Twente at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Twente

50.7%25.0%24.2%
Twente WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.59Projected Goals 1.02
2Final Score 1

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
W 2-1 at Zwolle-340
W 2-7 vs Volendam-1500
L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar+230
W 1-3 vs Almere City-400
L 1-2 at Ajax+180
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-115
W 4-1 at Almere City+135
L 3-2 vs Feyenoord+360
W 3-0 at Excelsior+190
L 3-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+104+121+115+129+120+129+129+140.1
NEC Nijmegen+262+224+215+196+227+196+227+210.4
Draw+266+258+240+265+255+265+265+282.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+100----+110+110+140.1
NEC Nijmegen+260----+240+240+210.4
Draw+265----+260+260+282.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 30.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +122 to +115
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +205 to +196

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 20.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +100 to -105
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +270 to +240

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o3+114o2¾-118o2¾-113o2¾-116o2¾-113o2¾-113o2¾-103
Underu3-135u3-134u2¾-102u2¾-107u2¾-102u2¾-107u3-134u2¾+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-103
Under-----u2¾+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.9%
 
No49.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.34%
Exactly 225.04%
Exactly 414.23%
Exactly 63.24%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.17%
Exactly 321.80%
Exactly 57.43%
Exactly 71.21%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 020.32%
Exactly 132.38%
Exactly 225.80%
Exactly 313.70%
Exactly 45.46%
Exactly 51.74%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 036.12%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.73%
Exactly 36.36%
Exactly 41.62%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.84%
Exactly 221.82%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 38.79%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 047.82%
Exactly 135.28%
Exactly 213.01%
Exactly 33.20%
Exactly 40.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 062.41%
Exactly 129.42%
Exactly 26.94%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals26.58%
Wins by 3+ goals11.08%
Wins by 4+ goals3.77%
Wins by 5+ goals1.06%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals8.73%
Wins by 3+ goals2.40%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Twente
Wins by 1 goal24.13%
Wins by 2 goals15.50%
Wins by 3 goals7.31%
Wins by 4 goals2.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.82%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal15.42%
Wins by 2 goals6.33%
Wins by 3 goals1.90%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.66%7.34%
1.573.49%26.51%
2.548.45%51.55%
3.526.65%73.35%
4.512.42%87.58%
5.54.99%95.01%
6.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.68%20.32%
1.547.29%52.71%
2.521.49%78.51%
3.57.79%92.21%
4.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.88%36.12%
1.527.10%72.90%
2.58.37%91.63%
3.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.16%29.84%
1.534.07%65.93%
2.512.25%87.75%
3.53.46%96.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
7.34%
7.48%
3.81%
1.29%
0.33%
1
11.70%
11.91%
6.06%
2.06%
0.52%
2
9.32%
9.49%
4.83%
1.64%
0.42%
3
4.95%
5.04%
2.57%
0.87%
0.22%
4
1.97%
2.01%
1.02%
0.35%
0.09%
5
0.63%
0.64%
0.33%
0.11%
0.03%
Twente
1-011.70%
2-09.32%
2-19.49%
3-04.95%
3-15.04%
3-22.57%
4-01.97%
4-12.01%
4-21.02%
4-30.35%
5-00.63%
5-10.64%
5-20.33%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-07.34%
1-111.91%
2-24.83%
3-30.87%
NEC Nijmegen
0-17.48%
0-23.81%
1-26.06%
0-31.29%
1-32.06%
2-31.64%
0-40.33%
1-40.52%
2-40.42%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Score0123
0
29.84%
14.07%
3.32%
0.52%
1
22.02%
10.38%
2.45%
0.38%
2
8.12%
3.83%
0.90%
0.14%
3
2.00%
0.94%
0.22%
0.03%
4
0.37%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Twente
1-022.02%
2-08.12%
2-13.83%
3-02.00%
3-10.94%
3-20.22%
4-00.37%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-029.84%
1-110.38%
2-20.90%
NEC Nijmegen
0-114.07%
0-23.32%
1-22.45%
0-30.52%
1-30.38%
2-30.14%