Atlanta at Tampa Bay

Updated
Rank17
P/G22.2
PA/G24.9
37.7%62.3%
Atlanta WinTampa Bay Win
19.3Projected Points 22.7
16Final Score 13
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
Rank17
P/G22.2
PA/G24.9
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6

Quarterbacks

Desmond Ridder

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.0610.666

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.4510.373

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
L 24-16 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Sam Howell • ATL: Desmond Ridder-122
W 19-21 vs Houston TexansHOU: C.J. Stroud • ATL: Desmond Ridder-135
L 7-23 vs Jacksonville JaguarsATL: Desmond Ridder • JAX: Trevor Lawrence+155
L 6-20 at Detroit LionsATL: Desmond Ridder • DET: Jared Goff+160
W 24-25 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Jordan Love • ATL: Desmond Ridder-150
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 20-6 vs Detroit LionsDET: Jared Goff • TB: Baker Mayfield+140
W 26-9 at New Orleans SaintsTB: Baker Mayfield • NO: Derek Carr+196
L 25-11 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • TB: Baker Mayfield+220
W 17-27 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Justin Fields • TB: Baker Mayfield-130
W 20-17 at Minnesota VikingsTB: Baker Mayfield • MIN: Kirk Cousins+175

Injuries

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • WRJosh AliIR

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • LBAnthony NelsonProbable
  • QBBaker MayfieldProbable
  • DTVita VeaProbable
NNE 3 mph
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL
O/U Effect
Very Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)81°83°84°84°
Humidity46%42%42%43%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNNE 3 mphN 2 mphNW 3 mphNW 4 mph
Ron Torbert
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+125+130+125+128+125+128+130+136.1
Tampa Bay-145-150-145-148-145-148-145-136.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+115+135+127+130+135+130+135+136.1
Tampa Bay-135-155-145-155-155-150-145-136.1

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+1½-110+3-108+3-115+3-120+3-125+3-120+3-108+3-109
Tampa Bay-1½-110-3-108-3-105-3+100-3+105-3+100-3+105-3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+2½-110+2½-110+3-110+3-120+3-110+2½-110+3-110+3-109
Tampa Bay-2½-110-2½-110-3-110-3+100-3-110-2½-110-2½-110-3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta Spread moved from +2½+100 to +3-125
No Steam Moves On Tampa Bay Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
No Steam Moves On Tampa Bay Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40-110o37-108o37-115o37-115o37½-110o37-115o37-108o37-104
Underu40-110u37-108u37-105u37-105u37½-110u37-105u37½-110u37+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41-110o37½-110o37½-110o37½-110o37½-110o37½-110o37½-110o37-104
Underu41-110u37½-110u37½-110u37½-110u37½-110u37½-110u37½-110u37+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o37½-105 to o37-115
The Under moved from u37½-108 to u37-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o37-110 to o37½-110
The Under moved from u37½-110 to u37-110