Denver at Kansas City

Updated
Rank12
P/G24.0
PA/G17.6
12.3%87.7%
WinKansas City Win
11.0Projected Points 28.1
14Final Score 16
Rank2
P/G23.5
PA/G18.5
Rank12
P/G24.0
PA/G17.6
Rank2
P/G23.5
PA/G18.5

Quarterbacks

Bo Nix

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
62.69195.086

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
69.98243.0119

Last 5 Games

Denver Broncos
Money Line
L 10-41 at Baltimore RavensDEN: Bo Nix • BAL: Lamar Jackson+368
W 14-28 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • DEN: Bo Nix-700
W 33-10 at New Orleans SaintsDEN: Bo Nix • NO: Spencer Rattler-147
L 23-16 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • DEN: Bo Nix+145
W 18-34 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Gardner Minshew II • DEN: Bo Nix-155
Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 24-30 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Baker Mayfield • KC: Patrick Mahomes-380
W 27-20 at Las Vegas RaidersKC: Patrick Mahomes • VEG: Aidan O'Connell-390
W 28-18 at San Francisco 49ersKC: Patrick Mahomes • SF: Brock Purdy+135
W 13-26 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Derek Carr • KC: Patrick Mahomes-224
W 17-10 at Los Angeles ChargersKC: Patrick Mahomes • LAC: Justin Herbert-320

Injuries

Denver Broncos

Status
  • CLuke WattenbergProbable
  • SP.J. Locke IIIProbable
  • WRJosh ReynoldsIR

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • SNazeeh JohnsonProbable
  • DEMike DannaProbable
  • TEJared WileyOut for Season
  • QBPatrick MahomesProbable
  • WRSkyy MooreIR
  • CBJaylen WatsonOut
  • DTTershawn WhartonProbable
  • WRJuJu Smith-SchusterOut
W 10 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)59°60°61°62°
Humidity62%59%58%58%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindW 10 mphW 10 mphWNW 9 mphWNW 9 mph
Brad Allen
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+340+290+260+285+260+285+290+300.4
Kansas City-440-360-320-355-340-355-320-300.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+332+290+280+300+300+290+300+300.4
Kansas City-400-350-330-380-360-350-330-300.4

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+9½-110+7-108+7-115+7-110+7-110+7-110+7-108+7+100
Kansas City-9½-110-7-108-7-105-7-110-7-110-7-110-7-105-7+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+8-110+7-110+7-110+7+100+7-105+7-106+7+100+7+100
Kansas City-8-110-7-110-7-110-7-120-7-115-7-110-7-110-7+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 0.0%
Kansas City: 40.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +9-108 to +8-108
Kansas City Spread moved from -7-108 to -7½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 0.0%
Kansas City: 40.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Denver Spread
Kansas City Spread moved from -8-110 to -9½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41½-110o42-108o42-115o42½-112o42½-110o42½-112o42-108o42½-102
Underu41½-110u42-108u42-105u42½-108u42½-110u42½-108u42½-108u42½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43-110o42½-110o42½-110o42½-110o42-110o42½-110o42-110o42½-102
Underu43-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½-110u42-110u42½-110u42½-110u42½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-110 to o42-115
The Under moved from u43-110 to u42½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-110 to o42-110
The Under moved from u42-110 to u41½-110