Willem II at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Willem II

31.5%26.7%41.8%
Willem II WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.36
1Final Score 1

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles+165
T 1-1 at Feyenoord+2100
T 2-2 vs VVV-Venlo
W 0-3 vs Utrecht+110
T 1-1 at Cambuur+135
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 3-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+1300
T 0-0 at Sparta Rotterdam+510
T 0-0 vs Fortuna Sittard+145
L 0-4 at Excelsior+340
L 5-0 vs RKC Waalwijk+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+202+193+180+195+196+195+196+210.2
Heracles Almelo+126+147+145+139+141+139+147+151.3
Draw+276+239+225+240+246+240+246+257.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+180----+180+180+210.2
Heracles Almelo+140----+140+140+151.3
Draw+260----+260+260+257.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +183 to +176
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +151 to +144

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Willem II ML
No Steam Moves On Heracles Almelo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o2½-107o2½-108o2½+100o2½-109o2½+100o2½+100o2½+109
Underu3+106u2½-109u2½-112u2½-120u2½-109u2½-120u2½-109u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-120 to u2½-109

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.8%
 
No49.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.12%
Exactly 225.59%
Exactly 413.45%
Exactly 62.83%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.38%
Exactly 321.42%
Exactly 56.75%
Exactly 71.01%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 031.74%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.90%
Exactly 37.99%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 025.57%
Exactly 134.87%
Exactly 223.78%
Exactly 310.81%
Exactly 43.68%
Exactly 51.00%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.27%
Exactly 221.13%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 38.19%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 058.79%
Exactly 131.23%
Exactly 28.30%
Exactly 31.47%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 053.19%
Exactly 133.58%
Exactly 210.60%
Exactly 32.23%
Exactly 40.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals12.71%
Wins by 3+ goals3.97%
Wins by 4+ goals0.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals19.40%
Wins by 3+ goals7.06%
Wins by 4+ goals2.06%
Wins by 5+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal18.77%
Wins by 2 goals8.74%
Wins by 3 goals2.98%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal22.31%
Wins by 2 goals12.34%
Wins by 3 goals5.00%
Wins by 4 goals1.58%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.88%8.12%
1.571.50%28.50%
2.545.90%54.10%
3.524.48%75.52%
4.511.03%88.97%
5.54.28%95.72%
6.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.26%31.74%
1.531.83%68.17%
2.510.93%89.07%
3.52.94%97.06%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.43%25.57%
1.539.56%60.44%
2.515.78%84.22%
3.54.97%95.03%
4.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.73%31.27%
1.532.38%67.62%
2.511.25%88.75%
3.53.06%96.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
8.12%
11.07%
7.55%
3.43%
1.17%
0.32%
1
9.31%
12.70%
8.66%
3.94%
1.34%
0.37%
2
5.34%
7.29%
4.97%
2.26%
0.77%
0.21%
3
2.04%
2.79%
1.90%
0.86%
0.29%
0.08%
4
0.59%
0.80%
0.55%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.13%
0.18%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Willem II
1-09.31%
2-05.34%
2-17.29%
3-02.04%
3-12.79%
3-21.90%
4-00.59%
4-10.80%
4-20.55%
4-30.25%
5-00.13%
5-10.18%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-08.12%
1-112.70%
2-24.97%
3-30.86%
Heracles Almelo
0-111.07%
0-27.55%
1-28.66%
0-33.43%
1-33.94%
2-32.26%
0-41.17%
1-41.34%
2-40.77%
3-40.29%
0-50.32%
1-50.37%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
31.27%
19.74%
6.23%
1.31%
0.21%
1
16.61%
10.49%
3.31%
0.70%
0.11%
2
4.41%
2.79%
0.88%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.78%
0.49%
0.16%
0.03%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Willem II
1-016.61%
2-04.41%
2-12.79%
3-00.78%
3-10.49%
3-20.16%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-031.27%
1-110.49%
2-20.88%
Heracles Almelo
0-119.74%
0-26.23%
1-23.31%
0-31.31%
1-30.70%
2-30.19%
0-40.21%
1-40.11%
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