Ajax at RKC Waalwijk

Updated

Ajax

64.0%20.2%15.9%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.08Projected Goals 0.93
2Final Score 0

RKC Waalwijk

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
T 1-1 at Go Ahead Eagles-125
W 0-5 vs Fortuna Sittard-325
L 1-2 at NAC Breda-225
W 0-1 vs Heerenveen-240
T 2-2 at Vitesse-155
RKC Waalwijk
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+290
L 0-3 at Willem II+320
L 3-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+600
L 0-2 at Go Ahead Eagles+360
L 2-1 vs Groningen+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-245-241-260-263-266-263-241-202.7
RKC Waalwijk+525+583+550+520+556+520+583+570.8
Draw+390+436+400+410+438+410+438+451.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-245-----255-255-202.7
RKC Waalwijk+575----+625+625+570.8
Draw+415----+415+415+451.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RKC Waalwijk: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -256 to -266
RKC Waalwijk ML moved from +541 to +534

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RKC Waalwijk: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
RKC Waalwijk: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -275 to -290
RKC Waalwijk ML moved from +710 to +625

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-105o3½+100o3¼-105o3½+100o3¼-117o3½+100o3¼-105o3½+109
Underu3¼-115u3½-117u3¼-115u3½-120u3¼-101u3½-120u3½-117u3½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+109
Under-----u3½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-105 to o3¼-105
The Under moved from u3¼-115 to u3-115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.0%
 
No47.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.91%
Exactly 222.30%
Exactly 416.88%
Exactly 65.11%
Exactly 80.83%
 
Exactly 114.80%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.18%
Exactly 72.20%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 012.44%
Exactly 125.93%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 318.77%
Exactly 49.78%
Exactly 54.08%
Exactly 61.42%
Exactly 70.42%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - RKC Waalwijk
Exactly 039.46%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.06%
Exactly 35.29%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.77%
Exactly 224.12%
Exactly 43.91%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.57%
Exactly 311.22%
Exactly 51.09%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 038.10%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.74%
Exactly 35.70%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - RKC Waalwijk
Exactly 065.01%
Exactly 127.99%
Exactly 26.03%
Exactly 30.86%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals40.03%
Wins by 3+ goals20.58%
Wins by 4+ goals8.81%
Wins by 5+ goals3.19%
RKC Waalwijk
Wins by 2+ goals5.15%
Wins by 3+ goals1.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
RKC Waalwijk
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.92%
Wins by 2 goals19.45%
Wins by 3 goals11.77%
Wins by 4 goals5.62%
Wins by 5 goals2.21%
RKC Waalwijk
Wins by 1 goal10.67%
Wins by 2 goals3.87%
Wins by 3 goals1.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.09%4.91%
1.580.29%19.71%
2.557.99%42.01%
3.535.59%64.41%
4.518.71%81.29%
5.58.53%91.47%
6.53.42%96.58%
7.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.56%12.44%
1.561.62%38.38%
2.534.60%65.40%
3.515.83%84.17%
4.56.05%93.95%
5.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals RKC Waalwijk Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.54%39.46%
1.523.85%76.15%
2.56.79%93.21%
3.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.23%24.77%
1.540.66%59.34%
2.516.54%83.46%
3.55.32%94.68%
4.51.41%98.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
RKC Waalwijk
Score01234
0
4.91%
4.57%
2.12%
0.66%
0.15%
1
10.23%
9.52%
4.42%
1.37%
0.32%
2
10.66%
9.91%
4.61%
1.43%
0.33%
3
7.41%
6.89%
3.20%
0.99%
0.23%
4
3.86%
3.59%
1.67%
0.52%
0.12%
5
1.61%
1.50%
0.70%
0.22%
0.05%
Ajax
1-010.23%
2-010.66%
2-19.91%
3-07.41%
3-16.89%
3-23.20%
4-03.86%
4-13.59%
4-21.67%
4-30.52%
5-01.61%
5-11.50%
5-20.70%
5-30.22%
Draw
0-04.91%
1-19.52%
2-24.61%
3-30.99%
4-40.12%
RKC Waalwijk
0-14.57%
0-22.12%
1-24.42%
0-30.66%
1-31.37%
2-31.43%
0-40.15%
1-40.32%
2-40.33%
3-40.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
RKC Waalwijk
Score0123
0
24.77%
10.67%
2.30%
0.33%
1
23.90%
10.29%
2.22%
0.32%
2
11.53%
4.97%
1.07%
0.15%
3
3.71%
1.60%
0.34%
0.05%
4
0.89%
0.39%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajax
1-023.90%
2-011.53%
2-14.97%
3-03.71%
3-11.60%
3-20.34%
4-00.89%
4-10.39%
5-00.17%
Draw
0-024.77%
1-110.29%
2-21.07%
RKC Waalwijk
0-110.67%
0-22.30%
1-22.22%
0-30.33%
1-30.32%
2-30.15%