Utrecht at NAC Breda

Updated

Utrecht

62.5%19.4%18.1%
Utrecht WinDrawWin
2.25Projected Goals 1.14
2Final Score 1

NAC Breda

Last Games

Utrecht
Money Line
T 1-1 at Heerenveen+135
W 0-1 vs Zwolle-230
L 2-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-135
W 1-3 vs Sparta Rotterdam-135
T 3-3 at AZ Alkmaar+570
NAC Breda
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Ajax+500
L 1-4 at Groningen+420

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht-165+101+100-104-108-101+101+110.6
NAC Breda+437+280+270+250+280+250+280+270.5
Draw+331+258+235+270+260+270+270+291.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht-135-----105-105+110.6
NAC Breda+340----+280+280+270.5
Draw+300----+265+265+291.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 30.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +101 to -104
NAC Breda ML moved from +286 to +280

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 30.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
NAC Breda: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Utrecht ML
NAC Breda ML moved from +300 to +280

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+109o2½-136o2¾+102o2¾+101o2¾-102o2¾+101o2¾+102o2¾+110
Underu3½-128u2½+115u2¾-122u2¾-121u2¾-118u2¾-121u2¾-118u2¾-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+110
Under-----u2¾-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¼-118 to u3-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes60.8%
 
No39.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.36%
Exactly 219.34%
Exactly 418.56%
Exactly 67.13%
Exactly 81.47%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.40%
Exactly 321.88%
Exactly 512.60%
Exactly 73.45%
Exactly 90.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 010.49%
Exactly 123.65%
Exactly 226.66%
Exactly 320.04%
Exactly 411.30%
Exactly 55.10%
Exactly 61.92%
Exactly 70.62%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 032.04%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.76%
Exactly 37.88%
Exactly 42.24%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.78%
Exactly 225.65%
Exactly 45.28%
Exactly 60.43%
 
Exactly 132.65%
Exactly 313.43%
Exactly 51.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 035.20%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.19%
Exactly 36.68%
Exactly 41.74%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 059.03%
Exactly 131.11%
Exactly 28.20%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals40.00%
Wins by 3+ goals21.36%
Wins by 4+ goals9.59%
Wins by 5+ goals3.67%
Wins by 6+ goals1.19%
NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals6.64%
Wins by 3+ goals1.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
NAC Breda
6
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal22.47%
Wins by 2 goals18.64%
Wins by 3 goals11.77%
Wins by 4 goals5.93%
Wins by 5 goals2.47%
Wins by 6 goals0.87%
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal11.34%
Wins by 2 goals4.74%
Wins by 3 goals1.49%
Wins by 4 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.64%3.36%
1.585.24%14.76%
2.565.90%34.10%
3.544.02%55.98%
4.525.46%74.54%
5.512.86%87.14%
6.55.74%94.26%
7.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.51%10.49%
1.565.87%34.13%
2.539.21%60.79%
3.519.16%80.84%
4.57.86%92.14%
5.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.96%32.04%
1.531.50%68.50%
2.510.74%89.26%
3.52.87%97.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.22%20.78%
1.546.57%53.43%
2.520.92%79.08%
3.57.49%92.51%
4.52.21%97.79%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
NAC Breda
Score01234
0
3.36%
3.82%
2.18%
0.83%
0.24%
1
7.58%
8.62%
4.91%
1.86%
0.53%
2
8.54%
9.72%
5.53%
2.10%
0.60%
3
6.42%
7.31%
4.16%
1.58%
0.45%
4
3.62%
4.12%
2.35%
0.89%
0.25%
5
1.63%
1.86%
1.06%
0.40%
0.11%
6
0.61%
0.70%
0.40%
0.15%
0.04%
Utrecht
1-07.58%
2-08.54%
2-19.72%
3-06.42%
3-17.31%
3-24.16%
4-03.62%
4-14.12%
4-22.35%
4-30.89%
5-01.63%
5-11.86%
5-21.06%
5-30.40%
5-40.11%
6-00.61%
6-10.70%
6-20.40%
6-30.15%
Draw
0-03.36%
1-18.62%
2-25.53%
3-31.58%
4-40.25%
NAC Breda
0-13.82%
0-22.18%
1-24.91%
0-30.83%
1-31.86%
2-32.10%
0-40.24%
1-40.53%
2-40.60%
3-40.45%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
NAC Breda
Score0123
0
20.78%
10.95%
2.89%
0.51%
1
21.70%
11.44%
3.01%
0.53%
2
11.33%
5.97%
1.57%
0.28%
3
3.94%
2.08%
0.55%
0.10%
4
1.03%
0.54%
0.14%
0.03%
5
0.21%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Utrecht
1-021.70%
2-011.33%
2-15.97%
3-03.94%
3-12.08%
3-20.55%
4-01.03%
4-10.54%
4-20.14%
5-00.21%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-020.78%
1-111.44%
2-21.57%
NAC Breda
0-110.95%
0-22.89%
1-23.01%
0-30.51%
1-30.53%
2-30.28%