NEC Nijmegen at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

6.3%11.6%82.1%
WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
0.73Projected Goals 2.95
2Final Score 3

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles-105
L 0-1 at Utrecht+390
L 1-0 vs Ajax+925
L 2-0 vs Twente+250
W 2-1 at Cambuur+175
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
T 2-2 at Feyenoord+200
W 2-4 vs Willem II-685
W 2-1 at Cambuur-425
W 0-2 vs RKC Waalwijk-650
T 3-3 at Twente-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+1400+1300+1250+1519-+1250+1519+1457.7
PSV Eindhoven-625-625-588-603--588-588-456.7
Draw+650+700+700+773-+700+773+766.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+1200----+1300+1300+1457.7
PSV Eindhoven-550-----600-600-456.7
Draw+675----+725+725+766.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +1400 to +1300
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -607 to -630

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -575 to -595

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105o3¾-118o3¾-117o3½-135-o3¾-117o3½-135o3¾-109
Underu3½-115u3¾-102u3¾-103u3½+120-u3¾-103u3¾-102u3¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¾-109
Under-----u3¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.1%
 
No50.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.51%
Exactly 217.05%
Exactly 419.28%
Exactly 68.72%
Exactly 82.11%
Exactly 100.32%
 
Exactly 19.26%
Exactly 320.93%
Exactly 514.21%
Exactly 74.59%
Exactly 90.87%
Exactly 110.11%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 048.22%
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 212.83%
Exactly 33.12%
Exactly 40.57%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 05.21%
Exactly 115.39%
Exactly 222.74%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.54%
Exactly 59.78%
Exactly 64.81%
Exactly 72.03%
Exactly 80.75%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.16%
Exactly 226.42%
Exactly 46.41%
Exactly 60.62%
 
Exactly 130.98%
Exactly 315.02%
Exactly 52.19%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 071.34%
Exactly 124.09%
Exactly 24.07%
Exactly 30.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 025.46%
Exactly 134.83%
Exactly 223.82%
Exactly 310.86%
Exactly 43.72%
Exactly 51.02%
Exactly 60.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals1.56%
Wins by 3+ goals0.28%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals63.11%
Wins by 3+ goals41.81%
Wins by 4+ goals23.78%
Wins by 5+ goals11.67%
Wins by 6+ goals4.98%
Wins by 7+ goals1.84%
Wins by 8+ goals0.57%
Wins by 9+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal4.64%
Wins by 2 goals1.28%
Wins by 3 goals0.25%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal18.87%
Wins by 2 goals21.30%
Wins by 3 goals18.03%
Wins by 4 goals12.10%
Wins by 5 goals6.69%
Wins by 6 goals3.14%
Wins by 7 goals1.28%
Wins by 8 goals0.45%
Wins by 9 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.49%2.51%
1.588.23%11.77%
2.571.18%28.82%
3.550.25%49.75%
4.530.97%69.03%
5.516.76%83.24%
6.58.04%91.96%
7.53.45%96.55%
8.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.78%48.22%
1.516.61%83.39%
2.53.78%96.22%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.79%5.21%
1.579.40%20.60%
2.556.66%43.34%
3.534.26%65.74%
4.517.72%82.28%
5.57.94%92.06%
6.53.13%96.87%
7.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.84%18.16%
1.550.85%49.15%
2.524.43%75.57%
3.59.40%90.60%
4.53.00%97.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
2.51%
7.42%
10.97%
10.80%
7.98%
4.71%
1
1.83%
5.41%
8.00%
7.88%
5.82%
3.44%
2
0.67%
1.97%
2.92%
2.87%
2.12%
1.25%
3
0.16%
0.48%
0.71%
0.70%
0.52%
0.30%
NEC Nijmegen
1-01.83%
2-00.67%
2-11.97%
3-00.16%
3-10.48%
3-20.71%
Draw
0-02.51%
1-15.41%
2-22.92%
3-30.70%
PSV Eindhoven
0-17.42%
0-210.97%
1-28.00%
0-310.80%
1-37.88%
2-32.87%
0-47.98%
1-45.82%
2-42.12%
3-40.52%
0-54.71%
1-53.44%
2-51.25%
3-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
Score0123456
0
18.16%
24.85%
17.00%
7.75%
2.65%
0.73%
0.17%
1
6.13%
8.39%
5.74%
2.62%
0.90%
0.24%
0.06%
2
1.04%
1.42%
0.97%
0.44%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.12%
0.16%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-06.13%
2-01.04%
2-11.42%
3-00.12%
3-10.16%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-018.16%
1-18.39%
2-20.97%
PSV Eindhoven
0-124.85%
0-217.00%
1-25.74%
0-37.75%
1-32.62%
2-30.44%
0-42.65%
1-40.90%
2-40.15%
0-50.73%
1-50.24%
0-60.17%