Houston at Atlanta

Updated

Houston Texans

(7-4)
Rank10
P/G23.4
PA/G21.4
40.3%59.7%
Houston WinAtlanta Win
20.5Projected Points 23.6
19Final Score 21

Atlanta Falcons

(6-5)
Rank17
P/G22.2
PA/G24.9
Rank10
P/G23.4
PA/G21.4
Rank17
P/G22.2
PA/G24.9

Quarterbacks

C.J. Stroud

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
62.3412.960

Desmond Ridder

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
62.2410.133

Last 5 Games

Houston Texans
Money Line
W 6-30 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Kenny Pickett • HOU: C.J. Stroud+140
W 37-17 at Jacksonville JaguarsHOU: C.J. Stroud • JAX: Trevor Lawrence+320
L 31-20 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Anthony Richardson • HOU: C.J. Stroud-110
L 9-25 at Baltimore RavensHOU: C.J. Stroud • BAL: Lamar Jackson+375
W 32-31 at Indianapolis ColtsHOU: Davis Mills • IND: Sam Ehlinger+130
Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
L 7-23 vs Jacksonville JaguarsATL: Desmond Ridder • JAX: Trevor Lawrence+155
L 6-20 at Detroit LionsATL: Desmond Ridder • DET: Jared Goff+160
W 24-25 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Jordan Love • ATL: Desmond Ridder-150
W 10-24 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • ATL: Desmond Ridder-185
W 17-30 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Tom Brady • ATL: Desmond Ridder-240

Injuries

Houston Texans

Status
  • DTHassan RidgewayIR
  • TLaremy TunsilProbable
  • CKendrick GreenIR
  • CBShaquill GriffinOut
  • CMichael DeiterProbable
  • LBChristian HarrisOut
  • WRJohn Metchie IIIProbable
  • LBDenzel PerrymanProbable
  • WRNoah BrownIR
  • TTytus HowardProbable
  • OLJosh JonesOut
  • DBDerek Stingley Jr.IR
  • DLMaliek CollinsProbable
  • LBJake HansenProbable
  • DBTavierre ThomasProbable

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • WRJosh AliIR
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Shawn Hochuli
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+160+120+115+117+115+117+120+125.4
Atlanta-185-140-135-137-135-137-135-125.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+100+125+122+115+120+115+125+125.4
Atlanta-120-145-140-135-140-135-135-125.4

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+3½-108+2½-108+2½-110+2½-110+2-105+2½-110+2½-108+2½+100
Atlanta-3½-108-2½-108-2½-110-2½-110-2-115-2½-110-2½-108-2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+3½-110+2½-110+2½-110+2½-110+2½-110+2½-110+2½-110+2½+100
Atlanta-3½-110-2½-110-2½-110-2½-110-2½-110-2½-110-2½-110-2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 0.0%
Atlanta: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Houston: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Houston: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston Spread moved from +2½-115 to +1½-110
Atlanta Spread moved from -1-108 to -2-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 0.0%
Atlanta: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Houston: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Houston: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston Spread moved from +1½-110 to +1-110
Atlanta Spread moved from -1-110 to -2-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41½-108o42-108o42½-110o42-113o42½-110o42-113o42-108o42-103
Underu41½-108u42-108u42½-110u42-107u42½-110u42-107u42½-110u42+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41½-110o42-110o42-110o42-110o42-110o42-110o42-110o42-103
Underu41½-110u42-110u42-110u42-110u42-110u42-110u42-110u42+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-105 to o43-105
The Under moved from u43-115 to u42½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-110 to o42-110
The Under moved from u42-110 to u41½-110
Jacksonville vs Buffalo
Carolina at Detroit