Excelsior at Cambuur

Updated

Excelsior

29.1%24.4%46.5%
Excelsior WinDrawCambuur Win
1.24Projected Goals 1.63
2Final Score 0

Cambuur

Last Games

Excelsior
Money Line
Cambuur
Money Line
W 3-2 at Groningen+400
T 1-1 vs Willem II+190
T 1-1 vs RKC Waalwijk+135
T 3-3 at Heerenveen+340
L 2-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+1000

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+320+275+275+275+274+275+275+287.7
Cambuur-125-112-115-115-117-115-112-103.8
Draw+265+307+275+305+295+305+307+329.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+295----+275+275+287.7
Cambuur-120-----115-115-103.8
Draw+295----+300+300+329.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cambuur: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 20.0%
Cambuur: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Cambuur: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +275 to +265
Cambuur ML moved from -104 to -110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cambuur: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 20.0%
Cambuur: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Cambuur: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +295 to +280
No Steam Moves On Cambuur ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3-141o3-115o3¼-104-o3¼-104o3-115o3-122
Underu3-118u3+119u3-105u3¼-116-u3¼-116u3+119u3+122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-122
Under-----u3+122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-122 to o3-116
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.1%
 
No42.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.67%
Exactly 223.35%
Exactly 416.03%
Exactly 64.40%
Exactly 80.65%
 
Exactly 116.27%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 59.20%
Exactly 71.81%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 028.92%
Exactly 135.88%
Exactly 222.25%
Exactly 39.20%
Exactly 42.85%
Exactly 50.71%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Cambuur
Exactly 019.59%
Exactly 131.94%
Exactly 226.03%
Exactly 314.14%
Exactly 45.76%
Exactly 51.88%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.47%
Exactly 223.38%
Exactly 43.44%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.18%
Exactly 310.36%
Exactly 50.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 056.31%
Exactly 132.34%
Exactly 29.29%
Exactly 31.78%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cambuur
Exactly 047.02%
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 213.39%
Exactly 33.37%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals12.11%
Wins by 3+ goals3.96%
Wins by 4+ goals1.04%
Wins by 5+ goals0.21%
Cambuur
Wins by 2+ goals24.14%
Wins by 3+ goals10.07%
Wins by 4+ goals3.44%
Wins by 5+ goals0.98%
Wins by 6+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Cambuur
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal16.98%
Wins by 2 goals8.15%
Wins by 3 goals2.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%
Cambuur
Wins by 1 goal22.31%
Wins by 2 goals14.07%
Wins by 3 goals6.63%
Wins by 4 goals2.47%
Wins by 5 goals0.75%
Wins by 6 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.33%5.67%
1.578.06%21.94%
2.554.72%45.28%
3.532.38%67.62%
4.516.35%83.65%
5.57.14%92.86%
6.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.08%28.92%
1.535.20%64.80%
2.512.94%87.06%
3.53.74%96.26%

Total Goals Cambuur Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.41%19.59%
1.548.47%51.53%
2.522.44%77.56%
3.58.30%91.70%
4.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.53%26.47%
1.538.34%61.66%
2.514.96%85.04%
3.54.60%95.40%
4.51.16%98.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Cambuur
Score012345
0
5.67%
9.24%
7.53%
4.09%
1.67%
0.54%
1
7.03%
11.46%
9.34%
5.07%
2.07%
0.67%
2
4.36%
7.11%
5.79%
3.15%
1.28%
0.42%
3
1.80%
2.94%
2.40%
1.30%
0.53%
0.17%
4
0.56%
0.91%
0.74%
0.40%
0.16%
0.05%
5
0.14%
0.23%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
Excelsior
1-07.03%
2-04.36%
2-17.11%
3-01.80%
3-12.94%
3-22.40%
4-00.56%
4-10.91%
4-20.74%
4-30.40%
5-00.14%
5-10.23%
5-20.18%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-05.67%
1-111.46%
2-25.79%
3-31.30%
4-40.16%
Cambuur
0-19.24%
0-27.53%
1-29.34%
0-34.09%
1-35.07%
2-33.15%
0-41.67%
1-42.07%
2-41.28%
3-40.53%
0-50.54%
1-50.67%
2-50.42%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Cambuur
Score01234
0
26.47%
19.98%
7.54%
1.90%
0.36%
1
15.21%
11.47%
4.33%
1.09%
0.21%
2
4.37%
3.30%
1.24%
0.31%
0.06%
3
0.84%
0.63%
0.24%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.12%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-015.21%
2-04.37%
2-13.30%
3-00.84%
3-10.63%
3-20.24%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-026.47%
1-111.47%
2-21.24%
Cambuur
0-119.98%
0-27.54%
1-24.33%
0-31.90%
1-31.09%
2-30.31%
0-40.36%
1-40.21%
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