Tampa Bay at Kansas City

Updated
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
21.6%78.4%
Tampa Bay WinKansas City Win
17.5Projected Points 27.4
24Final Score 30
Rank2
P/G24.0
PA/G19.1
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
Rank2
P/G24.0
PA/G19.1

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
71.18273.6219

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.47235.989

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 31-26 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Kirk Cousins • TB: Baker Mayfield+110
L 41-31 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • TB: Baker Mayfield+197
W 51-27 at New Orleans SaintsTB: Baker Mayfield • NO: Spencer Rattler-180
L 30-36 at Atlanta FalconsTB: Baker Mayfield • ATL: Kirk Cousins+130
W 16-33 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • TB: Baker Mayfield+100
Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 27-20 at Las Vegas RaidersKC: Patrick Mahomes • VEG: Aidan O'Connell-390
W 28-18 at San Francisco 49ersKC: Patrick Mahomes • SF: Brock Purdy+135
W 13-26 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Derek Carr • KC: Patrick Mahomes-224
W 17-10 at Los Angeles ChargersKC: Patrick Mahomes • LAC: Justin Herbert-320
W 22-17 at Atlanta FalconsKC: Patrick Mahomes • ATL: Kirk Cousins-165

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • WRJalen McMillanOut
  • DLGreg GainesOut
  • CBJamel DeanIR
  • WRChris GodwinOut for Season
  • WRKameron JohnsonIR
  • WRMike EvansOut
  • SAntoine Winfield Jr.Probable
  • LBLavonte DavidProbable
  • RBBucky IrvingProbable
  • STykee SmithProbable
  • WRSterling ShepardProbable

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • QBPatrick MahomesProbable
  • SNazeeh JohnsonOut
  • TEJared WileyOut for Season
  • DEMike DannaOut
  • WRSkyy MooreIR
  • WRJuJu Smith-SchusterOut
  • CBJaylen WatsonOut
  • WRRashee RiceOut for Season
  • LBDrue TranquillOut
E 7 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)65°65°65°65°
Humidity89%89%90%91%
Precipitation49%41%43%31%
ConditionRainDrizzleDrizzleCloudy
WindE 7 mphE 7 mphESE 5 mphSE 5 mph
John Hussey
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewModerate Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+310+335+305+345+325+345+345+360.2
Kansas City-415-425-410-425-425-425-410-360.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+374+350+320+325+360+350+360+360.2
Kansas City-450-450-380-425-450-420-380-360.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+9-116+8-108+8-105+9-115+9-115+9-115+8-105+9-104
Kansas City-9-104-8-108-8-115-9-105-9-105-9-105-8-108-9+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+10-110+8½-110+8-110+8-110+9-110+8½-108+9-110+9-104
Kansas City-10-110-8½-110-8-110-8-110-9-110-8½-108-8-110-9+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +8+100 to +8-110
Kansas City Spread moved from -9+100 to -9½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +9½-110 to +8½-110
No Steam Moves On Kansas City Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44½-105o45½-108o45½-115o46-110o46-110o46-110o45½-108o46+100
Underu44½-115u45½-108u45½-105u46-110u46-110u46-110u45½-105u46+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o46-110o45½-110o45½-110o46-110o45½-110o45½-110o46+100
Underu45½-110u46-110u45½-110u45½-110u46-110u45½-110u46-110u46+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46-105 to o46-110
The Under moved from u45½+100 to u45½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45½-110 to o46-110
The Under moved from u46-110 to u45½-110