New Orleans at Tampa Bay

Updated

New Orleans Saints

(4-7)
Rank25
P/G23.8
PA/G23.6
40.1%59.9%
New Orleans WinTampa Bay Win
18.7Projected Points 21.7
23Final Score 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(4-6)
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
Rank25
P/G23.8
PA/G23.6
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6

Quarterbacks

Derek Carr

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.41410.3167

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.51411.2248

Last 5 Games

New Orleans Saints
Money Line
L 22-30 at Los Angeles RamsNO: Derek Carr • LAR: Matthew Stafford+190
W 6-24 vs New York GiantsNYG: Tommy DeVito • NO: Derek Carr-255
W 6-28 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • NO: Derek Carr-250
L 33-28 vs Detroit LionsDET: Jared Goff • NO: Derek Carr+175
L 15-24 at Atlanta FalconsNO: Derek Carr • ATL: Taylor Heinicke-130
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 12-30 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • TB: Baker Mayfield+120
W 34-20 at Green Bay PackersTB: Baker Mayfield • GB: Jordan Love+175
W 29-25 at Atlanta FalconsTB: Baker Mayfield • ATL: Desmond Ridder+110
W 18-21 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • TB: Baker Mayfield-190
L 20-27 at Indianapolis ColtsTB: Baker Mayfield • IND: Gardner Minshew II+140

Injuries

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • RBKendre MillerOut
  • PLou HedleyProbable
  • DEPayton TurnerProbable
  • SMarcus MayeIR
  • DLMalcolm RoachIR
  • TRyan RamczykOut
  • RBAlvin KamaraProbable
  • DEIsaiah FoskeyProbable
  • CBLonnie Johnson Jr.Out

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • LBShaquil BarrettOut
  • TEKo KieftOut
  • DLMike GreeneOut
  • WRRakim JarrettOut
  • CBCarlton DavisOut
WSW 4 mph
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)66°67°67°66°
Humidity56%54%54%57%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWSW 4 mphW 5 mphW 6 mphW 7 mph
Land Clark
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans+145+115+130+125+120+125+130+133.2
Tampa Bay-170-135-150-145-140-145-135-133.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans+130+125+127+122+125+125+127+133.2
Tampa Bay-155-145-145-145-145-145-145-133.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans+2-108+2½-103+2½-105+2½-105+2½-105+2½-105+2½-103+2½+104
Tampa Bay-2-108-2½-113-2½-115-2½-115-2½-115-2½-115-2½-113-2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans+3-110+2½-110+2½+100+2½+100+2½-105+2½+100+2½+100+2½+104
Tampa Bay-3-110-2½-110-2½-120-2½-120-2½-115-2½-120-2½-110-2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New Orleans: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New Orleans: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New Orleans: 70.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New Orleans: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New Orleans Spread moved from +3-115 to +2½-110
Tampa Bay Spread moved from -2-110 to -3-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New Orleans: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New Orleans: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New Orleans: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New Orleans: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New Orleans Spread moved from +2½+105 to +2½-105
No Steam Moves On Tampa Bay Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41½-108o42½-108o42½-105o42-113o42½-110o42-113o42½-105o42-103
Underu41½-108u42½-108u42½-115u42-107u42½-110u42-107u42½-108u42+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40½-110o42½-110o42-110o43-110o42½-110o42½-110o42-110o42-103
Underu40½-110u42½-110u42-110u43-110u42½-110u42½-110u43-110u42+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-105 to o42½-110
The Under moved from u42½-110 to u42-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-110 to o43-110
The Under moved from u42½-110 to u42-110
Detroit at Dallas
Miami at Baltimore