PSV Eindhoven at Willem II

Updated

PSV Eindhoven

75.2%15.0%9.8%
PSV Eindhoven WinDrawWin
2.63Projected Goals 0.86
2Final Score 0

Willem II

Last 5 Games

PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 3-1 at Fortuna Sittard-490
W 0-2 vs NEC Nijmegen-650
W 0-3 vs Go Ahead Eagles-900
W 7-1 at Almere City-550
W 3-1 at Heracles Almelo-650
Willem II
Money Line
L 2-3 at Utrecht+450
W 0-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-120
L 2-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+195
T 1-1 at Heracles Almelo+180
W 0-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven-342-308-460-333-369-333-308-245.2
Willem II+802+793+1000+700+788+700+1000+766.2
Draw+544+479+575+430+486+430+575+473.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven-385-----340-340-245.2
Willem II+835----+800+800+766.2
Draw+565----+500+500+473.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Willem II: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Willem II: 60.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -415 to -430
Willem II ML moved from +821 to +795

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

PSV Eindhoven: 10.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Willem II: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -385 to -485
Willem II ML moved from +1050 to +800

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-8.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-108o3-123o3½-110o3-112o3-124o3-112o3-115o3-102
Underu3½-109u3+105u3½-110u3-108u3+104u3-108u3½-110u3+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-102
Under-----u3+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 70.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.4%
 
No46.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.06%
Exactly 218.60%
Exactly 418.85%
Exactly 67.64%
Exactly 81.66%
Exactly 100.22%
 
Exactly 110.67%
Exactly 321.62%
Exactly 513.14%
Exactly 73.80%
Exactly 90.64%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 07.21%
Exactly 118.96%
Exactly 224.93%
Exactly 321.85%
Exactly 414.37%
Exactly 57.56%
Exactly 63.31%
Exactly 71.24%
Exactly 80.41%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 042.44%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 215.59%
Exactly 34.45%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.90%
Exactly 225.93%
Exactly 45.63%
Exactly 60.49%
 
Exactly 132.13%
Exactly 313.96%
Exactly 51.82%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 029.59%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 221.94%
Exactly 38.90%
Exactly 42.71%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 067.25%
Exactly 126.68%
Exactly 25.29%
Exactly 30.70%

Alternate Props

Spread

PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals53.92%
Wins by 3+ goals32.78%
Wins by 4+ goals16.94%
Wins by 5+ goals7.52%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals2.90%
Wins by 3+ goals0.65%

Exact Winning Margin

PSV Eindhoven
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal21.24%
Wins by 2 goals21.14%
Wins by 3 goals15.84%
Wins by 4 goals9.42%
Wins by 5 goals4.63%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal6.92%
Wins by 2 goals2.24%
Wins by 3 goals0.54%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.94%3.06%
1.586.27%13.73%
2.567.67%32.33%
3.546.05%53.95%
4.527.21%72.79%
5.514.07%85.93%
6.56.43%93.57%
7.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.79%7.21%
1.573.83%26.17%
2.548.91%51.09%
3.527.05%72.95%
4.512.68%87.32%
5.55.13%94.87%
6.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.56%42.44%
1.521.18%78.82%
2.55.60%94.40%
3.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.10%19.90%
1.547.97%52.03%
2.522.04%77.96%
3.58.08%91.92%
4.52.45%97.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

PSV Eindhoven
Willem II
Score0123
0
3.06%
2.62%
1.12%
0.32%
1
8.05%
6.90%
2.95%
0.84%
2
10.58%
9.07%
3.89%
1.11%
3
9.28%
7.95%
3.41%
0.97%
4
6.10%
5.23%
2.24%
0.64%
5
3.21%
2.75%
1.18%
0.34%
PSV Eindhoven
1-08.05%
2-010.58%
2-19.07%
3-09.28%
3-17.95%
3-23.41%
4-06.10%
4-15.23%
4-22.24%
4-30.64%
5-03.21%
5-12.75%
5-21.18%
5-30.34%
Draw
0-03.06%
1-16.90%
2-23.89%
3-30.97%
4-40.14%
Willem II
0-12.62%
0-21.12%
1-22.95%
0-30.32%
1-30.84%
2-31.11%

Correct Score - First Half

PSV Eindhoven
Willem II
Score0123
0
19.90%
7.90%
1.57%
0.21%
1
24.23%
9.61%
1.91%
0.25%
2
14.75%
5.85%
1.16%
0.15%
3
5.99%
2.38%
0.47%
0.06%
4
1.82%
0.72%
0.14%
0.02%
5
0.44%
0.18%
0.03%
0.00%
PSV Eindhoven
1-024.23%
2-014.75%
2-15.85%
3-05.99%
3-12.38%
3-20.47%
4-01.82%
4-10.72%
4-20.14%
5-00.44%
5-10.18%
Draw
0-019.90%
1-19.61%
2-21.16%
Willem II
0-17.90%
0-21.57%
1-21.91%
0-30.21%
1-30.25%
2-30.15%