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Twente
1-017.21%
2-04.69%
2-12.85%
3-00.85%
3-10.52%
3-20.16%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-031.57%
1-110.46%
2-20.87%
Ajax
0-119.19%
0-25.83%
1-23.18%
0-31.18%
1-30.64%
2-30.18%
0-40.18%
Go Ahead Eag at Utrecht
Zwolle at NEC Nijmegen