New England at Buffalo

Updated
Rank32
P/G17.0
PA/G24.5
5.4%94.6%
WinBuffalo Win
10.1Projected Points 34.1
21Final Score 24
Rank3
P/G30.9
PA/G21.6
Rank32
P/G17.0
PA/G24.5
Rank3
P/G30.9
PA/G21.6

Quarterbacks

Drake Maye

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.59190.0129

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.414242.0255

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
L 17-30 at Arizona CardinalsNE: Drake Maye • ARI: Kyler Murray+250
L 25-24 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Anthony Richardson • NE: Drake Maye+120
L 15-34 at Miami DolphinsNE: Drake Maye • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+330
L 28-22 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Matthew Stafford • NE: Drake Maye+184
W 19-3 at Chicago BearsNE: Drake Maye • CHI: Caleb Williams+250
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 48-42 at Detroit LionsBUF: Josh Allen • DET: Jared Goff+125
L 42-44 at Los Angeles RamsBUF: Josh Allen • LAR: Matthew Stafford-185
W 10-35 vs San Francisco 49ersSF: Brock Purdy • BUF: Josh Allen-300
W 21-30 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • BUF: Josh Allen-150
W 30-20 at Indianapolis ColtsBUF: Josh Allen • IND: Joe Flacco-220

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • DTChristian BarmoreOut
  • DLJaquelin RoyProbable
  • WRJavon BakerProbable
  • DBKyle DuggerProbable
  • -Caedan WallaceProbable
  • DBMarcus JonesOut
  • RBJaMycal HastyOut
  • DBJabrill PeppersOut
  • DEKeion WhiteProbable
  • GCole StrangeProbable

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • SDamar HamlinOut
  • WRCurtis SamuelOut
  • LBMatt MilanoOut
  • LBDorian WilliamsProbable
  • STaylor RappOut
  • LBBaylon SpectorProbable
  • CBRasul DouglasOut
NE 2 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)14°11°10°
Humidity66%70%72%75%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearClearClearClear
WindNE 2 mphE 3 mphESE 3 mphESE 4 mph
Brad Allen
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+640+675+725+790+825+790+825+826.4
Buffalo-840-1045-1300-1300-1200-1300-1045-826.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+900+800+690+775+875+800+875+826.4
Buffalo-1450-1400-950-1500-1500-1300-950-826.4

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+14-110+14-108+14-105+14-109+14-115+14-109+14-105+14+101
Buffalo-14-110-14-108-14-115-14-111-14-105-14-111-14-105-14-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+13½-110+14-110+14-110+14-110+14½-110+14-108+14½-110+14+101
Buffalo-13½-110-14-110-14-110-14-110-14½-110-14-108-14-108-14-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +14-110 to +14-117
Buffalo Spread moved from -14-110 to -14-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +14-110 to +13½-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -14-110 to -14½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46-110o48-108o48½-105o48-110o48-110o48-110o48½-105o48+100
Underu46-110u48-108u48½-115u48-110u48-110u48-110u48-108u48+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46½-110o48-110o48-110o48½-110o48-110o48-110o48-110o48+100
Underu46½-110u48-110u48-110u48½-110u48-110u48-110u48½-110u48+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-115 to o48-110
The Under moved from u48½-110 to u48-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47-110 to o48-110
The Under moved from u47-110 to u46½-110