Tampa Bay at Detroit

Updated

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(4-6)
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
30.6%69.4%
Tampa Bay WinDetroit Win
19.6Projected Points 25.2
23Final Score 31

Detroit Lions

(9-1)
Rank1
P/G33.6
PA/G17.7
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
Rank1
P/G33.6
PA/G17.7

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.31711.12810

Jared Goff

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.31711.23012

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 9-32 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • TB: Baker Mayfield+140
W 9-0 at Carolina PanthersTB: Baker Mayfield • CAR: Bryce Young-240
L 23-13 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Derek Carr • TB: Baker Mayfield-145
W 12-30 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • TB: Baker Mayfield+120
W 34-20 at Green Bay PackersTB: Baker Mayfield • GB: Jordan Love+175
Detroit Lions
Money Line
W 23-24 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Matthew Stafford • DET: Jared Goff-165
W 20-30 vs Minnesota VikingsMIN: Nick Mullens • DET: Jared Goff-185
L 19-20 at Dallas CowboysDET: Jared Goff • DAL: Dak Prescott+200
W 30-24 at Minnesota VikingsDET: Jared Goff • MIN: Nick Mullens-140
W 17-42 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Russell Wilson • DET: Jared Goff-230

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • QBJohn WolfordOut
  • DLMike GreeneIR
  • RBChase EdmondsProbable
  • LBShaquil BarrettProbable
  • QBBaker MayfieldProbable

Detroit Lions

Status
  • TESam LaPortaProbable
  • WRKalif RaymondOut
  • LBJames HoustonOut
  • TEJames MitchellIR
  • CBJerry JacobsIR
Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Bill Vinovich
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewStrong Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+210+230+235+235+225+235+235+246.8
Detroit-260-280-285-280-270-280-270-246.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+220+240+245+222+240+245+245+246.8
Detroit-260-280-285-278-280-290-278-246.8

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+4½-110+6-108+6-105+6-105+6-110+6-105+6-105+6+104
Detroit-4½-110-6-108-6-115-6-115-6-110-6-115-6-108-6-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+6-110+6½-110+6-105+6-120+6-110+6+100+6+100+6+104
Detroit-6-110-6½-110-6-115-6+100-6-110-6-110-6+100-6-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Detroit: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Detroit: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Detroit: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Detroit: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +6½-110 to +6-115
No Steam Moves On Detroit Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Detroit: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Detroit: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Detroit: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Detroit: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +6½-110 to +6-110
No Steam Moves On Detroit Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo49-110o50-108o49½-115o49½-115o49½-110o49½-115o49½-110o49½-104
Underu49-110u50-108u49½-105u49½-105u49½-110u49½-105u50-108u49½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48-110o49½-110o49½-110o49½-110o49½-110o49½-110o49½-110o49½-104
Underu48-110u49½-110u49½-110u49½-110u49½-110u49½-110u49½-110u49½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49½-108 to o50-108
The Under moved from u50-108 to u49½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49½-110 to o50-110
The Under moved from u50-110 to u49½-110
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