Buffalo at New England

Updated
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G21.6
64.8%35.2%
Buffalo WinNew England Win
23.8Projected Points 19.8
Rank32
P/G16.6
PA/G25.1
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G21.6
Rank32
P/G16.6
PA/G25.1

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.616233.0286

Drake Maye

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.811190.01510

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 14-40 vs New York JetsNYJ: Aaron Rodgers • BUF: Josh Allen-500
W 21-24 vs New England PatriotsNE: Drake Maye • BUF: Josh Allen-950
W 48-42 at Detroit LionsBUF: Josh Allen • DET: Jared Goff+125
L 42-44 at Los Angeles RamsBUF: Josh Allen • LAR: Matthew Stafford-185
W 10-35 vs San Francisco 49ersSF: Brock Purdy • BUF: Josh Allen-300
New England Patriots
Money Line
L 40-7 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • NE: Drake Maye+264
L 21-24 at Buffalo BillsNE: Drake Maye • BUF: Josh Allen+875
L 17-30 at Arizona CardinalsNE: Drake Maye • ARI: Kyler Murray+250
L 25-24 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Anthony Richardson • NE: Drake Maye+120
L 15-34 at Miami DolphinsNE: Drake Maye • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+330

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • LBTerrel BernardQuestionable
  • WRCurtis SamuelQuestionable
  • LBBaylon SpectorQuestionable

New England Patriots

Status
  • GBen BrownQuestionable
  • DBMarcus JonesIR
  • WRJa'Lynn PolkQuestionable
  • CBChristian GonzalezQuestionable
  • DTChristian BarmoreOut
  • DBJabrill PeppersQuestionable
  • WRKayshon BoutteQuestionable
WNW 14 mph
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)31°30°30°29°
Humidity52%51%52%54%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWNW 14 mphWNW 13 mphWNW 12 mphWNW 12 mph
Alan Eck
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-120-150-150-145-140-145-140-133.2
New England+100+130+130+125+120+125+130+133.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-125-145-140-145-145-145-140-133.2
New England+105+125+120+125+125+125+125+133.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-5½-110-3+102-2½-120-2½-115-2½-115-2½-115-2½-115-2½-104
New England+5½-110+3-118+2½+100+2½-105+2½-105+2½-105+2½+100+2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-3½-110-2½-110-3-110-2½-110-3-105-2½-116-2½-110-2½-104
New England+3½-110+2½-110+3-110+2½-110+3-115+2½+100+3-115+2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 30.0%
New England: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Buffalo Spread
New England Spread moved from +3-110 to +1½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 30.0%
New England: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Buffalo Spread
New England Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44-110o38-108o38-110o38-113o38-110o38-113o38-108o38-103
Underu44-110u38-108u38-110u38-107u38-110u38-107u38-107u38+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41½-110o38½-110o38-110o38-110o38-110o38-110o38-110o38-103
Underu41½-110u38½-110u38-110u38-110u38-110u38-110u38½-110u38+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o38½-105 to o38-115
The Under moved from u38-105 to u38-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u38½-110 to u38-110