NAC Breda at Heerenveen

Updated

NAC Breda

7.0%11.6%81.4%
WinDrawHeerenveen Win
0.83Projected Goals 3.07
0Final Score 4

Heerenveen

Last Games

NAC Breda
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Utrecht+280
W 1-2 vs Ajax+500
L 1-4 at Groningen+420
Heerenveen
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Utrecht+175
L 0-1 at Ajax+550
L 1-2 at Sparta Rotterdam+335
L 3-1 vs Vitesse-170
T 1-1 at Almere City+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+463+383+390+380+380+380+390+404.0
Heerenveen-178-144-155-154-152-154-144-136.7
Draw+351+311+285+325+320+325+325+346.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+350----+365+365+404.0
Heerenveen-140-----145-145-136.7
Draw+310----+310+310+346.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NAC Breda ML moved from +346 to +333
Heerenveen ML moved from -145 to -155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NAC Breda ML
No Steam Moves On Heerenveen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-128o3+100o3-102o3-105o3+101o3-105o3+101o3+104
Underu3+109u3-117u3-118u3-115u3-121u3-115u3-115u3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+104
Under-----u3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.0%
 
No46.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.01%
Exactly 215.36%
Exactly 419.51%
Exactly 69.92%
Exactly 82.70%
Exactly 100.46%
 
Exactly 17.87%
Exactly 319.99%
Exactly 515.24%
Exactly 75.53%
Exactly 91.17%
Exactly 110.16%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 043.34%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 215.15%
Exactly 34.22%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 04.65%
Exactly 114.27%
Exactly 221.89%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 417.17%
Exactly 510.54%
Exactly 65.39%
Exactly 72.36%
Exactly 80.91%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 016.40%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 47.30%
Exactly 60.80%
 
Exactly 129.65%
Exactly 316.15%
Exactly 52.64%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 067.90%
Exactly 126.29%
Exactly 25.09%
Exactly 30.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 024.15%
Exactly 134.32%
Exactly 224.38%
Exactly 311.54%
Exactly 44.10%
Exactly 51.16%
Exactly 60.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals1.96%
Wins by 3+ goals0.42%
Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals62.95%
Wins by 3+ goals42.26%
Wins by 4+ goals24.49%
Wins by 5+ goals12.30%
Wins by 6+ goals5.38%
Wins by 7+ goals2.04%
Wins by 8+ goals0.64%
Wins by 9+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

NAC Breda
Heerenveen
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal4.99%
Wins by 2 goals1.53%
Wins by 3 goals0.35%
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal18.33%
Wins by 2 goals20.70%
Wins by 3 goals17.77%
Wins by 4 goals12.19%
Wins by 5 goals6.92%
Wins by 6 goals3.34%
Wins by 7 goals1.40%
Wins by 8 goals0.50%
Wins by 9 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.99%2.01%
1.590.12%9.88%
2.574.76%25.24%
3.554.77%45.23%
4.535.25%64.75%
5.520.02%79.98%
6.510.10%89.90%
7.54.57%95.43%
8.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.66%43.34%
1.520.43%79.57%
2.55.28%94.72%
3.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.35%4.65%
1.581.08%18.92%
2.559.20%40.80%
3.536.81%63.19%
4.519.64%80.36%
5.59.10%90.90%
6.53.71%96.29%
7.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.60%16.40%
1.553.95%46.05%
2.527.15%72.85%
3.511.00%89.00%
4.53.70%96.30%
5.51.06%98.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

NAC Breda
Heerenveen
Score012345
0
2.01%
6.18%
9.49%
9.70%
7.44%
4.57%
1
1.68%
5.17%
7.93%
8.11%
6.22%
3.82%
2
0.70%
2.16%
3.32%
3.39%
2.60%
1.60%
3
0.20%
0.60%
0.92%
0.95%
0.73%
0.45%
NAC Breda
1-01.68%
2-00.70%
2-12.16%
3-00.20%
3-10.60%
3-20.92%
Draw
0-02.01%
1-15.17%
2-23.32%
3-30.95%
4-40.15%
Heerenveen
0-16.18%
0-29.49%
1-27.93%
0-39.70%
1-38.11%
2-33.39%
0-47.44%
1-46.22%
2-42.60%
3-40.73%
0-54.57%
1-53.82%
2-51.60%
3-50.45%

Correct Score - First Half

NAC Breda
Heerenveen
Score0123456
0
16.40%
23.30%
16.55%
7.84%
2.78%
0.79%
0.19%
1
6.35%
9.02%
6.41%
3.03%
1.08%
0.31%
0.07%
2
1.23%
1.75%
1.24%
0.59%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.16%
0.23%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
NAC Breda
1-06.35%
2-01.23%
2-11.75%
3-00.16%
3-10.23%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-016.40%
1-19.02%
2-21.24%
Heerenveen
0-123.30%
0-216.55%
1-26.41%
0-37.84%
1-33.03%
2-30.59%
0-42.78%
1-41.08%
2-40.21%
0-50.79%
1-50.31%
0-60.19%
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