NEC Nijmegen at Almere City

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

34.2%29.0%36.7%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawAlmere City Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.13
4Final Score 1

Almere City

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Feyenoord+360
W 3-0 at Excelsior+190
L 3-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+220
T 2-2 vs Zwolle-180
W 3-0 at Vitesse+130
Almere City
Money Line
L 0-3 at Ajax+1050
T 1-1 vs Heerenveen+180
L 1-3 at Twente+1200
L 3-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam+180
T 1-1 at Go Ahead Eagles+380

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+115-+120+131+124+131+131+142.7
Almere City+210-+200+185+191+185+200+199.4
Draw+260-+265+275+264+275+275+293.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+120----+135+135+142.7
Almere City+215----+180+180+199.4
Draw+260----+270+270+293.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Almere City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Almere City: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +142 to +133
Almere City ML moved from +188 to +177

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Almere City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Almere City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML
Almere City ML moved from +200 to +185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105-o3+102o2¾-128o3+101o2¾-128o2¾-128o2¾-117
Underu2¾-115-u3-122u2¾+108u3-123u2¾+108u3-122u2¾+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-117
Under-----u2¾+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.7%
 
No55.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.96%
Exactly 226.79%
Exactly 410.91%
Exactly 61.78%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.23%
Exactly 319.74%
Exactly 54.83%
Exactly 70.56%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 033.93%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.82%
Exactly 37.14%
Exactly 41.93%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Almere City
Exactly 032.30%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 220.63%
Exactly 37.77%
Exactly 42.20%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.93%
Exactly 218.82%
Exactly 41.64%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.42%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 060.63%
Exactly 130.34%
Exactly 27.59%
Exactly 31.27%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almere City
Exactly 059.26%
Exactly 131.01%
Exactly 28.11%
Exactly 31.42%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals13.44%
Wins by 3+ goals4.01%
Wins by 4+ goals0.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Almere City
Wins by 2+ goals14.96%
Wins by 3+ goals4.64%
Wins by 4+ goals1.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Almere City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal20.71%
Wins by 2 goals9.44%
Wins by 3 goals3.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.78%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Almere City
Wins by 1 goal21.66%
Wins by 2 goals10.32%
Wins by 3 goals3.54%
Wins by 4 goals0.93%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.04%10.96%
1.564.81%35.19%
2.538.02%61.98%
3.518.28%81.72%
4.57.37%92.63%
5.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.07%33.93%
1.529.39%70.61%
2.59.58%90.42%
3.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals Almere City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.70%32.30%
1.531.20%68.80%
2.510.57%89.43%
3.52.80%97.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.07%35.93%
1.527.30%72.70%
2.58.47%91.53%
3.52.05%97.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Almere City
Score012345
0
10.96%
12.39%
7.00%
2.64%
0.75%
0.17%
1
11.84%
13.39%
7.56%
2.85%
0.81%
0.18%
2
6.40%
7.23%
4.09%
1.54%
0.44%
0.10%
3
2.31%
2.61%
1.47%
0.55%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.62%
0.70%
0.40%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.15%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-011.84%
2-06.40%
2-17.23%
3-02.31%
3-12.61%
3-21.47%
4-00.62%
4-10.70%
4-20.40%
4-30.15%
5-00.13%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-010.96%
1-113.39%
2-24.09%
3-30.55%
Almere City
0-112.39%
0-27.00%
1-27.56%
0-32.64%
1-32.85%
2-31.54%
0-40.75%
1-40.81%
2-40.44%
3-40.16%
0-50.17%
1-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Almere City
Score01234
0
35.93%
18.80%
4.92%
0.86%
0.11%
1
17.98%
9.41%
2.46%
0.43%
0.06%
2
4.50%
2.35%
0.62%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.75%
0.39%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-017.98%
2-04.50%
2-12.35%
3-00.75%
3-10.39%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-035.93%
1-19.41%
2-20.62%
Almere City
0-118.80%
0-24.92%
1-22.46%
0-30.86%
1-30.43%
2-30.11%
0-40.11%