Tampa Bay at Atlanta

Updated

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(4-6)
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
40.8%59.2%
Tampa Bay WinAtlanta Win
18.7Projected Points 21.7
29Final Score 25

Atlanta Falcons

(6-5)
Rank17
P/G22.2
PA/G24.9
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
Rank17
P/G22.2
PA/G24.9

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.61210.7188

Desmond Ridder

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.31010.988

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 18-21 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • TB: Baker Mayfield-190
L 20-27 at Indianapolis ColtsTB: Baker Mayfield • IND: Gardner Minshew II+140
L 14-27 at San Francisco 49ersTB: Baker Mayfield • SF: Brock Purdy+625
W 6-20 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Will Levis • TB: Baker Mayfield-140
L 37-39 at Houston TexansTB: Baker Mayfield • HOU: C.J. Stroud+130
Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
W 13-8 at New York JetsATL: Desmond Ridder • NYJ: Tim Boyle-130
W 15-24 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Derek Carr • ATL: Taylor Heinicke+115
L 23-25 at Arizona CardinalsATL: Taylor Heinicke • ARI: Kyler Murray-130
L 31-28 vs Minnesota VikingsMIN: Jaren Hall • ATL: Taylor Heinicke-185
L 23-28 at Tennessee TitansATL: Desmond Ridder • TEN: Will Levis-130

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • LBSirVocea DennisProbable
  • DTVita VeaOut
  • LBK.J. BrittProbable
  • CBJamel DeanOut
  • LBLavonte DavidProbable
  • DLMike GreeneIR
  • LBDevin WhiteOut

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • OLDrew DalmanOut
  • TKaleb McGaryOut
  • CBMike HughesProbable
  • DLLaCale LondonOut
  • CBA.J. TerrellProbable
  • DLDavid OnyemataOut
  • WRMack HollinsProbable
  • LBNate LandmanOut
  • CBJeffrey OkudahOut
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Alex Kemp
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+125+105+105+106+105+106+106+114.8
Atlanta-145-125-125-126-125-126-125-114.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+110+105+106+105+110+105+110+114.8
Atlanta-130-125-124-125-130-125-124-114.8

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+2-108+1½-108+1½-105+1+101+1½-110+1+101+1+101+1+110
Atlanta-2-108-1½-108-1½-115-1-121-1½-110-1-121-1½-108-1-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+2½-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+2-110+1½-110+2-110+1+110
Atlanta-2½-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-2-110-1½-110-1½-110-1-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +1½+100 to +1½-110
Atlanta Spread moved from -1-110 to -1½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +2-110 to +1-110
Atlanta Spread moved from -1-110 to -2½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40-108o41½-108o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-108o41½+100
Underu40-108u41½-108u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-108u41½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo39-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½+100
Underu39-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-105 to o41½-110
The Under moved from u41½-110 to u41-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40½-110 to o41-110
The Under moved from u41½-110 to u41-110
New England at Pittsburgh
Jacksonville at Cleveland