Ajax at Go Ahead Eag

Updated

Ajax

61.4%21.0%17.5%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.01Projected Goals 0.97
1Final Score 1

Go Ahead Eagles

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Fortuna Sittard-325
L 1-2 at NAC Breda-225
W 0-1 vs Heerenveen-240
T 2-2 at Vitesse-155
W 0-3 vs Almere City-450
Go Ahead Eagles
Money Line
W 2-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+240
L 0-3 at PSV Eindhoven+1850
W 0-2 vs RKC Waalwijk-145
L 0-2 at Willem II+155
L 2-0 vs Fortuna Sittard+100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-120-123-135-132-134-132-123-118.0
Go Ahead Eag+317+323+320+320+334+320+334+341.4
Draw+292+299+285+310+305+310+310+330.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-125-----125-125-118.0
Go Ahead Eag+310----+310+310+341.4
Draw+300----+300+300+330.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 20.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -133 to -139
Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +330 to +320

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 30.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +325 to +310

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-136o3-101o3-105o2¾-125o3+101o2¾-125o2¾-125o2¾-114
Underu2½+116u3-117u3-115u2¾+105u3-121u2¾+105u3-115u2¾+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-114
Under-----u2¾+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.7%
 
No46.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.09%
Exactly 222.57%
Exactly 416.68%
Exactly 64.93%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.16%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.93%
Exactly 72.10%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 013.43%
Exactly 126.96%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.11%
Exactly 49.09%
Exactly 53.65%
Exactly 61.22%
Exactly 70.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 037.91%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.83%
Exactly 35.77%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.19%
Exactly 223.94%
Exactly 43.79%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.73%
Exactly 311.00%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 039.47%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.05%
Exactly 35.28%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 063.82%
Exactly 128.66%
Exactly 26.44%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals37.36%
Wins by 3+ goals18.59%
Wins by 4+ goals7.65%
Wins by 5+ goals2.62%
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 2+ goals5.90%
Wins by 3+ goals1.52%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Go Ahead Eagles
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.98%
Wins by 2 goals18.77%
Wins by 3 goals10.94%
Wins by 4 goals5.03%
Wins by 5 goals1.90%
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 1 goal11.58%
Wins by 2 goals4.38%
Wins by 3 goals1.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.91%5.09%
1.579.75%20.25%
2.557.18%42.82%
3.534.78%65.22%
4.518.10%81.90%
5.58.17%91.83%
6.53.24%96.76%
7.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.57%13.43%
1.559.61%40.39%
2.532.54%67.46%
3.514.43%85.57%
4.55.34%94.66%
5.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Go Ahead Eagles Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.09%37.91%
1.525.32%74.68%
2.57.48%92.52%
3.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.81%25.19%
1.540.08%59.92%
2.516.14%83.86%
3.55.13%94.87%
4.51.34%98.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Go Ahead Eagles
Score01234
0
5.09%
4.94%
2.39%
0.77%
0.19%
1
10.22%
9.91%
4.81%
1.55%
0.38%
2
10.26%
9.95%
4.83%
1.56%
0.38%
3
6.87%
6.66%
3.23%
1.04%
0.25%
4
3.45%
3.34%
1.62%
0.52%
0.13%
5
1.38%
1.34%
0.65%
0.21%
0.05%
Ajax
1-010.22%
2-010.26%
2-19.95%
3-06.87%
3-16.66%
3-23.23%
4-03.45%
4-13.34%
4-21.62%
4-30.52%
5-01.38%
5-11.34%
5-20.65%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-05.09%
1-19.91%
2-24.83%
3-31.04%
4-40.13%
Go Ahead Eagles
0-14.94%
0-22.39%
1-24.81%
0-30.77%
1-31.55%
2-31.56%
0-40.19%
1-40.38%
2-40.38%
3-40.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Go Ahead Eagles
Score0123
0
25.19%
11.31%
2.54%
0.38%
1
23.42%
10.52%
2.36%
0.35%
2
10.88%
4.89%
1.10%
0.16%
3
3.37%
1.51%
0.34%
0.05%
4
0.78%
0.35%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-023.42%
2-010.88%
2-14.89%
3-03.37%
3-11.51%
3-20.34%
4-00.78%
4-10.35%
5-00.15%
Draw
0-025.19%
1-110.52%
2-21.10%
Go Ahead Eagles
0-111.31%
0-22.54%
1-22.36%
0-30.38%
1-30.35%
2-30.16%
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