NEC Nijmegen at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

25.8%25.0%49.2%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawFortuna Sittard Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.59
3Final Score 0

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Zwolle-155
L 0-1 at AZ Alkmaar+520
L 2-1 vs Twente+240
L 2-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-115
W 4-1 at Almere City+135
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Almere City-130
W 2-0 at Go Ahead Eagles+260
T 0-0 at Heracles Almelo+165
T 1-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+850
T 0-0 vs Go Ahead Eagles+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+174+227+215+205+227+205+227+220.3
Fortuna Sittard+146+121+120+125+114+125+125+136.3
Draw+272+256+235+260+260+260+260+278.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+205----+225+225+220.3
Fortuna Sittard+130----+120+120+136.3
Draw+250----+245+245+278.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +225 to +215
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +123 to +117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+104o2½-122o2½-120o2½-118o2½-118o2½-118o2½-118o2½-107
Underu3-122u2½+104u2½+100u2½-102u2½+100u2½-102u2½+104u2½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-107
Under-----u2½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-112 to u2½-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.6%
 
No47.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.93%
Exactly 224.69%
Exactly 414.66%
Exactly 63.48%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.49%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 57.83%
Exactly 71.33%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 034.00%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.79%
Exactly 37.12%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 020.38%
Exactly 132.42%
Exactly 225.78%
Exactly 313.67%
Exactly 45.44%
Exactly 51.73%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.05%
Exactly 222.19%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 39.14%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 060.68%
Exactly 130.31%
Exactly 27.57%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 047.88%
Exactly 135.26%
Exactly 212.99%
Exactly 33.19%
Exactly 40.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals9.68%
Wins by 3+ goals2.79%
Wins by 4+ goals0.61%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals25.59%
Wins by 3+ goals10.60%
Wins by 4+ goals3.59%
Wins by 5+ goals1.01%
Wins by 6+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal16.01%
Wins by 2 goals6.89%
Wins by 3 goals2.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal23.60%
Wins by 2 goals14.99%
Wins by 3 goals7.02%
Wins by 4 goals2.58%
Wins by 5 goals0.78%
Wins by 6 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.07%6.93%
1.574.58%25.42%
2.549.89%50.11%
3.527.92%72.08%
4.513.26%86.74%
5.55.43%94.57%
6.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.00%34.00%
1.529.32%70.68%
2.59.54%90.46%
3.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.62%20.38%
1.547.21%52.79%
2.521.42%78.58%
3.57.75%92.25%
4.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.95%29.05%
1.535.04%64.96%
2.512.84%87.16%
3.53.70%96.30%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
Score012345
0
6.93%
11.02%
8.76%
4.65%
1.85%
0.59%
1
7.47%
11.89%
9.46%
5.01%
1.99%
0.63%
2
4.03%
6.41%
5.10%
2.70%
1.08%
0.34%
3
1.45%
2.31%
1.83%
0.97%
0.39%
0.12%
4
0.39%
0.62%
0.49%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
NEC Nijmegen
1-07.47%
2-04.03%
2-16.41%
3-01.45%
3-12.31%
3-21.83%
4-00.39%
4-10.62%
4-20.49%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-06.93%
1-111.89%
2-25.10%
3-30.97%
4-40.10%
Fortuna Sittard
0-111.02%
0-28.76%
1-29.46%
0-34.65%
1-35.01%
2-32.70%
0-41.85%
1-41.99%
2-41.08%
3-40.39%
0-50.59%
1-50.63%
2-50.34%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
Score01234
0
29.05%
21.40%
7.88%
1.93%
0.36%
1
14.51%
10.69%
3.94%
0.97%
0.18%
2
3.63%
2.67%
0.98%
0.24%
0.04%
3
0.60%
0.44%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
NEC Nijmegen
1-014.51%
2-03.63%
2-12.67%
3-00.60%
3-10.44%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-029.05%
1-110.69%
2-20.98%
Fortuna Sittard
0-121.40%
0-27.88%
1-23.94%
0-31.93%
1-30.97%
2-30.24%
0-40.36%
1-40.18%