Twente at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Twente

50.7%25.0%24.2%
Twente WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.59Projected Goals 1.02
2Final Score 1

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
W 2-1 at Zwolle-340
W 2-7 vs Volendam-1500
L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar+230
W 1-3 vs Almere City-400
L 1-2 at Ajax+180
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-115
W 4-1 at Almere City+135
L 3-2 vs Feyenoord+360
W 3-0 at Excelsior+190
L 3-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+104+121+115+129+120+129+129+140.1
NEC Nijmegen+262+224+215+196+227+196+227+210.4
Draw+266+258+240+265+255+265+265+282.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+100----+110+110+140.1
NEC Nijmegen+260----+240+240+210.4
Draw+265----+260+260+282.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 30.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +122 to +115
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +205 to +196

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 20.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +100 to -105
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +270 to +240

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o3+114o2¾-118o2¾-113o2¾-116o2¾-113o2¾-113o2¾-103
Underu3-135u3-134u2¾-102u2¾-107u2¾-102u2¾-107u3-134u2¾+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-103
Under-----u2¾+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.9%
 
No49.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.34%
Exactly 225.04%
Exactly 414.23%
Exactly 63.24%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.17%
Exactly 321.80%
Exactly 57.43%
Exactly 71.21%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 020.32%
Exactly 132.38%
Exactly 225.80%
Exactly 313.70%
Exactly 45.46%
Exactly 51.74%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 036.12%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.73%
Exactly 36.36%
Exactly 41.62%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.84%
Exactly 221.82%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 38.79%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 047.82%
Exactly 135.28%
Exactly 213.01%
Exactly 33.20%
Exactly 40.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 062.41%
Exactly 129.42%
Exactly 26.94%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals26.58%
Wins by 3+ goals11.08%
Wins by 4+ goals3.77%
Wins by 5+ goals1.06%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals8.73%
Wins by 3+ goals2.40%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Twente
Wins by 1 goal24.13%
Wins by 2 goals15.50%
Wins by 3 goals7.31%
Wins by 4 goals2.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.82%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal15.42%
Wins by 2 goals6.33%
Wins by 3 goals1.90%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.66%7.34%
1.573.49%26.51%
2.548.45%51.55%
3.526.65%73.35%
4.512.42%87.58%
5.54.99%95.01%
6.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.68%20.32%
1.547.29%52.71%
2.521.49%78.51%
3.57.79%92.21%
4.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.88%36.12%
1.527.10%72.90%
2.58.37%91.63%
3.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.16%29.84%
1.534.07%65.93%
2.512.25%87.75%
3.53.46%96.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
7.34%
7.48%
3.81%
1.29%
0.33%
1
11.70%
11.91%
6.06%
2.06%
0.52%
2
9.32%
9.49%
4.83%
1.64%
0.42%
3
4.95%
5.04%
2.57%
0.87%
0.22%
4
1.97%
2.01%
1.02%
0.35%
0.09%
5
0.63%
0.64%
0.33%
0.11%
0.03%
Twente
1-011.70%
2-09.32%
2-19.49%
3-04.95%
3-15.04%
3-22.57%
4-01.97%
4-12.01%
4-21.02%
4-30.35%
5-00.63%
5-10.64%
5-20.33%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-07.34%
1-111.91%
2-24.83%
3-30.87%
NEC Nijmegen
0-17.48%
0-23.81%
1-26.06%
0-31.29%
1-32.06%
2-31.64%
0-40.33%
1-40.52%
2-40.42%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Score0123
0
29.84%
14.07%
3.32%
0.52%
1
22.02%
10.38%
2.45%
0.38%
2
8.12%
3.83%
0.90%
0.14%
3
2.00%
0.94%
0.22%
0.03%
4
0.37%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Twente
1-022.02%
2-08.12%
2-13.83%
3-02.00%
3-10.94%
3-20.22%
4-00.37%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-029.84%
1-110.38%
2-20.90%
NEC Nijmegen
0-114.07%
0-23.32%
1-22.45%
0-30.52%
1-30.38%
2-30.14%
Willem II at Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar at Almere City