Willem II at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Willem II

31.5%26.7%41.8%
Willem II WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.36
1Final Score 1

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles+165
T 1-1 at Feyenoord+2100
T 2-2 vs VVV-Venlo
W 0-3 vs Utrecht+110
T 1-1 at Cambuur+135
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 3-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+1300
T 0-0 at Sparta Rotterdam+510
T 0-0 vs Fortuna Sittard+145
L 0-4 at Excelsior+340
L 5-0 vs RKC Waalwijk+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+202+193+180+195+196+195+196+210.2
Heracles Almelo+126+147+145+139+141+139+147+151.3
Draw+276+239+225+240+246+240+246+257.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+180----+180+180+210.2
Heracles Almelo+140----+140+140+151.3
Draw+260----+260+260+257.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +183 to +176
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +151 to +144

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Willem II ML
No Steam Moves On Heracles Almelo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o2½-107o2½-108o2½+100o2½-109o2½+100o2½+100o2½+109
Underu3+106u2½-109u2½-112u2½-120u2½-109u2½-120u2½-109u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-120 to u2½-109

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.8%
 
No49.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.12%
Exactly 225.59%
Exactly 413.45%
Exactly 62.83%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.38%
Exactly 321.42%
Exactly 56.75%
Exactly 71.01%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 031.74%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.90%
Exactly 37.99%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 025.57%
Exactly 134.87%
Exactly 223.78%
Exactly 310.81%
Exactly 43.68%
Exactly 51.00%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.27%
Exactly 221.13%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 38.19%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 058.79%
Exactly 131.23%
Exactly 28.30%
Exactly 31.47%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 053.19%
Exactly 133.58%
Exactly 210.60%
Exactly 32.23%
Exactly 40.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals12.71%
Wins by 3+ goals3.97%
Wins by 4+ goals0.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals19.40%
Wins by 3+ goals7.06%
Wins by 4+ goals2.06%
Wins by 5+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal18.77%
Wins by 2 goals8.74%
Wins by 3 goals2.98%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal22.31%
Wins by 2 goals12.34%
Wins by 3 goals5.00%
Wins by 4 goals1.58%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.88%8.12%
1.571.50%28.50%
2.545.90%54.10%
3.524.48%75.52%
4.511.03%88.97%
5.54.28%95.72%
6.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.26%31.74%
1.531.83%68.17%
2.510.93%89.07%
3.52.94%97.06%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.43%25.57%
1.539.56%60.44%
2.515.78%84.22%
3.54.97%95.03%
4.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.73%31.27%
1.532.38%67.62%
2.511.25%88.75%
3.53.06%96.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
8.12%
11.07%
7.55%
3.43%
1.17%
0.32%
1
9.31%
12.70%
8.66%
3.94%
1.34%
0.37%
2
5.34%
7.29%
4.97%
2.26%
0.77%
0.21%
3
2.04%
2.79%
1.90%
0.86%
0.29%
0.08%
4
0.59%
0.80%
0.55%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.13%
0.18%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Willem II
1-09.31%
2-05.34%
2-17.29%
3-02.04%
3-12.79%
3-21.90%
4-00.59%
4-10.80%
4-20.55%
4-30.25%
5-00.13%
5-10.18%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-08.12%
1-112.70%
2-24.97%
3-30.86%
Heracles Almelo
0-111.07%
0-27.55%
1-28.66%
0-33.43%
1-33.94%
2-32.26%
0-41.17%
1-41.34%
2-40.77%
3-40.29%
0-50.32%
1-50.37%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
31.27%
19.74%
6.23%
1.31%
0.21%
1
16.61%
10.49%
3.31%
0.70%
0.11%
2
4.41%
2.79%
0.88%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.78%
0.49%
0.16%
0.03%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Willem II
1-016.61%
2-04.41%
2-12.79%
3-00.78%
3-10.49%
3-20.16%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-031.27%
1-110.49%
2-20.88%
Heracles Almelo
0-119.74%
0-26.23%
1-23.31%
0-31.31%
1-30.70%
2-30.19%
0-40.21%
1-40.11%