Cleveland at Indianapolis

Updated
Rank29
P/G16.2
PA/G24.8
58.7%41.3%
Cleveland WinIndianapolis Win
23.6Projected Points 20.4
39Final Score 38
Rank19
P/G21.4
PA/G22.7
Rank29
P/G16.2
PA/G24.8
Rank19
P/G21.4
PA/G22.7

Quarterbacks

Deshaun Watson

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.7310.442

Gardner Minshew II

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.229.833

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Browns
Money Line
W 17-19 vs San Francisco 49ersSF: Brock Purdy • CLE: P.J. Walker+425
L 28-3 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • CLE: Dorian Thompson-Robinson+105
W 3-27 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Ryan Tannehill • CLE: Deshaun Watson-170
L 22-26 at Pittsburgh SteelersCLE: Deshaun Watson • PIT: Kenny Pickett-130
W 3-24 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • CLE: Deshaun Watson-110
Indianapolis Colts
Money Line
L 20-37 at Jacksonville JaguarsIND: Gardner Minshew II • JAX: Trevor Lawrence+173
W 16-23 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Ryan Tannehill • IND: Anthony Richardson+127
L 29-23 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Matthew Stafford • IND: Anthony Richardson+105
W 22-19 at Baltimore RavensIND: Gardner Minshew II • BAL: Lamar Jackson+320
W 31-20 at Houston TexansIND: Anthony Richardson • HOU: C.J. Stroud+100

Injuries

Cleveland Browns

Status
  • GMichael DunnIR
  • LBSione TakitakiOut
  • LBAnthony WalkerProbable
  • CBGreg Newsome IIProbable
  • TEHarrison BryantProbable
  • WRCedric TillmanOut
  • QBDeshaun WatsonProbable
  • RBKareem HuntProbable
  • OLJoel BitonioProbable

Indianapolis Colts

Status
  • QBAnthony RichardsonOut for Season
  • TEKylen GransonOut
  • DTGrover StewartOut
  • GBraden SmithOut
  • WRAlec PierceProbable
N 6 mph
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)53°55°57°58°
Humidity59%54%52%51%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindN 6 mphN 6 mphN 6 mphN 6 mph
Shawn Smith
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cleveland-125-180-185-180-180-180-180-167.1
Indianapolis+105+155+160+160+160+160+160+167.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cleveland-140-175-186-190-185-185-175-167.1
Indianapolis+118+155+164+158+165+155+165+167.1

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cleveland-3+100-3½-108-3½-110-3½-105-3½-105-3½-105-3½-105-3½+104
Indianapolis+3-120+3½-108+3½-110+3½-115+3½-115+3½-115+3½-108+3½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cleveland-2-110-3½-110-3½-105-3½-105-3½-105-3½-110-3½-105-3½+104
Indianapolis+2-110+3½-110+3½-115+3½-115+3½-115+3½-110+3½-110+3½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cleveland: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cleveland: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Cleveland: 10.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cleveland: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cleveland Spread moved from -3½+102 to -3½-108
Indianapolis Spread moved from +2½+102 to +2½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cleveland: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cleveland: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Cleveland: 10.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cleveland: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cleveland Spread moved from -3½+100 to -3½-105
Indianapolis Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42½-110o40½-108o40-110o40-118o40½-110o40-118o40-110o40-107
Underu42½-110u40½-108u40-110u40-102u40½-110u40-102u40½-108u40+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o40-107
Underu42-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u40+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40-108 to o40½-108
The Under moved from u40½-108 to u40-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o39½-110 to o40-110
The Under moved from u40-110 to u39½-110