NEC Nijmegen at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

11.2%17.3%71.5%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.80Projected Goals 2.32
0Final Score 1

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Twente+240
L 2-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-115
W 4-1 at Almere City+135
L 3-2 vs Feyenoord+360
W 3-0 at Excelsior+190
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 1-0 at Almere City-160
T 3-3 vs Utrecht-245
W 3-0 at Go Ahead Eagles-155
W 1-2 vs Twente+120
W 3-0 at NEC Nijmegen+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+600+531+475+460+540+460+540+490.0
AZ Alkmaar-235-197-200-196-201-196-196-169.2
Draw+340+357+340+370+359+370+370+395.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+510----+520+520+490.0
AZ Alkmaar-200-----200-200-169.2
Draw+355----+345+345+395.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +500 to +475
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -196 to -204

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML
No Steam Moves On AZ Alkmaar ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3-109o3-105o3-107o3-104o3-107o3-104o3+103
Underu3-110u3-108u3-115u3-113u3-114u3-113u3-108u3-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+103
Under-----u3-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.7%
 
No50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.41%
Exactly 221.48%
Exactly 417.44%
Exactly 65.67%
Exactly 80.99%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.76%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 510.89%
Exactly 72.53%
Exactly 90.34%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 044.93%
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 214.38%
Exactly 33.84%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 09.81%
Exactly 122.77%
Exactly 226.44%
Exactly 320.46%
Exactly 411.88%
Exactly 55.52%
Exactly 62.13%
Exactly 70.71%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.56%
Exactly 224.62%
Exactly 44.29%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.06%
Exactly 311.86%
Exactly 51.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 069.04%
Exactly 125.58%
Exactly 24.74%
Exactly 30.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 034.13%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.72%
Exactly 37.07%
Exactly 41.90%
Exactly 50.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals3.21%
Wins by 3+ goals0.70%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals48.26%
Wins by 3+ goals27.08%
Wins by 4+ goals12.74%
Wins by 5+ goals5.08%
Wins by 6+ goals1.73%
Wins by 7+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal7.99%
Wins by 2 goals2.51%
Wins by 3 goals0.58%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal23.18%
Wins by 2 goals21.17%
Wins by 3 goals14.35%
Wins by 4 goals7.66%
Wins by 5 goals3.36%
Wins by 6 goals1.24%
Wins by 7 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.59%4.41%
1.581.83%18.17%
2.560.36%39.64%
3.538.01%61.99%
4.520.56%79.44%
5.59.67%90.33%
6.54.00%96.00%
7.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.07%44.93%
1.519.12%80.88%
2.54.74%95.26%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.19%9.81%
1.567.42%32.58%
2.540.98%59.02%
3.520.51%79.49%
4.58.63%91.37%
5.53.12%96.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.44%23.56%
1.542.38%57.62%
2.517.76%82.24%
3.55.90%94.10%
4.51.61%98.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
4.41%
10.23%
11.88%
9.19%
5.34%
2.48%
1
3.53%
8.19%
9.50%
7.36%
4.27%
1.98%
2
1.41%
3.28%
3.80%
2.94%
1.71%
0.79%
3
0.38%
0.87%
1.01%
0.78%
0.46%
0.21%
NEC Nijmegen
1-03.53%
2-01.41%
2-13.28%
3-00.38%
3-10.87%
3-21.01%
Draw
0-04.41%
1-18.19%
2-23.80%
3-30.78%
AZ Alkmaar
0-110.23%
0-211.88%
1-29.50%
0-39.19%
1-37.36%
2-32.94%
0-45.34%
1-44.27%
2-41.71%
3-40.46%
0-52.48%
1-51.98%
2-50.79%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
23.56%
25.33%
13.62%
4.88%
1.31%
0.28%
1
8.73%
9.38%
5.04%
1.81%
0.49%
0.10%
2
1.62%
1.74%
0.93%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.20%
0.21%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-08.73%
2-01.62%
2-11.74%
3-00.20%
3-10.21%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-023.56%
1-19.38%
2-20.93%
AZ Alkmaar
0-125.33%
0-213.62%
1-25.04%
0-34.88%
1-31.81%
2-30.33%
0-41.31%
1-40.49%
0-50.28%
1-50.10%