Ajax at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

Ajax

80.2%12.7%7.1%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.83Projected Goals 0.74
3Final Score 2

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
T 2-2 at Vitesse-190
W 0-5 vs Heerenveen-650
T 2-2 at AZ Alkmaar-150
W 0-3 vs Zwolle-650
W 1-0 at NEC Nijmegen-400
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
W 1-0 at NEC Nijmegen+270
L 2-1 vs Vitesse+165
W 2-1 at Twente+750
L 3-1 vs Feyenoord+750
W 0-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-575-385-435-425-455-425-385-344.2
Fortuna Sittard+1200+1009+900+1000+976+1000+1009+1082.0
Draw+600+541+550+575+570+575+575+611.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-475-----415-415-344.2
Fortuna Sittard+1100----+975+975+1082.0
Draw+600----+550+550+611.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 10.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -415 to -425
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +970 to +963

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 10.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +1000 to +975

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-120o3½-115o3¾+100o3½-110-o3½-110o3½-110o3½-100
Underu3½+100u3½-103u3¾-120u3½-110-u3½-110u3¾-120u3½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-100
Under-----u3½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.4%
 
No50.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.81%
Exactly 217.93%
Exactly 419.06%
Exactly 68.10%
Exactly 81.84%
Exactly 100.26%
 
Exactly 110.05%
Exactly 321.35%
Exactly 513.61%
Exactly 74.13%
Exactly 90.73%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 05.92%
Exactly 116.73%
Exactly 223.65%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 415.75%
Exactly 58.91%
Exactly 64.20%
Exactly 71.70%
Exactly 80.60%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 047.54%
Exactly 135.35%
Exactly 213.14%
Exactly 33.26%
Exactly 40.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.14%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 45.96%
Exactly 60.54%
 
Exactly 131.65%
Exactly 314.42%
Exactly 51.97%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 027.01%
Exactly 135.35%
Exactly 223.14%
Exactly 310.10%
Exactly 43.30%
Exactly 50.87%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 070.87%
Exactly 124.40%
Exactly 24.20%
Exactly 30.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals60.37%
Wins by 3+ goals38.86%
Wins by 4+ goals21.37%
Wins by 5+ goals10.13%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals1.80%
Wins by 3+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal19.81%
Wins by 2 goals21.51%
Wins by 3 goals17.48%
Wins by 4 goals11.25%
Wins by 5 goals5.96%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal5.20%
Wins by 2 goals1.47%
Wins by 3 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.19%2.81%
1.587.14%12.86%
2.569.21%30.79%
3.547.86%52.14%
4.528.80%71.20%
5.515.19%84.81%
6.57.09%92.91%
7.52.96%97.04%
8.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.08%5.92%
1.577.35%22.65%
2.553.70%46.30%
3.531.41%68.59%
4.515.66%84.34%
5.56.75%93.25%
6.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.46%47.54%
1.517.11%82.89%
2.53.97%96.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.86%19.14%
1.549.21%50.79%
2.523.05%76.95%
3.58.63%91.37%
4.52.67%97.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Score0123
0
2.81%
2.09%
0.78%
0.19%
1
7.95%
5.91%
2.20%
0.55%
2
11.24%
8.36%
3.11%
0.77%
3
10.60%
7.88%
2.93%
0.73%
4
7.49%
5.57%
2.07%
0.51%
5
4.23%
3.15%
1.17%
0.29%
Ajax
1-07.95%
2-011.24%
2-18.36%
3-010.60%
3-17.88%
3-22.93%
4-07.49%
4-15.57%
4-22.07%
4-30.51%
5-04.23%
5-13.15%
5-21.17%
5-30.29%
Draw
0-02.81%
1-15.91%
2-23.11%
3-30.73%
Fortuna Sittard
0-12.09%
0-20.78%
1-22.20%
0-30.19%
1-30.55%
2-30.77%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Score0123
0
19.14%
6.59%
1.13%
0.13%
1
25.06%
8.63%
1.49%
0.17%
2
16.40%
5.65%
0.97%
0.11%
3
7.16%
2.46%
0.42%
0.05%
4
2.34%
0.81%
0.14%
0.02%
5
0.61%
0.21%
0.04%
0.00%
6
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-025.06%
2-016.40%
2-15.65%
3-07.16%
3-12.46%
3-20.42%
4-02.34%
4-10.81%
4-20.14%
5-00.61%
5-10.21%
6-00.13%
Draw
0-019.14%
1-18.63%
2-20.97%
Fortuna Sittard
0-16.59%
0-21.13%
1-21.49%
0-30.13%
1-30.17%
2-30.11%