Utrecht at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Utrecht

15.7%19.6%64.7%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.96Projected Goals 2.16
2Final Score 1

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Willem II-170
W 1-2 vs Twente+190
W 2-1 at NAC Breda-105
T 1-1 at Heerenveen+135
W 0-1 vs Zwolle-230
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 2-1 at Zwolle-260
W 1-9 vs Heerenveen-260
W 3-0 at RKC Waalwijk-220
T 0-0 at Groningen+105
W 0-1 vs NEC Nijmegen-200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+440+453+440+375+452+375+453+413.0
AZ Alkmaar-175-166-170-167-182-167-166-137.6
Draw+300+325+300+310+320+310+325+342.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+445----+480+480+413.0
AZ Alkmaar-170-----180-180-137.6
Draw+320----+325+325+342.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 30.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +467 to +453
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -175 to -192

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 40.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Utrecht ML
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -170 to -180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110o3+116o2¾-115o2¾-118o2¾-113o2¾-118o2¾-113o2¾-107
Underu2¾-110u3-137u2¾-105u2¾-102u2¾-105u2¾-102u2¾-102u2¾+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-107
Under-----u2¾+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.6%
 
No45.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.43%
Exactly 221.52%
Exactly 417.42%
Exactly 65.64%
Exactly 80.98%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.81%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 510.85%
Exactly 72.51%
Exactly 90.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 038.25%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.66%
Exactly 35.66%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 011.59%
Exactly 124.97%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 319.33%
Exactly 410.42%
Exactly 54.49%
Exactly 61.61%
Exactly 70.50%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.63%
Exactly 224.59%
Exactly 44.27%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.09%
Exactly 311.83%
Exactly 51.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 064.09%
Exactly 128.51%
Exactly 26.34%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 036.87%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.35%
Exactly 36.10%
Exactly 41.52%
Exactly 50.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals5.19%
Wins by 3+ goals1.32%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals41.10%
Wins by 3+ goals21.58%
Wins by 4+ goals9.47%
Wins by 5+ goals3.52%
Wins by 6+ goals1.11%
Wins by 7+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal10.48%
Wins by 2 goals3.88%
Wins by 3 goals1.07%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal23.52%
Wins by 2 goals19.52%
Wins by 3 goals12.12%
Wins by 4 goals5.95%
Wins by 5 goals2.41%
Wins by 6 goals0.82%
Wins by 7 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.57%4.43%
1.581.75%18.25%
2.560.23%39.77%
3.537.88%62.12%
4.520.46%79.54%
5.59.61%90.39%
6.53.97%96.03%
7.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.75%38.25%
1.524.99%75.01%
2.57.33%92.67%
3.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.41%11.59%
1.563.44%36.56%
2.536.52%63.48%
3.517.19%82.81%
4.56.77%93.23%
5.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.37%23.63%
1.542.28%57.72%
2.517.69%82.31%
3.55.87%94.13%
4.51.60%98.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
4.43%
9.55%
10.29%
7.40%
3.98%
1.72%
1
4.26%
9.18%
9.89%
7.11%
3.83%
1.65%
2
2.05%
4.41%
4.75%
3.41%
1.84%
0.79%
3
0.66%
1.41%
1.52%
1.09%
0.59%
0.25%
4
0.16%
0.34%
0.37%
0.26%
0.14%
0.06%
Utrecht
1-04.26%
2-02.05%
2-14.41%
3-00.66%
3-11.41%
3-21.52%
4-00.16%
4-10.34%
4-20.37%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-04.43%
1-19.18%
2-24.75%
3-31.09%
4-40.14%
AZ Alkmaar
0-19.55%
0-210.29%
1-29.89%
0-37.40%
1-37.11%
2-33.41%
0-43.98%
1-43.83%
2-41.84%
3-40.59%
0-51.72%
1-51.65%
2-50.79%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
23.63%
23.58%
11.76%
3.91%
0.98%
0.19%
1
10.51%
10.49%
5.23%
1.74%
0.43%
0.09%
2
2.34%
2.33%
1.16%
0.39%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.35%
0.35%
0.17%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Utrecht
1-010.51%
2-02.34%
2-12.33%
3-00.35%
3-10.35%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-023.63%
1-110.49%
2-21.16%
AZ Alkmaar
0-123.58%
0-211.76%
1-25.23%
0-33.91%
1-31.74%
2-30.39%
0-40.98%
1-40.43%
0-50.19%