Ajax at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Ajax

64.0%20.2%15.8%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.07Projected Goals 0.93
2Final Score 2

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Zwolle-650
W 1-0 at NEC Nijmegen-400
W 1-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-1100
W 3-1 at Groningen-450
W 2-3 vs Feyenoord-210
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam-140
W 1-2 vs Heerenveen-275
L 1-2 at Zwolle-130
W 1-3 vs Vitesse-150
T 2-2 at Willem II-165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-135-110-120-118--115-110-111.3
AZ Alkmaar+350+285+285+346-+285+346+341.8
Draw+270+260+285+279-+285+285+305.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-135-----150-150-111.3
AZ Alkmaar+320----+350+350+341.8
Draw+320----+335+335+305.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 30.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 20.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -147 to -154
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +295 to +285

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 30.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -140 to -150
No Steam Moves On AZ Alkmaar ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118o2¾-122o3+105o3+115-o3+105o3+115o3+114
Underu2¾-102u2¾+102u3-125u3-130-u3-125u3-125u3-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+114
Under-----u3-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.8%
 
No47.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.96%
Exactly 222.37%
Exactly 416.83%
Exactly 65.06%
Exactly 80.82%
 
Exactly 114.89%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.11%
Exactly 72.17%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 012.51%
Exactly 126.00%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 318.73%
Exactly 49.73%
Exactly 54.05%
Exactly 61.40%
Exactly 70.42%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 039.62%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.98%
Exactly 35.24%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.88%
Exactly 224.07%
Exactly 43.88%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.61%
Exactly 311.16%
Exactly 51.08%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 038.20%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.69%
Exactly 35.68%
Exactly 41.37%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 065.14%
Exactly 127.92%
Exactly 25.98%
Exactly 30.85%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals39.98%
Wins by 3+ goals20.52%
Wins by 4+ goals8.77%
Wins by 5+ goals3.17%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals5.13%
Wins by 3+ goals1.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.96%
Wins by 2 goals19.46%
Wins by 3 goals11.76%
Wins by 4 goals5.60%
Wins by 5 goals2.19%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal10.67%
Wins by 2 goals3.86%
Wins by 3 goals1.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.04%4.96%
1.580.15%19.85%
2.557.78%42.22%
3.535.38%64.62%
4.518.55%81.45%
5.58.44%91.56%
6.53.37%96.63%
7.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.49%12.51%
1.561.49%38.51%
2.534.46%65.54%
3.515.73%84.27%
4.56.00%94.00%
5.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.38%39.62%
1.523.69%76.31%
2.56.72%93.28%
3.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.12%24.88%
1.540.51%59.49%
2.516.43%83.57%
3.55.27%94.73%
4.51.39%98.61%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Score01234
0
4.96%
4.59%
2.12%
0.66%
0.15%
1
10.30%
9.54%
4.41%
1.36%
0.32%
2
10.71%
9.91%
4.59%
1.42%
0.33%
3
7.42%
6.87%
3.18%
0.98%
0.23%
4
3.86%
3.57%
1.65%
0.51%
0.12%
5
1.60%
1.48%
0.69%
0.21%
0.05%
Ajax
1-010.30%
2-010.71%
2-19.91%
3-07.42%
3-16.87%
3-23.18%
4-03.86%
4-13.57%
4-21.65%
4-30.51%
5-01.60%
5-11.48%
5-20.69%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-04.96%
1-19.54%
2-24.59%
3-30.98%
4-40.12%
AZ Alkmaar
0-14.59%
0-22.12%
1-24.41%
0-30.66%
1-31.36%
2-31.42%
0-40.15%
1-40.32%
2-40.33%
3-40.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Score0123
0
24.88%
10.66%
2.29%
0.33%
1
23.95%
10.26%
2.20%
0.31%
2
11.52%
4.94%
1.06%
0.15%
3
3.70%
1.58%
0.34%
0.05%
4
0.89%
0.38%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajax
1-023.95%
2-011.52%
2-14.94%
3-03.70%
3-11.58%
3-20.34%
4-00.89%
4-10.38%
5-00.17%
Draw
0-024.88%
1-110.26%
2-21.06%
AZ Alkmaar
0-110.66%
0-22.29%
1-22.20%
0-30.33%
1-30.31%
2-30.15%