New England at Pittsburgh

Updated

New England Patriots

(3-8)
Rank30
P/G16.6
PA/G22.6
26.9%73.1%
New England WinPittsburgh Win
14.9Projected Points 22.0
21Final Score 18

Pittsburgh Steelers

(8-2)
Rank9
P/G23.3
PA/G16.2
Rank30
P/G16.6
PA/G22.6
Rank9
P/G23.3
PA/G16.2

Quarterbacks

Bailey Zappe

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
50.019.302

Kenny Pickett

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
62.01210.364

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
L 6-0 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • NE: Bailey Zappe+195
L 7-10 at New York GiantsNE: Mac Jones • NYG: Tommy DeVito-210
L 10-6 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Gardner Minshew II • NE: Mac Jones+110
L 20-17 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Sam Howell • NE: Mac Jones-145
L 17-31 at Miami DolphinsNE: Mac Jones • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+330
Pittsburgh Steelers
Money Line
L 24-10 vs Arizona CardinalsARI: Kyler Murray • PIT: Kenny Pickett-270
W 16-10 at Cincinnati BengalsPIT: Kenny Pickett • CIN: Jake Browning-130
L 10-13 at Cleveland BrownsPIT: Kenny Pickett • CLE: Deshaun Watson+120
W 19-23 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Jordan Love • PIT: Kenny Pickett-165
W 16-20 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Will Levis • PIT: Kenny Pickett-165

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • WRDemario DouglasOut
  • OLRiley ReiffIR
  • RBRhamondre StevensonOut
  • OLCalvin AndersonIR
  • WRDeVante ParkerOut
  • CBShaun WadeOut
  • WRKayshon BoutteOut
  • DLDeatrich Wise Jr.Probable
  • OLTrent BrownProbable
  • WRJuJu Smith-SchusterProbable
  • QBBailey ZappeNamed Starter
  • DTChristian BarmoreProbable

Pittsburgh Steelers

Status
  • SElijah RileyIR
  • LBElandon RobertsProbable
  • DTMontravius AdamsProbable
  • QBMitch TrubiskyUnknown
  • SKeanu NealIR
  • DBJames PierreOut
  • LBCole HolcombIR
  • GIsaac SeumaloProbable
  • QBKenny PickettOut
  • LBKwon AlexanderOut for Season
  • RBNajee HarrisProbable
  • OLMason ColeProbable
SW 5 mph
Acrisure Field, Pittsburgh, PA
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)42°41°40°39°
Humidity72%74%75%78%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindSW 5 mphSSW 4 mphSSW 4 mphS 4 mph
Clay Martin
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+235+215+200+215+210+215+215+226.3
Pittsburgh-285-265-240-255-250-255-240-226.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+222+230+224+215+220+225+230+226.3
Pittsburgh-278-270-260-267-260-275-260-226.3

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+6½-108+5-108+5-110+5½-110+5½-110+5½-110+5½-110+5½+100
Pittsburgh-6½-108-5-108-5-110-5½-110-5½-110-5½-110-5-108-5½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+6-110+5½-110+5-110+5½-110+5½-110+5-110+5½-110+5½+100
Pittsburgh-6-110-5½-110-5-110-5½-110-5½-110-5-110-5-110-5½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Pittsburgh: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 10.0%
Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +5½-110 to +5½-115
Pittsburgh Spread moved from -5-110 to -6-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Pittsburgh: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 10.0%
Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +5½-110 to +5-110
Pittsburgh Spread moved from -5-110 to -6-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo30-123o31-110o30½-116o30½-110o30½-116o30½-105
Underu30+107u31-110u30½-104u30½-110u30½-104u30½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo35-110o30½-110o31-110o30½-110o30½-110o30½-110o34-110o30½-105
Underu35-110u30½-110u31-110u30½-110u30½-110u30½-110u34-110u30½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u34½-110 to u34-110
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