Tampa Bay at New Orleans

Updated

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(4-6)
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
34.7%65.3%
Tampa Bay WinNew Orleans Win
18.8Projected Points 23.0
26Final Score 9

New Orleans Saints

(4-7)
Rank25
P/G23.8
PA/G23.6
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
Rank25
P/G23.8
PA/G23.6

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.7310.341

Derek Carr

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.5311.222

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 25-11 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • TB: Baker Mayfield+220
W 17-27 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Justin Fields • TB: Baker Mayfield-130
W 20-17 at Minnesota VikingsTB: Baker Mayfield • MIN: Kirk Cousins+175
L 31-14 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • TB: Tom Brady+130
L 17-30 at Atlanta FalconsTB: Tom Brady • ATL: Desmond Ridder+232
New Orleans Saints
Money Line
L 17-18 at Green Bay PackersNO: Derek Carr • GB: Jordan Love-120
W 20-17 at Carolina PanthersNO: Derek Carr • CAR: Bryce Young-165
W 15-16 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Ryan Tannehill • NO: Derek Carr-150
L 10-7 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Sam Darnold • NO: Andy Dalton-180
W 20-10 at Philadelphia EaglesNO: Andy Dalton • PHI: Gardner Minshew II+200

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • CBDerrek PittsOut
  • LBDevin WhiteProbable
  • LBSirVocea DennisOut
  • DTVita VeaProbable
  • CRyan JensenOut
  • RBChase EdmondsIR
  • CBCarlton DavisProbable
  • DLCalijah KanceyOut
  • CBJamel DeanOut

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • QBJameis WinstonUnknown
  • RBJamaal WilliamsIR
  • DEPayton TurnerOut
  • TEFoster MoreauProbable
  • DBJordan HowdenOut
  • RBAlvin KamaraProbable
  • SMarcus MayeOut
  • CCesar RuizOut
  • CBPaulson AdeboOut
  • QBJake HaenerOut
  • QBDerek CarrProbable
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Shawn Hochuli
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+175+185+175+190+175+190+190+199.4
New Orleans-210-220-210-220-210-220-210-199.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+120+195+196+180+185+180+196+199.4
New Orleans-140-230-224-220-215-220-215-199.4

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+3½-110+4½-108+4½-115+4½-110+4½-110+4½-110+4½-108+4½+100
New Orleans-3½-110-4½-108-4½-105-4½-110-4½-110-4½-110-4½-105-4½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+3½-110+4½-110+5-110+4½-110+4½-110+4½-110+5-110+4½+100
New Orleans-3½-110-4½-110-5-110-4½-110-4½-110-4½-110-4½-110-4½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +3½-110 to +3-115
New Orleans Spread moved from -4½-105 to -4-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
New Orleans: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +5½-110 to +5-110
New Orleans Spread moved from -4-110 to -5-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40½-110o41-108o41-110o41-110o41-110o41-110o41-108o41+100
Underu40½-110u41-108u41-110u41-110u41-110u41-110u41-108u41+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42-110o41½-110o41-110o41-110o40½-110o41-110o40½-110o41+100
Underu42-110u41½-110u41-110u41-110u40½-110u41-110u41½-110u41+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-105 to o41-115
The Under moved from u41-105 to u41-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40½-110 to o41-110
The Under moved from u41-110 to u40½-110
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