Tampa Bay at Atlanta

Updated

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(4-6)
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
44.8%55.2%
Tampa Bay WinAtlanta Win
20.9Projected Points 23.1
30Final Score 36

Atlanta Falcons

(6-5)
Rank17
P/G22.2
PA/G24.9
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
Rank17
P/G22.2
PA/G24.9

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.54246.082

Kirk Cousins

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.74216.044

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 16-33 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • TB: Baker Mayfield+100
L 26-7 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Bo Nix • TB: Baker Mayfield-250
W 20-16 at Detroit LionsTB: Baker Mayfield • DET: Jared Goff+320
W 20-37 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Jayden Daniels • TB: Baker Mayfield-195
L 23-31 at Detroit LionsTB: Baker Mayfield • DET: Jared Goff+245
Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
W 24-26 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Derek Carr • ATL: Kirk Cousins-144
L 22-17 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • ATL: Kirk Cousins+155
W 22-21 at Philadelphia EaglesATL: Kirk Cousins • PHI: Jalen Hurts+215
L 18-10 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Justin Fields • ATL: Kirk Cousins-190
L 17-48 at New Orleans SaintsATL: Taylor Heinicke • NO: Derek Carr+155

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • GLuke GoedekeOut
  • WRMike EvansProbable
  • OLSilas DzansiIR
  • LBSirVocea DennisIR
  • SAntoine Winfield Jr.Out
  • WRTrey PalmerOut
  • CBBryce HallOut for Season
  • LSEvan DeckersIR
  • WRJalen McMillanOut
  • DLCalijah KanceyOut

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • LBNate LandmanIR
  • TKaleb McGaryProbable
  • LBTroy AndersenOut
  • RBBijan RobinsonProbable
  • OLDrew DalmanIR
  • RBJase McCLellanOut
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Ron Torbert
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+120+125+120+115+125+115+125+123.5
Atlanta-140-145-140-135-145-135-135-123.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-160+130+122+120+125+125+130+123.5
Atlanta+130-150-140-140-145-145-140-123.5

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+2½-105+2½-108+2½-105+2½-110+2½-105+2½-110+2½-105+2½+100
Atlanta-2½-115-2½-108-2½-115-2½-110-2½-115-2½-110-2½-108-2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+3-110+2½-110+2½-105+2½-110+2½-110+2½-103+2½-103+2½+100
Atlanta-3-110-2½-110-2½-115-2½-110-2½-110-2½-107-2½-107-2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +2½+102 to +2½-108
No Steam Moves On Atlanta Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +2½+105 to +2½-105
Atlanta Spread moved from -1½-105 to -2½-105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42½-110o44-108o44-105o44-110o44-110o44-110o44-105o44+100
Underu42½-110u44-108u44-115u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-108u44+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42½-110o44½-110o44-115o44-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o44+100
Underu42½-110u44½-110u44-105u44-110u44-110u44-110u44½-110u44+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44-110 to o44-114
The Under moved from u44-106 to u44-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44-110 to o44-115
The Under moved from u44-110 to u43½-110
Seattle at Detroit
NY Jets vs Minnesota