Vitesse at Excelsior

Updated

Vitesse

40.4%27.8%31.9%
Vitesse WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.10
1Final Score 3

Excelsior

Last Games

Vitesse
Money Line
L 5-2 vs Feyenoord+305
L 1-6 at AZ Alkmaar+420
W 1-2 vs AZ Alkmaar+190
W 0-3 vs Utrecht+100
L 1-3 at Utrecht+240
Excelsior
Money Line
W 2-0 at Cambuur+275

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitesse+105-112+100-125-112-125+100-105.4
Excelsior+245+278+240+295+286+295+295+297.4
Draw+240+304+265+315+313+315+315+325.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitesse+110-----110-110-105.4
Excelsior+225----+265+265+297.4
Draw+275----+295+295+325.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitesse: 0.0%
Excelsior: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Vitesse: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitesse: 40.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitesse ML moved from -112 to -120
Excelsior ML moved from +289 to +280

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitesse: 0.0%
Excelsior: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Vitesse: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitesse: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitesse ML moved from +100 to -105
No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o3-127o3+100o3¼+100o3-117o3¼+100o3+100o3-109
Underu2½+102u3+107u3-120u3¼-120u3+102u3¼-120u3¼-120u3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-109
Under-----u3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.8%
 
No52.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.40%
Exactly 226.28%
Exactly 412.24%
Exactly 62.28%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.23%
Exactly 320.71%
Exactly 55.79%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitesse
Exactly 028.11%
Exactly 135.67%
Exactly 222.64%
Exactly 39.58%
Exactly 43.04%
Exactly 50.77%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 033.45%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.06%
Exactly 37.32%
Exactly 42.00%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.47%
Exactly 220.05%
Exactly 42.00%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.32%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitesse
Exactly 055.57%
Exactly 132.65%
Exactly 29.59%
Exactly 31.88%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 060.23%
Exactly 130.54%
Exactly 27.74%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitesse
Wins by 2+ goals17.94%
Wins by 3+ goals6.19%
Wins by 4+ goals1.70%
Wins by 5+ goals0.37%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals12.46%
Wins by 3+ goals3.72%
Wins by 4+ goals0.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitesse
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Vitesse
Wins by 1 goal22.38%
Wins by 2 goals11.75%
Wins by 3 goals4.48%
Wins by 4 goals1.33%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal19.31%
Wins by 2 goals8.74%
Wins by 3 goals2.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.60%9.40%
1.568.37%31.63%
2.542.09%57.91%
3.521.38%78.62%
4.59.14%90.86%
5.53.36%96.64%
6.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Vitesse Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.89%28.11%
1.536.22%63.78%
2.513.58%86.42%
3.54.01%95.99%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.55%33.45%
1.529.92%70.08%
2.59.86%90.14%
3.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.53%33.47%
1.529.90%70.10%
2.59.85%90.15%
3.52.53%97.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitesse
Excelsior
Score012345
0
9.40%
10.30%
5.64%
2.06%
0.56%
0.12%
1
11.93%
13.07%
7.15%
2.61%
0.71%
0.16%
2
7.57%
8.29%
4.54%
1.66%
0.45%
0.10%
3
3.20%
3.51%
1.92%
0.70%
0.19%
0.04%
4
1.02%
1.11%
0.61%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.26%
0.28%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Vitesse
1-011.93%
2-07.57%
2-18.29%
3-03.20%
3-13.51%
3-21.92%
4-01.02%
4-11.11%
4-20.61%
4-30.22%
5-00.26%
5-10.28%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-09.40%
1-113.07%
2-24.54%
3-30.70%
Excelsior
0-110.30%
0-25.64%
1-27.15%
0-32.06%
1-32.61%
2-31.66%
0-40.56%
1-40.71%
2-40.45%
3-40.19%
0-50.12%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitesse
Excelsior
Score0123
0
33.47%
16.97%
4.30%
0.73%
1
19.67%
9.97%
2.53%
0.43%
2
5.78%
2.93%
0.74%
0.13%
3
1.13%
0.57%
0.15%
0.02%
4
0.17%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Vitesse
1-019.67%
2-05.78%
2-12.93%
3-01.13%
3-10.57%
3-20.15%
4-00.17%
Draw
0-033.47%
1-19.97%
2-20.74%
Excelsior
0-116.97%
0-24.30%
1-22.53%
0-30.73%
1-30.43%
2-30.13%
Go Ahead Eag at AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven at Go Ahead Eag