Heerenveen at Ajax

Updated

Heerenveen

17.5%21.2%61.3%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.99
0Final Score 1

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Heerenveen
Money Line
L 1-2 at Sparta Rotterdam+335
L 3-1 vs Vitesse-170
T 1-1 at Almere City+145
L 8-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+670
W 2-0 at Heracles Almelo+145
Ajax
Money Line
T 2-2 at Vitesse-155
W 0-3 vs Almere City-450
W 4-1 at Volendam-360
T 2-2 vs Excelsior-320
W 1-2 vs Twente+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+500+570+500+510+605+510+605+542.5
Ajax-195-226-235-238-242-238-226-201.7
Draw+372+407+400+440+405+440+440+468.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+520----+550+550+542.5
Ajax-210-----240-240-201.7
Draw+375----+425+425+468.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 30.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 30.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +520 to +510
Ajax ML moved from -236 to -248

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 30.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +585 to +525
Ajax ML moved from -225 to -240

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+103o3½-108o3½-108o3½-110o3½-108o3½-110o3½-108o3½+100
Underu3½-121u3½-109u3½-112u3½-110u3½-110u3½-110u3½-109u3½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+100
Under-----u3½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.2%
 
No46.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.27%
Exactly 222.82%
Exactly 416.48%
Exactly 64.76%
Exactly 80.74%
 
Exactly 115.51%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.70%
Exactly 72.00%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 038.39%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.60%
Exactly 35.62%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 013.72%
Exactly 127.26%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 317.92%
Exactly 48.90%
Exactly 53.53%
Exactly 61.17%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.59%
Exactly 223.77%
Exactly 43.68%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.88%
Exactly 310.80%
Exactly 51.00%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 064.19%
Exactly 128.46%
Exactly 26.31%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 039.87%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.86%
Exactly 35.17%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals5.85%
Wins by 3+ goals1.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals37.08%
Wins by 3+ goals18.32%
Wins by 4+ goals7.48%
Wins by 5+ goals2.54%
Wins by 6+ goals0.70%
Wins by 7+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Heerenveen
Ajax
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal11.62%
Wins by 2 goals4.36%
Wins by 3 goals1.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal24.11%
Wins by 2 goals18.76%
Wins by 3 goals10.84%
Wins by 4 goals4.94%
Wins by 5 goals1.84%
Wins by 6 goals0.57%
Wins by 7 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.73%5.27%
1.579.23%20.77%
2.556.40%43.60%
3.534.01%65.99%
4.517.53%82.47%
5.57.83%92.17%
6.53.07%96.93%
7.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.61%38.39%
1.524.86%75.14%
2.57.26%92.74%
3.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.28%13.72%
1.559.02%40.98%
2.531.96%68.04%
3.514.04%85.96%
4.55.14%94.86%
5.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.41%25.59%
1.539.53%60.47%
2.515.76%84.24%
3.54.96%95.04%
4.51.28%98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heerenveen
Ajax
Score012345
0
5.27%
10.46%
10.39%
6.88%
3.42%
1.36%
1
5.04%
10.02%
9.95%
6.59%
3.27%
1.30%
2
2.41%
4.80%
4.76%
3.15%
1.57%
0.62%
3
0.77%
1.53%
1.52%
1.01%
0.50%
0.20%
4
0.18%
0.37%
0.36%
0.24%
0.12%
0.05%
Heerenveen
1-05.04%
2-02.41%
2-14.80%
3-00.77%
3-11.53%
3-21.52%
4-00.18%
4-10.37%
4-20.36%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-05.27%
1-110.02%
2-24.76%
3-31.01%
4-40.12%
Ajax
0-110.46%
0-210.39%
1-29.95%
0-36.88%
1-36.59%
2-33.15%
0-43.42%
1-43.27%
2-41.57%
3-40.50%
0-51.36%
1-51.30%
2-50.62%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Heerenveen
Ajax
Score012345
0
25.59%
23.53%
10.82%
3.32%
0.76%
0.14%
1
11.35%
10.43%
4.80%
1.47%
0.34%
0.06%
2
2.51%
2.31%
1.06%
0.33%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.37%
0.34%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-011.35%
2-02.51%
2-12.31%
3-00.37%
3-10.34%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-025.59%
1-110.43%
2-21.06%
Ajax
0-123.53%
0-210.82%
1-24.80%
0-33.32%
1-31.47%
2-30.33%
0-40.76%
1-40.34%
0-50.14%