Detroit at New Orleans

Updated

Detroit Lions

(9-1)
Rank1
P/G33.6
PA/G17.7
62.2%37.8%
Detroit WinNew Orleans Win
24.4Projected Points 21.0
33Final Score 28

New Orleans Saints

(4-7)
Rank25
P/G23.8
PA/G23.6
Rank1
P/G33.6
PA/G17.7
Rank25
P/G23.8
PA/G23.6

Quarterbacks

Jared Goff

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.91111.2188

Derek Carr

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.61110.4105

Last 5 Games

Detroit Lions
Money Line
L 29-22 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Jordan Love • DET: Jared Goff-405
W 26-31 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Justin Fields • DET: Jared Goff-380
W 41-38 at Los Angeles ChargersDET: Jared Goff • LAC: Justin Herbert-130
W 14-26 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Jimmy Garoppolo • DET: Jared Goff-310
L 6-38 at Baltimore RavensDET: Jared Goff • BAL: Lamar Jackson+140
New Orleans Saints
Money Line
L 15-24 at Atlanta FalconsNO: Derek Carr • ATL: Taylor Heinicke-130
L 19-27 at Minnesota VikingsNO: Derek Carr • MIN: Joshua Dobbs-150
W 17-24 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Tyson Bagent • NO: Derek Carr-440
W 38-27 at Indianapolis ColtsNO: Derek Carr • IND: Gardner Minshew II-130
L 31-24 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • NO: Derek Carr-138

Injuries

Detroit Lions

Status
  • THalapoulivaati VaitaiIR
  • WRMarvin Jones Jr.Out
  • OLJonah JacksonProbable
  • LBAlex AnzaloneOut

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • OLErik McCoyProbable
  • DECameron JordanProbable
  • WRMichael ThomasIR
  • RBKendre MillerOut
  • CBMarshon LattimoreIR
  • WRChris OlaveProbable
  • SMarcus MayeOut
  • WRRashid ShaheedOut
  • DEIsaiah FoskeyProbable
  • LBPete WernerOut
  • KBlake GrupeProbable
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Clay Martin
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Detroit-160-195-180-190-190-190-180-173.6
New Orleans+135+170+155+165+165+165+170+173.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Detroit-160-200-185-205-200-200-185-173.6
New Orleans+135+175+163+170+175+170+175+173.6

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Detroit-3-108-3½-108-3½-110-4-108-3½-110-4-108-3½-108-4+102
New Orleans+3-108+3½-108+3½-110+4-112+3½-110+4-112+3½-108+4-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Detroit-3-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-4+102
New Orleans+3-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Detroit: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Detroit: 0.0%
New Orleans: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Detroit: 10.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Detroit: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Detroit: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Detroit Spread moved from -4-105 to -3½-115
New Orleans Spread moved from +5-108 to +4½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Detroit: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Detroit: 0.0%
New Orleans: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Detroit: 10.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Detroit: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Detroit: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Detroit Spread moved from -3-110 to -3½-110
No Steam Moves On New Orleans Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44½-108o48-108o48-110o48-110o48-110o48-110o48-108o48+100
Underu44½-108u48-108u48-110u48-110u48-110u48-110u48-108u48+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45-110o47½-110o47½-110o48-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o48+100
Underu45-110u47½-110u47½-110u48-110u47½-110u47½-110u48-110u48+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-108 to o48½-108
The Under moved from u48½-108 to u48-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-110 to o48-110
The Under moved from u47-110 to u46½-110
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