Groningen at Ajax

Updated

Groningen

7.3%13.7%79.0%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.68Projected Goals 2.64
1Final Score 3

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Groningen
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Go Ahead Eagles+140
L 1-2 at Heerenveen+170
T 2-2 vs Feyenoord+420
T 1-1 at Almere City+115
T 0-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+260
Ajax
Money Line
W 2-0 at RKC Waalwijk-255
T 1-1 at Go Ahead Eagles-125
W 0-5 vs Fortuna Sittard-325
L 1-2 at NAC Breda-225
W 0-1 vs Heerenveen-240

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+740+882+875+900+907+900+907+955.1
Ajax-264-339-385-385-374-385-339-303.8
Draw+411+503+475+520+518+520+520+554.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+650----+900+900+955.1
Ajax-260-----375-375-303.8
Draw+410----+525+525+554.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +900 to +825
Ajax ML moved from -360 to -385

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Groningen ML
Ajax ML moved from -335 to -375

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o3-136o3¼-105o3¼-105o3¼+101o3¼-105o3¼+101o3¼+104
Underu3-135u3+116u3¼-115u3¼-115u3¼-119u3¼-115u3¼-115u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+104
Under-----u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.9%
 
No54.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.61%
Exactly 219.92%
Exactly 418.30%
Exactly 66.73%
Exactly 81.32%
Exactly 100.16%
 
Exactly 112.00%
Exactly 322.05%
Exactly 512.15%
Exactly 73.19%
Exactly 90.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 050.54%
Exactly 134.49%
Exactly 211.77%
Exactly 32.68%
Exactly 40.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 07.15%
Exactly 118.86%
Exactly 224.88%
Exactly 321.88%
Exactly 414.43%
Exactly 57.61%
Exactly 63.35%
Exactly 71.26%
Exactly 80.42%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.49%
Exactly 225.40%
Exactly 45.00%
Exactly 60.39%
 
Exactly 133.05%
Exactly 313.02%
Exactly 51.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 072.91%
Exactly 123.04%
Exactly 23.64%
Exactly 30.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 029.48%
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 221.99%
Exactly 38.95%
Exactly 42.73%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals1.77%
Wins by 3+ goals0.31%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals57.86%
Wins by 3+ goals35.82%
Wins by 4+ goals18.80%
Wins by 5+ goals8.45%
Wins by 6+ goals3.29%
Wins by 7+ goals1.11%
Wins by 8+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal5.45%
Wins by 2 goals1.46%
Wins by 3 goals0.28%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.11%
Wins by 2 goals22.04%
Wins by 3 goals17.02%
Wins by 4 goals10.35%
Wins by 5 goals5.16%
Wins by 6 goals2.18%
Wins by 7 goals0.80%
Wins by 8 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.39%3.61%
1.584.39%15.61%
2.564.47%35.53%
3.542.42%57.58%
4.524.11%75.89%
5.511.96%88.04%
6.55.23%94.77%
7.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.46%50.54%
1.514.97%85.03%
2.53.20%96.80%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.85%7.15%
1.573.99%26.01%
2.549.11%50.89%
3.527.23%72.77%
4.512.80%87.20%
5.55.19%94.81%
6.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.51%21.49%
1.545.46%54.54%
2.520.06%79.94%
3.57.04%92.96%
4.52.04%97.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
Ajax
Score012345
0
3.61%
9.53%
12.57%
11.06%
7.29%
3.85%
1
2.47%
6.51%
8.58%
7.55%
4.98%
2.63%
2
0.84%
2.22%
2.93%
2.57%
1.70%
0.90%
3
0.19%
0.51%
0.67%
0.59%
0.39%
0.20%
Groningen
1-02.47%
2-00.84%
2-12.22%
3-00.19%
3-10.51%
3-20.67%
Draw
0-03.61%
1-16.51%
2-22.93%
3-30.59%
Ajax
0-19.53%
0-212.57%
1-28.58%
0-311.06%
1-37.55%
2-32.57%
0-47.29%
1-44.98%
2-41.70%
3-40.39%
0-53.85%
1-52.63%
2-50.90%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
Ajax
Score012345
0
21.49%
26.25%
16.03%
6.53%
1.99%
0.49%
1
6.79%
8.30%
5.07%
2.06%
0.63%
0.15%
2
1.07%
1.31%
0.80%
0.33%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.11%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Groningen
1-06.79%
2-01.07%
2-11.31%
3-00.11%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-021.49%
1-18.30%
2-20.80%
Ajax
0-126.25%
0-216.03%
1-25.07%
0-36.53%
1-32.06%
2-30.33%
0-41.99%
1-40.63%
0-50.49%
1-50.15%
Zwolle at Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar at Fortuna Sittard