NAC Breda at Twente

Updated

NAC Breda

4.4%8.5%87.1%
WinDrawTwente Win
0.75Projected Goals 3.48
0Final Score 1

Twente

Last 5 Games

NAC Breda
Money Line
L 0-2 at Feyenoord+1750
W 0-1 vs Fortuna Sittard+200
L 0-4 at Heerenveen+365
L 2-1 vs Utrecht+280
W 1-2 vs Ajax+500
Twente
Money Line
W 5-0 at Almere City-220
W 0-2 vs Heerenveen-320
T 1-1 vs Zwolle-340
L 1-2 at Utrecht+140
T 1-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+1000+966+1100+820+880+820+1100+894.6
Twente-460-367-500-385-390-385-367-276.3
Draw+525+524+575+460+498+460+575+505.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+960----+1250+1250+894.6
Twente-425-----550-550-276.3
Draw+575----+650+650+505.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Twente: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 50.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NAC Breda ML moved from +830 to +820
Twente ML moved from -439 to -447

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Twente: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 70.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NAC Breda ML
Twente ML moved from -480 to -550

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-118o3-123o3¼-118o3-112o3-115o3-112o3-112o3-102
Underu3¼-102u3+105u3¼-102u3-108u3-103u3-108u3¼-102u3+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-102
Under-----u3+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.45%
Exactly 213.01%
Exactly 419.41%
Exactly 611.58%
Exactly 83.70%
Exactly 100.74%
 
Exactly 16.15%
Exactly 318.35%
Exactly 516.43%
Exactly 77.00%
Exactly 91.74%
Exactly 110.28%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 047.43%
Exactly 135.38%
Exactly 213.19%
Exactly 33.28%
Exactly 40.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 03.07%
Exactly 110.68%
Exactly 218.62%
Exactly 321.62%
Exactly 418.84%
Exactly 513.13%
Exactly 67.63%
Exactly 73.80%
Exactly 81.65%
Exactly 90.64%
Exactly 100.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 014.10%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 48.65%
Exactly 61.11%
 
Exactly 127.62%
Exactly 317.67%
Exactly 53.39%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 070.80%
Exactly 124.45%
Exactly 24.22%
Exactly 30.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 019.92%
Exactly 132.14%
Exactly 225.93%
Exactly 313.95%
Exactly 45.63%
Exactly 51.82%
Exactly 60.49%
Exactly 70.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals1.05%
Wins by 3+ goals0.18%
Twente
Wins by 2+ goals71.79%
Wins by 3+ goals52.34%
Wins by 4+ goals33.42%
Wins by 5+ goals18.69%
Wins by 6+ goals9.21%
Wins by 7+ goals4.01%
Wins by 8+ goals1.53%
Wins by 9+ goals0.49%
Wins by 10+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

NAC Breda
Twente
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal3.24%
Wins by 2 goals0.87%
Wins by 3 goals0.17%
Twente
Wins by 1 goal15.20%
Wins by 2 goals19.44%
Wins by 3 goals18.93%
Wins by 4 goals14.72%
Wins by 5 goals9.49%
Wins by 6 goals5.20%
Wins by 7 goals2.48%
Wins by 8 goals1.04%
Wins by 9 goals0.38%
Wins by 10 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.55%1.45%
1.592.39%7.61%
2.579.38%20.62%
3.561.03%38.97%
4.541.62%58.38%
5.525.19%74.81%
6.513.61%86.39%
7.56.61%93.39%
8.52.91%97.09%
9.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.57%47.43%
1.517.19%82.81%
2.54.00%96.00%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.93%3.07%
1.586.25%13.75%
2.567.64%32.36%
3.546.01%53.99%
4.527.17%72.83%
5.514.04%85.96%
6.56.41%93.59%
7.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.90%14.10%
1.558.27%41.73%
2.531.22%68.78%
3.513.55%86.45%
4.54.90%95.10%
5.51.51%98.49%

Score Props

Correct Score

NAC Breda
Twente
Score012345
0
1.45%
5.07%
8.83%
10.26%
8.94%
6.23%
1
1.08%
3.78%
6.59%
7.65%
6.67%
4.65%
2
0.40%
1.41%
2.46%
2.85%
2.49%
1.73%
3
0.10%
0.35%
0.61%
0.71%
0.62%
0.43%
NAC Breda
1-01.08%
2-00.40%
2-11.41%
3-00.10%
3-10.35%
3-20.61%
Draw
0-01.45%
1-13.78%
2-22.46%
3-30.71%
4-40.12%
Twente
0-15.07%
0-28.83%
1-26.59%
0-310.26%
1-37.65%
2-32.85%
0-48.94%
1-46.67%
2-42.49%
3-40.62%
0-56.23%
1-54.65%
2-51.73%
3-50.43%

Correct Score - First Half

NAC Breda
Twente
Score0123456
0
14.10%
22.75%
18.36%
9.87%
3.98%
1.29%
0.35%
1
4.87%
7.86%
6.34%
3.41%
1.38%
0.44%
0.12%
2
0.84%
1.36%
1.09%
0.59%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
NAC Breda
1-04.87%
2-00.84%
2-11.36%
Draw
0-014.10%
1-17.86%
2-21.09%
Twente
0-122.75%
0-218.36%
1-26.34%
0-39.87%
1-33.41%
2-30.59%
0-43.98%
1-41.38%
2-40.24%
0-51.29%
1-50.44%
0-60.35%
1-60.12%
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