Willem II at Almere City

Updated

Willem II

29.2%26.8%43.9%
Willem II WinDrawAlmere City Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.39
1Final Score 0

Almere City

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
L 2-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+800
L 2-3 at Utrecht+450
W 0-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-120
L 2-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+195
T 1-1 at Heracles Almelo+180
Almere City
Money Line
L 0-1 at Zwolle+265
L 5-0 vs Twente+550
T 0-0 at Heracles Almelo+220
T 1-1 vs Groningen+235
L 7-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+1300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+156+197+190+195+202+195+202+210.3
Almere City+180+157+150+153+147+153+157+166.1
Draw+243+218+205+215+219+215+219+231.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+155----+180+180+210.3
Almere City+180----+160+160+166.1
Draw+230----+225+225+231.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Almere City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Almere City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +189 to +183
Almere City ML moved from +157 to +147

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Almere City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Almere City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Willem II ML
Almere City ML moved from +180 to +160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2-146o2¼-102o2¼+100o2¼+100o2¼+100o2¼+100o2¼+109
Underu2½+100u2+124u2¼-118u2¼-120u2¼-118u2¼-120u2¼-118u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-138 to u2¼-120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.52%
Exactly 225.84%
Exactly 413.06%
Exactly 62.64%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.98%
Exactly 321.21%
Exactly 56.44%
Exactly 70.93%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 034.06%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.76%
Exactly 37.09%
Exactly 41.91%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Almere City
Exactly 025.01%
Exactly 134.66%
Exactly 224.02%
Exactly 311.10%
Exactly 43.85%
Exactly 51.07%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.97%
Exactly 220.79%
Exactly 42.25%
 
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 37.90%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 060.73%
Exactly 130.29%
Exactly 27.55%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almere City
Exactly 052.64%
Exactly 133.78%
Exactly 210.84%
Exactly 32.32%
Exactly 40.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals11.16%
Wins by 3+ goals3.26%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Almere City
Wins by 2+ goals20.80%
Wins by 3+ goals7.70%
Wins by 4+ goals2.29%
Wins by 5+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
Almere City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal17.95%
Wins by 2 goals7.90%
Wins by 3 goals2.54%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Almere City
Wins by 1 goal23.10%
Wins by 2 goals13.09%
Wins by 3 goals5.42%
Wins by 4 goals1.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.48%8.52%
1.570.51%29.49%
2.544.67%55.33%
3.523.46%76.54%
4.510.40%89.60%
5.53.96%96.04%
6.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.94%34.06%
1.529.26%70.74%
2.59.50%90.50%
3.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals Almere City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.99%25.01%
1.540.33%59.67%
2.516.31%83.69%
3.55.22%94.78%
4.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.03%31.97%
1.531.58%68.42%
2.510.79%89.21%
3.52.88%97.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
Almere City
Score012345
0
8.52%
11.80%
8.18%
3.78%
1.31%
0.36%
1
9.17%
12.71%
8.81%
4.07%
1.41%
0.39%
2
4.94%
6.85%
4.75%
2.19%
0.76%
0.21%
3
1.77%
2.46%
1.70%
0.79%
0.27%
0.08%
4
0.48%
0.66%
0.46%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.10%
0.14%
0.10%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Willem II
1-09.17%
2-04.94%
2-16.85%
3-01.77%
3-12.46%
3-21.70%
4-00.48%
4-10.66%
4-20.46%
4-30.21%
5-00.10%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-08.52%
1-112.71%
2-24.75%
3-30.79%
Almere City
0-111.80%
0-28.18%
1-28.81%
0-33.78%
1-34.07%
2-32.19%
0-41.31%
1-41.41%
2-40.76%
3-40.27%
0-50.36%
1-50.39%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
Almere City
Score01234
0
31.97%
20.51%
6.58%
1.41%
0.23%
1
15.94%
10.23%
3.28%
0.70%
0.11%
2
3.98%
2.55%
0.82%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.66%
0.42%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Willem II
1-015.94%
2-03.98%
2-12.55%
3-00.66%
3-10.42%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-031.97%
1-110.23%
2-20.82%
Almere City
0-120.51%
0-26.58%
1-23.28%
0-31.41%
1-30.70%
2-30.18%
0-40.23%
1-40.11%
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