Kansas City at Buffalo

Updated
Rank2
P/G23.5
PA/G18.5
51.1%48.9%
Kansas City WinBuffalo Win
22.6Projected Points 22.5
21Final Score 30
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
Rank2
P/G23.5
PA/G18.5
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
69.59245.0129

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.510228.0174

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 14-16 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Bo Nix • KC: Patrick Mahomes-330
W 24-30 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Baker Mayfield • KC: Patrick Mahomes-380
W 27-20 at Las Vegas RaidersKC: Patrick Mahomes • VEG: Aidan O'Connell-390
W 28-18 at San Francisco 49ersKC: Patrick Mahomes • SF: Brock Purdy+135
W 13-26 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Derek Carr • KC: Patrick Mahomes-224
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 30-20 at Indianapolis ColtsBUF: Josh Allen • IND: Joe Flacco-220
W 27-30 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen-260
W 31-10 at Seattle SeahawksBUF: Josh Allen • SEA: Geno Smith-155
W 10-34 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Will Levis • BUF: Josh Allen-450
W 23-20 at New York JetsBUF: Josh Allen • NYJ: Aaron Rodgers-115

Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • WRJuJu Smith-SchusterProbable
  • KHarrison ButkerIR
  • CBJaylen WatsonOut
  • OLWanya MorrisProbable
  • TEJared WileyOut for Season
  • WRSkyy MooreIR

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • DEDawuane SmootIR
  • FBReggie GilliamProbable
  • DTDeWayne CarterIR
  • TSpencer BrownOut
  • TEDalton KincaidOut
  • WRAmari CooperProbable
  • WRKeon ColemanOut
SW 5 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)53°51°50°49°
Humidity62%66%68%69%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSW 5 mphSW 5 mphSW 6 mphSSW 7 mph
Land Clark
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City+120+140+135+132+135+132+140+139.9
Buffalo-140-160-160-152-155-152-152-139.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City+115+135+131+140+130+140+140+139.9
Buffalo-133-155-150-160-150-160-150-139.9

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City+0-110+2½+107+3-120+2½+100+2½+100+2½+100+2½+107+2½+109
Buffalo+0-110-2½-123-3+100-2½-120-2½-120-2½-120-3+100-2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City+2½-110+2½-110+3-120+3-120+2½+100+3-110+3-110+2½+109
Buffalo-2½-110-2½-110-3+100-3+100-2½-120-3+100-2½-110-2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 40.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from +2½-115 to +2-120
Buffalo Spread moved from -1-108 to -2-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 40.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
No Steam Moves On Buffalo Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46½-110o47-108o47-105o47-111o47½-110o47-111o47-105o47-101
Underu46½-110u47-108u47-115u47-109u47½-110u47-109u47½-110u47+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo46½-110o47-110o47-110o48-110o47-110o47-110o47-110o47-101
Underu46½-110u47-110u47-110u48-110u47-110u47-110u48-110u47+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47-105 to o47½-105
The Under moved from u47½-115 to u47-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-110 to o48-110
The Under moved from u46½-110 to u46-110