Denver at Tampa Bay

Updated

Denver Broncos

(2-2)
Rank25
P/G15.5
PA/G13.8
30.0%70.0%
Denver WinTampa Bay Win
18.3Projected Points 24.9
26Final Score 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(3-1)
Rank10
P/G24.2
PA/G19.5
Rank25
P/G15.5
PA/G13.8
Rank10
P/G24.2
PA/G19.5

Quarterbacks

Bo Nix

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
59.72192.004

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
73.52237.051

Last 5 Games

Denver Broncos
Money Line
L 13-6 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Justin Fields • DEN: Bo Nix+135
L 20-26 at Seattle SeahawksDEN: Bo Nix • SEA: Geno Smith+255
L 14-27 at Las Vegas RaidersDEN: Russell Wilson • VEG: Aidan O'Connell+160
W 9-16 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Easton Stick • DEN: Jarrett Stidham-185
L 26-23 vs New England PatriotsNE: Bailey Zappe • DEN: Russell Wilson-315
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 20-16 at Detroit LionsTB: Baker Mayfield • DET: Jared Goff+320
W 20-37 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Jayden Daniels • TB: Baker Mayfield-195
L 23-31 at Detroit LionsTB: Baker Mayfield • DET: Jared Goff+245
W 9-32 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • TB: Baker Mayfield+140
W 9-0 at Carolina PanthersTB: Baker Mayfield • CAR: Bryce Young-240

Injuries

Denver Broncos

Status
  • RBAudric EstimeIR
  • SDelarrin Turner-YellUnknown
  • LBBaron BrowningOut
  • SJL SkinnerOut
  • WRDevaughn VeleProbable
  • SBrandon JonesProbable
  • DEJohn Franklin-MyersProbable
  • LBDurell NchamiIR
  • LBRonnie PerkinsIR
  • LBDrew SandersUnknown
  • -Mike McGlincheyIR
  • TQuinn BaileyIR
  • CBDamarri MathisIR

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • GSua OpetaIR
  • SAntoine Winfield Jr.Out
  • DLCalijah KanceyOut
  • GLuke GoedekeOut
  • DLLwal UguakIR
  • WRKameron JohnsonDoubtful
  • RBChase EdmondsOut for Season
  • DTVita VeaDoubtful
  • WRRakim JarrettIR
  • LBKalen DeLoachIR
  • DEWilliam GholstonQuestionable
  • OLShaun PetersonIR
  • OLSilas DzansiIR
  • CBBryce HallOut for Season
  • DBJosh HayesQuestionable
NE 6 mph
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)87°88°89°90°
Humidity61%57%56%55%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindNE 6 mphNE 5 mphNE 5 mphNE 5 mph
Alan Eck
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+250+215+220+218+220+218+220+229.2
Tampa Bay-300-265-270-258-260-258-258-229.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+277+210+224+240+235+220+240+229.2
Tampa Bay-325-250-260-300-275-260-250-229.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+6½-103+6-108+6-110+6-115+6-115+6-115+6-108+6-104
Tampa Bay-6½-113-6-108-6-110-6-105-6-105-6-105-6-105-6+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+6½-110+5½-110+6-110+6+100+6-110+5½-108+6+100+6-104
Tampa Bay-6½-110-5½-110-6-110-6-120-6-110-5½-108-5½-108-6+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Denver: 70.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +7-115 to +6-105
No Steam Moves On Tampa Bay Spread

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Denver: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Denver: 80.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +6-110 to +5½-110
No Steam Moves On Tampa Bay Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40-108o40½-108o41½-105o40½-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½-108o40½+100
Underu40-108u40½-108u41½-115u40½-110u40½-110u40½-110u41½-115u40½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40-110o40½-110o40½-110o40-110o40½-110o40½-110o40-110o40½+100
Underu40-110u40½-110u40½-110u40-110u40½-110u40½-110u40½-110u40½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40½-110 to o41-110
The Under moved from u41-108 to u40½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40-110 to o41-110
The Under moved from u41-110 to u40½-110
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