NEC Nijmegen at NAC Breda

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

48.0%24.0%28.0%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawNAC Breda Win
1.69Projected Goals 1.23
0Final Score 1

NAC Breda

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Feyenoord+480
L 2-1 vs Heracles Almelo-155
L 0-2 at PSV Eindhoven+1400
W 3-0 at Fortuna Sittard+225
W 0-1 vs Zwolle-155
NAC Breda
Money Line
L 0-1 at Twente+1250
L 0-2 at Feyenoord+1750
W 0-1 vs Fortuna Sittard+200
L 0-4 at Heerenveen+365
L 2-1 vs Utrecht+280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+127+138+145+141+124+131+145+142.5
NAC Breda+211+213+185+193+222+210+222+225.4
Draw+259+234+215+240+231+240+240+256.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+130----+155+155+142.5
NAC Breda+205----+190+190+225.4
Draw+250----+220+220+256.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +139 to +128
NAC Breda ML moved from +195 to +185

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 60.0%
NAC Breda: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML
NAC Breda ML moved from +205 to +185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-136o2½+100o2½+102o2½+104o2½+104o2½+104o2½+104o2½+113
Underu2½+116u2½-118u2½-122u2½-124u2½-126u2½-124u2½-118u2½-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+113
Under-----u2½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.7%
 
No42.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.42%
Exactly 223.03%
Exactly 416.31%
Exactly 64.62%
Exactly 80.70%
 
Exactly 115.80%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.51%
Exactly 71.92%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 018.57%
Exactly 131.26%
Exactly 226.32%
Exactly 314.77%
Exactly 46.22%
Exactly 52.09%
Exactly 60.59%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 029.19%
Exactly 135.94%
Exactly 222.13%
Exactly 39.08%
Exactly 42.80%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.93%
Exactly 223.62%
Exactly 43.59%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 310.63%
Exactly 50.97%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 045.86%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 213.94%
Exactly 33.62%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 056.54%
Exactly 132.24%
Exactly 29.19%
Exactly 31.75%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals25.47%
Wins by 3+ goals10.90%
Wins by 4+ goals3.83%
Wins by 5+ goals1.12%
NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals11.53%
Wins by 3+ goals3.73%
Wins by 4+ goals0.97%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
NAC Breda
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal22.48%
Wins by 2 goals14.58%
Wins by 3 goals7.07%
Wins by 4 goals2.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.85%
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal16.44%
Wins by 2 goals7.80%
Wins by 3 goals2.76%
Wins by 4 goals0.77%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.58%5.42%
1.578.78%21.22%
2.555.75%44.25%
3.533.38%66.62%
4.517.07%82.93%
5.57.56%92.44%
6.52.94%97.06%
7.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.43%18.57%
1.550.17%49.83%
2.523.85%76.15%
3.59.08%90.92%
4.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.81%29.19%
1.534.87%65.13%
2.512.74%87.26%
3.53.66%96.34%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.07%25.93%
1.539.07%60.93%
2.515.45%84.55%
3.54.82%95.18%
4.51.24%98.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
NAC Breda
Score012345
0
5.42%
6.67%
4.11%
1.69%
0.52%
0.13%
1
9.13%
11.24%
6.92%
2.84%
0.87%
0.22%
2
7.68%
9.46%
5.82%
2.39%
0.74%
0.18%
3
4.31%
5.31%
3.27%
1.34%
0.41%
0.10%
4
1.81%
2.23%
1.38%
0.56%
0.17%
0.04%
5
0.61%
0.75%
0.46%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
NEC Nijmegen
1-09.13%
2-07.68%
2-19.46%
3-04.31%
3-15.31%
3-23.27%
4-01.81%
4-12.23%
4-21.38%
4-30.56%
5-00.61%
5-10.75%
5-20.46%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.42%
1-111.24%
2-25.82%
3-31.34%
4-40.17%
NAC Breda
0-16.67%
0-24.11%
1-26.92%
0-31.69%
1-32.84%
2-32.39%
0-40.52%
1-40.87%
2-40.74%
3-40.41%
0-50.13%
1-50.22%
2-50.18%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
NAC Breda
Score01234
0
25.93%
14.78%
4.21%
0.80%
0.11%
1
20.22%
11.53%
3.29%
0.62%
0.09%
2
7.88%
4.49%
1.28%
0.24%
0.03%
3
2.05%
1.17%
0.33%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.40%
0.23%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-020.22%
2-07.88%
2-14.49%
3-02.05%
3-11.17%
3-20.33%
4-00.40%
4-10.23%
Draw
0-025.93%
1-111.53%
2-21.28%
NAC Breda
0-114.78%
0-24.21%
1-23.29%
0-30.80%
1-30.62%
2-30.24%
0-40.11%
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